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Iran/Israel
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madcap



Joined: 04 Dec 2006
Location: Gangneung, Korea

PostPosted: Thu Mar 29, 2007 9:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Simple. We use Israel to enforce our interests in the region so we can distance ourselves from as much conflict as possible. This policy obviously changed with the Iraw war, but once the troops are drawn out, we will continue to use the Israeli army as our proxy in the area. We "assist" in Israeli decision making by the level of aid we are willing to give them (99% millitary). But, America doesn't do anything to be nice. We support our interests abroad. If we stopped all aid to them, countries like Iran and Syria would wipe them off the map, but as long as we give them superior military technology and financial backing, they have the ability to stand on their own and keep the region unstable, always with the understanding that if they get into too tight of a jam, we'll be there with a couple hundred thousand troops to help them out.
Instability is good because that prevents governments from spending money on things like universities, infrastructure, and manufacturing, all of which would give them more independence. If the Middle East suddenly realized that they were capable of living without massive western involvement, they might start asking questions like, why are the major oil exchanges in New York and London, which have no oil? Why don't we build more refineries so that we can get a fair share of the oil profits since it's pretty much our only natural resource? Why do we have to go through these middle men, when we could just as easily be doing this ourselves and use that money to make our country into an international economic power? Because the region is so unstable, it also increases the rate of corruption which is good for the powerful 1% of the population (American puppets) who spend all that money on palaces and yachts etc. instead of building hospitals, schools, etc. This way they can make a quick buck for themselves and let the big foreign oil companies run everything. It's like global warming. Well, the oil will run out, but we'll be dead by then, so it's not our problem.
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madcap



Joined: 04 Dec 2006
Location: Gangneung, Korea

PostPosted: Thu Mar 29, 2007 9:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh, and by the way, who broke the remote in the first place?
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Thu Mar 29, 2007 9:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The questions were:

1) How do we use the mercanry state of Israel to do our bidding.
Quote:

Simple. We use Israel to enforce our interests in the region so we can distance ourselves from as much conflict as possible. This policy obviously changed with the Iraw war, but once the troops are drawn out, we will continue to use the Israeli army as our proxy in the area.


So, if it were true, it stopped being true in March of 2003. In which case, your tense (at the very least) was wrong.

But what are our interests? You need to explain that. I said avoid platitudes.

The region would obviously be more stable if Israel were allowed to disappear but more unstable if we allowed the Israelis to be on even ground militarily. Which is it?
Quote:

We "assist" in Israeli decision making by the level of aid we are willing to give them (99% millitary). But, America doesn't do anything to be nice. We support our interests abroad. If we stopped all aid to them, countries like Iran and Syria would wipe them off the map, but as long as we give them superior military technology and financial backing, they have the ability to stand on their own and keep the region unstable, always with the understanding that if they get into too tight of a jam, we'll be there with a couple hundred thousand troops to help them out.


So, the USA helps a small nation under threat.
Quote:

Instability is good because that prevents governments from spending money on things like universities, infrastructure, and manufacturing, all of which would give them more independence.


This is nonsense. The whole damn system is designed to prevent instability. That is why Egypt and Saudi are propped up. Because when the whole crazy region goes up in crazy flames, we will have a harder time buying their oil.
Quote:

If the Middle East suddenly realized that they were capable of living without massive western involvement, they might start asking questions like, why are the major oil exchanges in New York and London, which have no oil?


They already do ask these questions. If you at all followed financial news and moves, you would know this. Dubai and Singapore are trying to become major islamic banking hubs to help the region deal with petro-dollars. And the USA is actually encouraging it.

Quote:
Why don't we build more refineries so that we can get a fair share of the oil profits since it's pretty much our only natural resource? Why do we have to go through these middle men, when we could just as easily be doing this ourselves and use that money to make our country into an international economic power?


OPEC helps set world oil prices. You are trying to paint a picture of helpless Arabs who aren't able to manage their own resource.

Quote:
Because the region is so unstable, it also increases the rate of corruption which is good for the powerful 1% of the population (American puppets) who spend all that money on palaces and yachts etc. instead of building hospitals, schools, etc.


