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jvalmer

Joined: 06 Jun 2003
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 12:27 am Post subject: |
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contrarian wrote: |
I don't care what China considers Taiwan. If the peope there don't want the PRC that is all the matters. Give Taiwan a few nukes and the PRC will take a different view.
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The citizens of Taiwan are pretty evenly split on their opinions of unification with the PRC. This mirrors the opinions of people from Taiwan I've actually spoken with. And it's not a generational thing. The western press doesn't usually mention this divided opinion though. |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 12:52 am Post subject: |
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The citizens of Taiwan are pretty evenly split on their opinions of unification with the PRC. This mirrors the opinions of people from Taiwan I've actually spoken with. And it's not a generational thing. The western press doesn't usually mention this divided opinion though. |
Can you provide some evidence for this? Not sayin you are wrong, but it is 180degrees opposite of my experience with them.
Not that wiki is a good source, but:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_reunification#Taiwan |
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stevemcgarrett

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 2:11 am Post subject: |
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jvalmer wrote:
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The citizens of Taiwan are pretty evenly split on their opinions of unification with the PRC. This mirrors the opinions of people from Taiwan I've actually spoken with. And it's not a generational thing. The western press doesn't usually mention this divided opinion though. |
Yes, this is correct. A friend of mine who teaches political science in Taipei has been saying this for years.
Some of the posters here are out to lunch on this issue. Either that, or they want the evidence to conform to their arguments. |
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jinju
Joined: 22 Jan 2006
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 2:58 pm Post subject: |
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There you go steve, way to twist things to fit your pro-Chinese argument.
Taking a page out of your book:
in 2007 the American people voted the Democrats into the house.
The democrats are against the war and want to end it.
Therefore it is evident that the American people are against the Iraqi war and want it to end.
THEREFORE
It is just fine for insurgents to attack American troops because just like over half of the voters in America, they too are against American presence in Iraq.
As I said, you are blinded to the facts by your relationship.
What I would like to see you explain and excuse is
China's role in the oppression of Tibet
Chinese support of North Korea
Chinese support of the junta in Myanmar
Chinese support of murderous regimes in Africa
Chinese exports of poison laden products to countries like Panama, Australia and the USA
Chinese refusal to play fair and float their currency
China is a force for evil. Wake up Steve. |
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contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 3:15 pm Post subject: |
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China is indeed a force for evil. It has been for thousands of years. The Chinese are Borg wannabes
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stevemcgarrett

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 8:04 pm Post subject: |
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jinju:
You can stop being a jerk and bringing my wife into this argument any time now, comprende?
Everything I stated about the government in China has been true for more than a decade.
China's foreign policy, abominable as it is, is based on the laisse-faire notion of non-interference, which of course is convenient for them, given that outsiders are always pushing them on human rights, etc.
It is NOT an aggressive foreign policy, per se, but a policy of accommodation. If anything, the PRC is more concerned about developing its network of economic alliances. Nothing is surprising about that motive, given that every other major nation does the same thing.
The GOVERNMENT did not deliberately involve itself in the use of banned chemicals in pet food. Why would they want to jeopardize their trade relationships?
You're correct that the yuan is undervalued by a considerable amount. WTO rules call for a convertible currency too. And that is precisely the issue that is being negotiated in Washington now. That doesn' make them evil, just greedy. Actually, given the dismal financial condition of the SOE's in China, it's understandable.
So, Hirohito, unless you have something informed to contribute to this discussion, take a chill pill with a bottle of sake. |
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jinju
Joined: 22 Jan 2006
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 12:15 am Post subject: |
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I always took you for a realist Steve, but on China it seems you arent quite the realist I thought you were. Im only bringing your wife into the argument because I suspect your relationship with her has blinded you to the realities of China.
Non-interference you say? Infact I wouldnt call providing guns and arms to Myanmar to continue oppressing their people, continuing to prop up Kim and actively sending those lucky enough to have escaped that hell hole back to Kim and his gulags as non-interference. Nor would I call the stifling of international efforts to stop the slaughter in Darfour as "non-intrerference". Not to mention the very active INTERFERENCE in the internal and external matters of Taiwan. No, I would call that very much something different. Your euphamisms are as abhorrent as the PRC's actions. In its race to 10% per annum economic growth China is VERY VERY actively helping out some NASTY abhorrent regimes in Africa and Asia. Non-interference my ass.
Your attitude towards Taiwan is for me the most chilling. Take into account that taiwan is one of the few outposts of democracy and capitalism in Asia and a loyal ally of the United States. Your attitude of dismissal towards the very real hostile actions of Beijing towards it have really caused me to reconsider how devoted you really are to the values you claim to believe in: democacy, freedom, capitalism.
Shame on you Steve. |
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contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 12:42 am Post subject: |
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China has a record of territorial grabs, even since WWII. Al most all of their neighbors have suffered. India, Pakistan, Burma, Viet Nam, The USSR, Tibet, and if you count island claims, the Phillipines, Viet Nam and Malaysia.
Taiwan, does does not want to be part of the PRC and a good part of the Taiwan does not want to be part of China. They even got caught trying to interferre with a US recon plane. What about Tiannenmen or Maos 30 million plus liquidated of their own people. Nor does the "Middle Kingdom" arrogance impress me..
China is going to become a big problem if we don't smack then down now. |
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stevemcgarrett

