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ontheway
Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...
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 Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 5:31 am Post subject: |
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Hillary is favored 3 to 1. It's 1 to 3 against.
Ron Paul is favored 1 to 6. It's 6 to 1 against. |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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| Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 7:28 am Post subject: |
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| Gopher wrote: |
| Kuros wrote: |
| ...a hero for the true believer libertarians and Canadians, apparently. |
That is about it. Add young and Idealistic university students to that and you have just identified Ron Paul's base-of-support. |
Libertarian Canadians as well, don't forget. Oh, and he gets more money from active duty GI Joe's than any other candidate. And he makes all the sensitive little flag covered flowers on the right nutty in their emotional defensiveness. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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| Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 12:59 pm Post subject: |
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| thepeel wrote: |
| Gopher wrote: |
| Kuros wrote: |
| ...a hero for the true believer libertarians and Canadians, apparently. |
That is about it. Add young and Idealistic university students to that and you have just identified Ron Paul's base-of-support. |
Libertarian Canadians as well, don't forget. Oh, and he gets more money from active duty GI Joe's than any other candidate. And he makes all the sensitive little flag covered flowers on the right nutty in their emotional defensiveness. |
Its true: Ron Paul's entertainment value is not to be denied. Watching him humiliate Giuliani was priceless. |
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bacasper
Joined: 26 Mar 2007
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| Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 11:12 pm Post subject: |
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| ontheway wrote: |
Hillary is favored 3 to 1. It's 1 to 3 against.
Ron Paul is favored 1 to 6. It's 6 to 1 against. |
You're obviously not a gambler. The "favorite" in any race is the entry on which you get the least potential return for each dollar bet. thus, there is only one favorite in each race (unless two entries have exactly the same amount of money bet on them, in which case they are "co-favorites").
In this race, Hillary is the favorite at 1-3, i.e. bet $3, get back $4 if you win. In other races, the odds on a favorite are 3-1 in which case a $3 wager will return $12. $9 profit vs. $1 is a huge difference. |
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loose_ends
Joined: 23 Jul 2007
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| Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 11:47 pm Post subject: |
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| Gopher wrote: |
| Kuros wrote: |
| ...a hero for the true believer libertarians and Canadians, apparently. |
That is about it. Add young and Idealistic university students to that and you have just identified Ron Paul's base-of-support.
Too bad none of the above have anything at all to say about the Republican primaries, however...Because here is where Ron Paul's future will be decided.
People can start as many internet polls as they like; they can also start threads and spell "revolution" with "LOVE" until the cows come home. But most of them are not registered Republicans.
And how many people here honestly believe that Republican voters will nominate Ron Paul for president? Any takers on that bet? |
so who would you be putting your money on then? |
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee
Joined: 25 May 2003
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| Posted: Sat Dec 01, 2007 11:59 pm Post subject: |
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| thepeel wrote: |
| Gopher wrote: |
| Kuros wrote: |
| ...a hero for the true believer libertarians and Canadians, apparently. |
That is about it. Add young and Idealistic university students to that and you have just identified Ron Paul's base-of-support. |
Libertarian Canadians as well, don't forget. Oh, and he gets more money from active duty GI Joe's than any other candidate. And he makes all the sensitive little flag covered flowers on the right nutty in their emotional defensiveness. |
US military up to this point hasn't contributed much. Mucy more money will be contributred when the election is a two candidate race
Futhermore RP is a libertarian and the only candidate with the views he has . All the other republican candidates compete against one another. |
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ontheway
Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 12:52 am Post subject: |
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| Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote: |
| thepeel wrote: |
| Gopher wrote: |
| Kuros wrote: |
| ...a hero for the true believer libertarians and Canadians, apparently. |
That is about it. Add young and Idealistic university students to that and you have just identified Ron Paul's base-of-support. |
Libertarian Canadians as well, don't forget. Oh, and he gets more money from active duty GI Joe's than any other candidate. And he makes all the sensitive little flag covered flowers on the right nutty in their emotional defensiveness. |
US military up to this point hasn't contributed much. Mucy more money will be contributred when the election is a two candidate race
Futhermore RP is a libertarian and the only candidate with the views he has . All the other republican candidates compete against one another. |
Joo, while what you say here is true, it misses the point:
Ron Paul's donations from military service personnel exceed the combined total of ALL of the other Republican candidates. Furthermore, Obama is second in donations from military personnel.
In other words: the military is AGAINST this stupid Iraq war. |
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee
Joined: 25 May 2003
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 2:33 am Post subject: |
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Here it is in perspective.
So Paul got 23 people in uniform to send him money
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The center tallied money from donors who list the Air Force, Army, Marines, Navy and National Guard as an employer. Overall, these donations are miniscule: Obama got 44 contributions worth about $27,000 and Paul 23 for about $19,300. Republican John McCain, an Iraq war supporter and Vietnam prisoner of war, was third with about $18,500 from 32 donors.
In 2004, military personnel contributed $1.2 million to presidential and congressional candidates, the center said. This year, those donations are about $200,000. |
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=3601542
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| Altschuler cautioned against reading too much into the early contributions, particularly in such small amounts. "These figures could look very different in a few months." |
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igotthisguitar
Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee
Joined: 25 May 2003
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 6:07 am Post subject: |
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| Who are you gonna vote for? |
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bacasper
Joined: 26 Mar 2007
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 7:03 am Post subject: |
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Bodog's got some interesting props:
That the Dec. 16th Ron Paul Tea Party will raise more than the $4.3 million raised during his "money bomb" is heavily favored: Yes -900 (You gotta bet 900 to win 100) No +500 (bet 100 to win 500)
But practically a sure thing is:
Will Ron Paul raise a total of $12 million or more in contributions by December 31, 2007? Yes -1750! No +650
With the latest Virginia straw poll results indicating that his steam keeps rolling on, a Yes here may be your best bet:
Will the Ron Paul Tea Party 2007 meet its goal of raising $10 million or more in donations? Yes +250 No -400 |
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igotthisguitar
Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)
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| Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 1:38 pm Post subject: |
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| Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote: |
| Who are you gonna vote for? |
Well duh ...
Now who do you "think" WE should vote for?
GHOST-BUSTERS !!!
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bacasper
Joined: 26 Mar 2007
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| Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:46 am Post subject: |
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Post-NH primary updated odds from Blue Square:
Winning party:
Republicans 13/8
Democrats 4/9
Next US President
Hillary Clinton 5/4
Barack Obama 9/4
John McCain 4/1
Rudy Giuliani 15/2
Mike Huckabee 16/1
Michael Bloomberg 20/1
Mitt Romney 20/1
John Edwards 66/1
Ron Paul 66/1
Fred Thompson 100/1
Republican nomination:
John McCain 11/8
Rudy Giuliani 9/4
Mike Huckabee 7/2
Mitt Romney 7/1
Ron Paul 20/1
Fred Thompson 28/1
Democratic nomination
Hillary Clinton 8/13
Barack Obama 6/5
John Edwards 33/1 |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994
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| Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 4:03 am Post subject: |
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Michael Bloomberg 20/1
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Ron Paul 66/1
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I like this. Someone who isn't even a candidate has a better chance of being elected than RP.  |
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bacasper
Joined: 26 Mar 2007
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| Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 7:38 am Post subject: |
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| Ya-ta Boy wrote: |
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Michael Bloomberg 20/1
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Ron Paul 66/1
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I like this. Someone who isn't even a candidate has a better chance of being elected than RP. |
You have been long suffering from an obsession to see the world through Ron Paul-colored glasses, haven't you? You might benefit from professional help. |
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