This is nonsense. You need to read about Saudi. Hardly anybody in that nation works (the ethnic Saudis, at least). The government funds everything under the sun.
Quote:


This way they can make a quick buck for themselves and let the big foreign oil companies run everything. It's like global warming. Well, the oil will run out, but we'll be dead by then, so it's not our problem.


The foreign oil firms don't run everything. You really need to learn about the industry. The firms are at the beck and call of the mullahs and "princes".

The second question "Iran has no domestic economic policy?" was ignored.
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madcap



Joined: 04 Dec 2006
Location: Gangneung, Korea

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 5:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

OK, I would have responded sooner, but it's been a busy week at school and I just got the internet hooked up at home the other day.

I don't know how much detail you want me to go into to placate you, not that it will matter because I don't think it will change your mind, so let�s just say that this is posted for the benefit of others who are interested in this topic.

1) How do we use the mercenary state of Israel to do our bidding?

The best way for the US to hold onto its influence in the world is by controlling ME oil. No question all the world wants it (the oil) but that a very disproportionate amount of it goes right to the US (we import more oil than Japan, China, the Netherlands, and France combined, the next four of the top 5 petroleum importing countries) In order to maintain that control, we have historically used friendly powers in the region to act on our interests. Primarily Iran until the overthrow of the Shah and Israel. Once we lost Iran as a power base, Israel's role became all the more important. The creation of the state of Israel and the subsequent issues of the Palestinian settlement have been a thorn in the side of the surrounding Arab countries since the countries formation, as shown by the numerous wars that have been waged against Israel since it's formation, the main purpose being to settle the issue of the displaced Palestinians and territorial disputes. Well, without massive US economic and military aid (more to Israel than to all other countries we support combined) the country would have been wiped out long ago. So how does this support our interests in the region? Well, their use to us depends on the fact that they are constantly faced with destruction and therefore, completely rely on our support to continue their existence. Historically, we have always blocked the efforts of both sides in forming a reasonable and lasting truce. Originally, we just blocked with veto power in the UN (I�m not citing references here, you can do the bookwork if you want, but I�ve seen it all before and all it will be is waste your time), but we also use the threat of cutting off that support to maintain influence on their government. �You know guys, we don�t really support this and that clause in this agreement. We think you ought to go back to the negotiating table�and by the way, the appropriations committee is meeting next month and they think if this goes through, you won�t be needing those new F-16�s (or whatever we give them) that we talked about last time�� And say what you will about Camp David peace talks and Madrid conferences and the Road Map to Peace, every one of those solutions is written to fail. Instability is critical to our power there because it forces other regional powers there to funnel a large amount of money into their militaries rather than focus on social welfare. You can say all you want about Saudi Arabia giving money to its unemployed workers, but it has to in order to feed them. They have an (unofficial because they won�t release it) unemployment rate of 25% simply because they haven�t build up an infrastructure. You think they give most of those oil profits to the people? I don�t think so. They get the scraps of what is left over after the princes have built their palaces and summer homes in the south of France. The military gets the bulk of what is left over. BTW, those princes that I mention in SA are the same ones that run the country, so of course they want to keep the money coming and keep the people placid at the same time. If you build universities and public works, though, you begin to get a more educated workforce that starts to ask why they have to be content with living under the boot heals of some American puppets. Iran is one of the few exceptions to this rule and, guess what, they also happen to be the main enemy of US interests in the area. They also serve a secondary purpose which is to be seen as a danger to US interests abroad and to the world. They are developing weapons of mass destruction, they are building up their army. Well, so is China. Well, China isn�t run by extremists who support TERRORISM, oh, wait, yes they are. (Lets not get sidetracked on that issue, though) By servings as this target of hate, we can justify more military spending of our own in lieu of domestic spending. A huge portion of the money that goes through the Pentagon is for weapons development and research, which is, in turn, given to big corporations in the form of subsidized research. Why should IBM go to the trouble and expense of developing new computer systems when they can be commissioned by the government to design a new guidance system that requires new microchips and processors and have the whole thing funded by government grants? In a word, it�s good for the economy because now IBM can put that technology into its new computers and sell it at a price that is acceptable to the consumer and turn a profit. Everyone wins except the poor people that are wiped out by that cruise missile that guidance system went into.