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 2:52 am Post subject: |
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contrarian wrote:
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China is going to become a big problem if we don't smack then down now. |
And how do you suggest we do that, pray tell? Can't wait to hear this answer....
jinju:
The best diplomacy is a combination of Realpolitik and nuance (not that you would know anything about the latter). Perhaps I need to jog your memory but we have an agreement with China that stipulates we will not regard Taiwan as a sovereign nation, hence the loss of the seat in the UN Security Council. Of course, we've played both sides of the fence by keeping a security arrangement with Taipei, too. As Jefferson said in a different context, we have the wolf by the ears.
I detest the Myanmar government and frankly I'm not sure why the Chinese prop up this military junta. I'll leave that to you or to others to explain.
The DPRK is on the Beijing sh-it list at the moment and not only for testing a nuclear bomb. The Chinese are fearful of an exodus of refugees into Manchuria (DongBei) more than anything else. Rather than allies, they view themselves as enablers, propping up Kim Jong Il's regime with greater reluctance because it is the lesser of the two evils. The days of coming to the aid of another communist state are long over. Indeed, the relationship with Vietnam is one of tense co-existence rather than cordial detente or mutual aid.
What you don't realize is that what the Chinese leaders fear more than anything else including economic collapse is luan, or social chaos. They will do almost anything to prevent it. This notion runs deep in their psyche and therefore predates the current regime.
China wants to be the leader of APEC, the regional alliance, and has hosted its annual conferences numerous times. So it's not going to alienate Southeast Asians. The border disputes you refer to occurred mostly under Mao's regime.
So get with the program, jinju, and stick your shame in the "nightsoil" you're spilling on this thread. |
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jinju
Joined: 22 Jan 2006
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 3:45 am Post subject: |
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Ill say this Steve. I was with you when you took a hard, moral stance on Islamists. Thats why it is so painfully disappointing to see your appeasement of China. Where is the Steve with a moral backbone? The Steve Im seeing in this thread is straight out of the Chamberlain school of
"realpolitik". ofcourse Im using a euphamism here Steve because what Im seeing is making me wonder how much money the Chinese are paying you. I would expect this out of Big Bird actually...making excuses for the worst scum on Earth, afraid and unwilling to call a spade a spade. Afraid and unwilling to label Chinese foreign policy the crime that it is and making the weakest excuses imaginable. But your stance on the Taiwan-China issue is a moral disaster. Taiwan has been sold out at the behest of an aggressive Chinese communist government. it is too late now but the fact that you condone selling an ally out to appease a criminal regime makes me wonder where your moral compass would be pointing on September 1st, 1939. "yes Mr.Hitler, take Poland, we wont protest".
This thread has been your Waterloo, Steve. It is not too late to turn back. And you should, because you are straight on your way to freethought land. |
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contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 4:20 am Post subject: |
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Smaking them down should be easy.
1. Offically recognize Taiwan's independance. Rocognize the Dalai Lama as the trues ruler of Tibet.
2. Boycott the Olympics.
3. Interfere with their old supply.
4, Use recoprocal trade enforement on them. If Chnia won't float their currency float it for them in all US/China trade. Put BIG tariffs for dumping.
5. Make a big list of things that can't be sold to China.
6. Make complant after complaint to the WTO
Come to think of it similar restrictiona are rumored to have caused the Japanese to raid Pearl Harbor. |
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stevemcgarrett