Quote:

�So, if it were true, it stopped being true in March of 2003. In which case, your tense (at the very least) was wrong.

But what are our interests? You need to explain that. I said avoid platitudes.

The region would obviously be more stable if Israel were allowed to disappear but more unstable if we allowed the Israelis to be on even ground militarily. Which is it?�


OK, does that cover interests in the region and instability?

And don�t correct my tenses if you know (or can logically assume) what I mean, and I won�t correct your spelling and grammar. I think we can agree that those points aren�t very relevant. We went into Iraq thinking we would be in and out and that was just the result of poor planning. We wanted a quick repeat of Desert Storm (though we knew back in 1990 that if we got rid of Saddam there would be massive sectarian violence which is precisely the reason we didn�t do it). We need to assert ourselves every now and then to show just how strong we are (and we blew it this time) lest people begin to question us and start thinking they can start raising their heads and demanding to be treated like equals.

I actually don�t think it�s entirely beyond the realm of possibility that we knew exactly what would happen when we invaded and did it to keep other countries from gaining access to Iraqi oil. There is also the spillover effect that it is having on Iran. Iraq will keep Iran busy for some years to come, even after we pull out both in increasing their influence on Iraq and dealing with the different sects and the violence they have in their own country. We have all the oil we need at the moment from SA and a few other countries. Iraq and Iran don�t trade with us, they trade with China, which is going to have to double their importation of oil in the next decade or so in order to maintain their economic development. Without that, they will be forced to remain supplicant to the US and pose less of a threat. We like things just how they are at the moment and don�t want them to get any grand ideas of becoming the next USSR or, God forbid, USA.

As to fluctuating oil prices, there again, that is good for instability. A country that gets the majority of its revenue from oil profits has to have a fairly conservative national budget because they can�t speculate too highly about what the oil market will do in the coming year. They may easily end up with an unexpected surplus or deficit and this makes fiscal planning difficult. There again, confusion and instability.

Regarding the oil trading centers, I admit that I don�t know as much about the markets as I would like to, and if you can educate me more on the subject, please do so, but I will say this, both Dubai and Singapore, while being major Islamic hubs, are still both centers of massive American and British investments. You don�t find it odd that the very places these markets are moving to are practically owned by rich westerners and a very few of their local business partners? The US is fine with little concessions to keep our partners happy (note: happiness is different from stability) so long as our investors still own the banks and the trading companies and seventy cents of every dollar comes right back into our greedy little hands (OK, I don�t know the percentages, I�m making a point here).

And finally (FINALLY!) Iran�s domestic economic policy. Yes, Iran has a domestic policy. They make some military hardware that they sell to countries that can�t afford American, Russian, or Chinese models. They make inferior televisions and cars, the market for which would be crushed if relations were normalized and they began to import foreign merchandise. They have an estimated 40% of their pop living below the poverty line and they still get, I believe, 70% of their revenue from, you guessed it, oil. (That�s a number I�m drawing from memory because I�m too tired of writing on this subject to look it up. Feel free to correct me, I won�t argue)


Well, if you�re still with me through all that, I�m sure you have a whole host of new issues with it and I respect your opinion. You won�t change mine, however, just as I�m sure I haven�t changed yours, making this entire response moot. I just wanted to respond to your questions and I think we should simply agree to disagree if you have any more to say on the topic.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 6:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
. Well, without massive US economic and military aid (more to Israel than to all other countries we support combined) the country would have been wiped out long ago.


The US gives Israel about 3 or 4 billion a year. Israel has a GDP of about 100 Billion dollars.

A loss of 3 % of GDP is a severe recession but it would not be fatal.

How much does the US spend on South Korea's defense?

Somewhere between 3 & 20 billion dollars a year.




Quote:
Historically, we have always blocked the efforts of both sides in forming a reasonable and lasting truce. Originally, we just blocked with veto power in the UN (I�m not citing references here, you can do the bookwork if you want, but I�ve seen it all before and all it will be is waste your time),


The UN is a dictators club. It doesn't have much moral authority.



Quote:
Irna also happen to be the main enemy of US interests in the area. They also serve a secondary purpose which is to be seen as a danger to US interests abroad and to the world
.

Iran has also been out to control conquer the gulf and the mideast and they have been out to get the US for 25 years.





Quote:
They are developing weapons of mass destruction, they are building up their army. Well, so is China. Well, China isn�t run by extremists who support TERRORISM, oh, wait, yes they are. (Lets not get sidetracked on that issue, though)


each situation is different. Besides China is as interested in making money as anything else while Iran is interested in conquering and controling the mideast. More than anything China has shown some willingness to compromise. Iran is stll out to follow the vision of Khomeni.





Quote:
By servings as this target of hate, we can justify more military spending of our own in lieu of domestic spending. A huge portion of the money that goes through the Pentagon is for weapons development and research, which is, in turn, given to big corporations in the form of subsidized research. Why should IBM go to the trouble and expense of developing new computer systems when they can be commissioned by the government to design a new guidance system that requires new microchips and processors and have the whole thing funded by government grants? In a word, it�s good for the economy because now IBM can put that technology into its new computers and sell it at a price that is acceptable to the consumer and turn a profit. Everyone wins except the poor people that are wiped out by that cruise missile that guidance system went into.


The US spends 4% of its GDP on the military. Many nations spend far more.

Besides much of what the US spends on the military is for things like housing , and medical care and education and pensions.

There is nothing wrong with that except that the US is spending I would guess about 25 times more on each soldier than a country like China does.

Are US forces better than China's forces. Yep but is a US soldier 25x better than a Chinese soldier probably not.
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Octavius Hite



Joined: 28 Jan 2004
Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 6:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
The US gives Israel about 3 or 4 billion a year. Israel has a GDP of about 100 Billion dollars.


Not true my young friend.

You fail to mention the billions in loan garuntees amongst other things.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/1209/p16s01-wmgn.html
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 8:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Octavius Hite wrote:
Quote:
The US gives Israel about 3 or 4 billion a year. Israel has a GDP of about 100 Billion dollars.


Not true my young friend.

You fail to mention the billions in loan garuntees amongst other things.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2002/1209/p16s01-wmgn.html



[quote]Seldom does a story generate the kind of firestorm of reader feedback we have received in response to David Francis's "Economic Scene" column of last Monday ( see column) - more than 700 e-mails in the first three days alone.









Quote:


David's columns often explore an argument being advanced by those on one side of an issue or another. Last week, he addressed the subject of US aid to Israel.

The backdrop: Moves are currently afoot to increase such aid.

Specifically, David laid out for readers the details of a controversial report prepared by economist Thomas Stauffer - and commissioned by the US Army War College.

In the report, Mr. Stauffer presented his tally of the total cost of such aid, some elements of which are not widely known.

Some letter writers commended David for alerting them to this alternative perspective.

But many others condemned him - sometimes using similar phrasing, occasionally employing a rather threatening tone - for not adopting in his column the kind of balanced, point-counterpoint approach that is required in an objective news story.

Writing as a columnist, David was not obliged to take that approach.

Moving forward, the Monitor will work to do a better job of distinguishing between the works of our columnists and reported news, starting with a "column" label on the weekly "Economic Scene
."

anyway I think the US ought not to give Israel 3- or 4 Billion a year. The US can't afford it.

But do you think if the US stopped giving Israel 3- 4 billion a year that Iran would say ok we are happy now?
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Octavius Hite



Joined: 28 Jan 2004
Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 8:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't care one way or the other on this issue, my point is merely that it is not 3 or 4 billion a year itd at least 8 if not more. I'm staying out of this one, just wanted to make sure the debate is properly framed, as so often is NOT the case with this particular topic.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Octavius Hite wrote:
I don't care one way or the other on this issue, my point is merely that it is not 3 or 4 billion a year itd at least 8 if not more. I'm staying out of this one, just wanted to make sure the debate is properly framed, as so often is NOT the case with this particular topic.