Joined: 24 Mar 2006
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 6:49 am Post subject: |
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jinju wrote:
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straight out of the Chamberlain school of "realpolitik". |
No, it's called the Kissinger school and it was devised during the Nixon Administration. Evidently you know nothing about the Shanghai Accords.
Show me specifically where I am condoning Chinese government support of thug regimes. If not, clamp it.
How, specifically, has Taiwan been "sold out?" As I said, if you can read, we have a security arrangement with them.
Ya know, jinju, debating with you is almost like arguing with EFLTrainer. You two should meet on X-treme Sports. I'd buy tickets.
contrarian enumerated:
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1. Offically recognize Taiwan's independance. Rocognize the Dalai Lama as the trues ruler of Tibet. |
Oh, that's brilliant. And how do you suppose that would impact our relationship with China? Never mind the military consequences, what of the economic fallout? Recognizing the Dalai Lama won't get him back to power in Tibet. And the Tibetan rulers weren't exactly egalitarian in 1950.
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2. Boycott the Olympics. |
Now you're sounding like Jimmy Carter. It would only result in more medals for China and more grist for the propaganda mill.
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3. Interfere with their old supply. |
You mean "oil" supply? How would we go about doing that? So your answer is to provoke a confrontation? That's clear-headed thinking.
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4. Use recoprocal trade enforement on them. If Chnia won't float their currency float it for them in all US/China trade. Put BIG tariffs for dumping. |
Dumping cases must be referred to the WTO and we've lost two on that score already, including one on steel. Unilateral tariffs might be a short-term solution but the long-term solution is the restructuring of the Chinese banking system, something I doubt you have any firsthand knowledge of.
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5. Make a big list of things that can't be sold to China. |
And then what, give them to Santa to check twice?
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6. Make complant after complaint to the WTO |
see 4 (above).
You're really in top form, bruddah.
Let me guess jinju and contrarian:
You would have supported the use of nuclear weapons across the Yalu River into China at the start of the Korean War, as USAF General Curtis LeMay advocated and Truman shot down? |
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contrarian
Joined: 20 Jan 2007 Location: Nearly in NK
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 10:50 am Post subject: |
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In reverse order.
1. Nuclear weapons across the Yalu, yes. Re Lwmay, I think you are confusing the Cuban crisis with the Korean war.
2. Kissinger - Shanghai accords. Nixon and Kissinger were wrong. The Chines broke them iin some of their agressive spasms in any event..
3. Recognizing Taiwan and Tibet would create a serious confronation and loss of face for the CHinese. That is a good thing. Do you think Bush's Ballistic Missle defence is aimed anywhere but Chines. Get real. The military consequences are China's choice, they are realist enough to bitch like hell rattle a few sabres and take it. If not, nuke em/
4. Olympic boycotts speak to loss of face and economic loss. Medals at a boycotted olympics don't count for much - remember Moscow.
5. I've already said my goal is to provke a confrontation, beter now when the Chinese will lose rather than later when they might not.
5. I understand the baking issue quite well, my BA is in Economics. It is the vulberability of the Chinese banking system that I was aiming at. It is unweildy and overheated. A shove like that woul put it over the edge.
6. Nope the tooth fairly could check it instead. Dumb answer to a dum response. I would also heavily prosecute Chinese industrial espionage.
7. WTO item by item, inundate them. Just look what Boeing has done to Airbus with the same method.
8. In the '50's I was a better dead than red believer, I still am.
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On the other hand
Joined: 19 Apr 2003 Location: I walk along the avenue
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 11:00 am Post subject: |
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Recognizing Taiwan and Tibet would create a serious confronation and loss of face for the CHinese. |
re: Tibet. How would this work exactly? Okay, the US gets up and announces that they recognize Tibet as an independent country. Then what? China just shrugs their shoulders, and pulls all their troops, businessmen, etc out of Tibet? I don't think so. |
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Gopher

Joined: 04 Jun 2005
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Posted: Fri May 25, 2007 11:21 am Post subject: |
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On the other hand wrote: |
How would this work exactly...? |
As they say, "possession is nine-tenths of the law..."
Tibet is in Beijing's hands. We are simply not positioned to influence this. Taiwan is a different case, but I think we ought to withdraw and let Beijing reassert its authority there, too.
The Taiwanese I know, here in America-- students on a free-ride for their doctorates, for example -- complain about, suspect, and accuse America of "controlling" Taiwanese politics. Pretty bitter. We are too involved they allege. They also complain that we are not involved enough, not serious enough, about protecting them.
Ya basta. Let us leave then, and let the Taiwanese deal with Beijing. No great loss to us.
Beijing is a far better trading partner, of course. We ought to go with them on this and see where it leads. And, in any case, Tibet and Taiwan no valen la pena, as they say. |
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