I wonder do loan guarantees cost the US money?

Besides aid to other nations isn't counted that way. Wouldn't those numbers go up alot if it were counted that way too?

Besides the guy bascially implies there would be no problems between the US and other mideast nations were it not for Israel.



How much would the US have given to Europe or South Korea if support during the cold war was calculated in such a way?


Even the cost of the Vietnam war would rise if it were calculated the way he does. Notice too that even though he compares support of Israel to the Vietnam war he doesn't calculate the cost of the Vietnam war the same way. Increase support to countires like Thailand. Costs of taking care of boat people.


The guy didn't write an accurate article.
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Octavius Hite



Joined: 28 Jan 2004
Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I wonder do loan guarantees cost the US money?


Yes they do because even if the Israeli's pay them back, which is rare, the US taxpyer floats the loan principle and the interest. There are plenty of other websites out there explaining it and it is a lot of money.

And again I don't care about Israel or Iran, just wanted the honest numbers to comeoutr.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="Octavius Hite"]
Quote:
I wonder do loan guarantees cost the US money?

Quote:

Yes they do because even if the Israeli's pay them back, which is rare, the US taxpyer floats the loan principle and the interest. There are plenty of other websites out there explaining it and it is a lot of money.



I don't know has Israel not paid them back? I don't know. but anyway I don't think it is the US government making the loan that is why it is called a loan guarantee. I think what the US is doing is cosigning loans so Israel can borrow the money at a lower interest rate than if the did it themselves.
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Octavius Hite



Joined: 28 Jan 2004
Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 9:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
. but anyway I don't think it is the US government making the loan that is why it is called a loan guarantee. I think what the US is doing is cosigning loans so Israel can borrow the money at a lower interest rate than if the did it themselves.



Yes but when they don't pay them back the US taxpayer is on the hook for them, that is why they should count as aid.

http://www.wrmea.com/html/us_aid_to_israel.htm

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/U.S._Assistance_to_Israel1.html

http://www.miftah.org/Display.cfm?DocId=753&CategoryId=4
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 10:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Octavius Hite wrote:
Quote:
. but anyway I don't think it is the US government making the loan that is why it is called a loan guarantee. I think what the US is doing is cosigning loans so Israel can borrow the money at a lower interest rate than if the did it themselves.



Yes but when they don't pay them back the US taxpayer is on the hook for them, that is why they should count as aid.

http://www.wrmea.com/html/us_aid_to_israel.htm

http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/US-Israel/U.S._Assistance_to_Israel1.html

http://www.miftah.org/Display.cfm?DocId=753&CategoryId=4


Okay but not when Israel pays them back then it is different don't you agree?

Also the author blames Israel for high oil prices but oil fell back to 10 $ a barrel in both the mid 80's and mid 90's yet the relationship w/ Israel stayed the same.
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Octavius Hite



Joined: 28 Jan 2004
Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 10:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not defending the article, just linked to it to provide a counter point. I neither agree nor disagree with the authors intentions.

And even if they repay the loans they should be considered part of the overall economic aid package given to Israel. Also any weapons system tranfsers, food, technology etc etc should all be considered part of the "aid" they recieve. I also believe that remittances and charitable donations should count as aid, for all countries.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Thu Apr 05, 2007 10:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Octavius Hite wrote:
I'm not defending the article, just linked to it to provide a counter point. I neither agree nor disagree with the authors intentions.

And even if they repay the loans they should be considered part of the overall economic aid package given to Israel. Also any weapons system tranfsers, food, technology etc etc should all be considered part of the "aid" they recieve. I also believe that remittances and charitable donations should count as aid, for all countries.


As long as you use the same calculations for all nations.

I mean don't Koreans in the US send money back home? No one ever counted that as US aid before
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