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America faces day of reckoning with debt
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 11:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

To understand a little more:

It you owe $100,000 on a mortgage, that is the net present value of your debt. But, you know, you will have to pay more than that over the life of the loan. Your total will be maybe $250,000 depending, of course, on your interest rate. This is your debt: $100,000 and it has nothing to do with predictions of what your income will be. To be debt free today, assuming that your mortgage is your only obligation, you would need to come up with $100,000.


The $46 trillion or $60 trillion is the current value, that is TODAY, of the Federal government's debt. It is not the total of the payments. The total payments will be 2 or 3 times that. It is not total expenditures. The government will pay for other things too. No. This number is the debt. It is the amount of money the government would need TODAY to become debt free.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 11:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:


Go get an accounting major. Go study actuarial science. Yes, then maybe you'll understand what he and I are saying. And, yes, then maybe you'll wake up.


Maybe if you had some actual data or links to back you up, you wouldn't have to resort to condescension.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 11:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Please watch the video links I have provided. I have an accounting major and the guy is trying his best to explain. He's quite bright.
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luvnpeas



Joined: 03 Aug 2006
Location: somewhere i have never travelled

PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 4:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
Money must be backed by something of value or it is worthless.


Can I have all your worthless (not backed by gold) money?

Speculation (or greed, depending on how you spin it) caused the housing bubble. That's inherently capitalistic in the sense that "capitalistic" describes a mindset.
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luvnpeas



Joined: 03 Aug 2006
Location: somewhere i have never travelled

PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 4:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
If you studied accounting and actuarial science you would understand.
...
Go get an accounting major. Go study actuarial science.


This has nothing to do with actuarial science. Do you have a degree in accounting?

Debt and liability are not the same thing on corporate balance sheets.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 4:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A = L + OE

Dr = Cr


That'll get you started.

"Debt" and "Liabilities" are treated the same on corporate consolidated balance sheets. Yes, there are legal differences in types of liabilities: long term and short term debts, payables, contingent liabilities etc.

On business balance sheets under GAAP, pension and other liabilities must be listed and itemized. These are corporate or business obligations that must be paid. The net unfunded portion of any pension is a liability of the business. It is different from a contracted long term loan or other bank debt. It is different from unpaid wages due, taxes payable, trade accounts payable. Yes, each is different. But all are obligations of the business. All are liabilities. And all are "debts" (by the dictionary definition used by regular folk) that much ultimately be paid and must, legally be included in the liability section on the right side of the balance sheet.

Likewise, the government has tens of trillions in unfunded liabilities. The government also hides payables if they are due in a period beyond the fiscal year. Many contracted debts are not included in the "official" $9 trillion debt. The official debt numbers are meaningless and fraudulent. They do not include all of the trade payables. They do not include contingent liabilities. They do not include unfunded pension liabilities. They do not include a variety of real debts. Anything that they can hide, they hide. If any business left these items off their books, the executives would be jailed.


The US comptroller is telling us some of this problem in his video. He also states quite accurately that the numbers he is talking about are actually low. That means that for purposes of his presentation he is estimating "conservatively." He is giving the lowest possible reasonable number so as to not overstate his case.

The $46 trillion in liabilities of the Federal Government in FY 2005 actually is significantly understated. No one who has looked at the numbers has disputed them for being too high.
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luvnpeas



Joined: 03 Aug 2006
Location: somewhere i have never travelled

PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 7:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I was (without being very specific) referring to your claim that corporate executives who didn't classify all liabilities as debt would go to jail. In fact, it is proper accounting not to classify all liabilities as debt.

I'm not sure why people obsess over a gold standard. Gold has most of its value by convention, not utility. So, it is very similar in principle to paper money. If you wanted to base money on a tangible asset whose value didn't depend on convention, something like copper, oil or natural gas would make much more sense. Even silver has more practical use than gold.
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 7:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Onetheway is right.


AP
Accural method would show higher deficit

Quote:
WASHINGTON - The federal budget deficit would have been 69 percent higher than the $162.8 billion reported two months ago if the government had used the same accounting methods as private companies, the Bush administration reported Monday.

The administration, releasing the "Financial Report of the United States Government" for 2007, said that the deficit under the accrual method of accounting would have totaled $275.5 billion for the fiscal year ending Sept. 30.

The report was released by the Treasury Department and the president's Office of Management and Budget. Under the accrual method of accounting, expenses are recorded when they are incurred rather than when they are paid. That raises the costs for liabilities such as pensions and health insurance.

The $275.5 billion deficit under the accrual method of accounting was still down by 38.7 percent from the deficit under this accounting method the previous year, when it totaled $449.5 billion.

The deficit on a cash-flow basis of $162.8 billion represented the lowest imbalance in five years. The administration noted the decline in the deficit under both measurements.

"The 2.6 trillion in record-breaking revenues that flowed into the Treasury this year reflect a healthy economy," Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said in a statement accompanying the new report.

Congress ordered the government a decade ago to start issuing annual reports using the accrual method of accounting in an effort to show the finances in a way that was comparable with the private sector.

As it has for every report, the Government Accountability Office, Congress' auditing arm, said it could not sign off on the books because of problems at various agencies, most notably the Defense Department.

In a letter, GAO Comptroller General David M. Walker did note that his agency was able to sign off on the financial statement for the Social Security and Medicare programs.

"The federal government did not maintain effective internal control over financial reporting, including safeguarding assets, and compliance with significant laws and regulations," Walker said in his letter.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071217/ap_on_go_ot/budget_deficit

I suppose the AP has a tinfoil hat on. I wonder what other government supplied economic statistics are incorrect?
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 7:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

luvnpeas wrote:
I was (without being very specific) referring to your claim that corporate executives who didn't classify all liabilities as debt would go to jail. In fact, it is proper accounting not to classify all liabilities as debt.



It's not an issue of how you list the liabilities: there are accounts payable, taxes payable, accrued taxes, deferred taxes, salaries and wages payable, deferred compensation, short term loans, long term loans and a myriad of other possibilities under the catagory liabilities.

The issue is that the Federal government HIDES most of its liabilities, no matter what you want to call them. It a corporate chief financial officer tried that, he'd go to jail.

The US government has liabilities that should be listed on its balance sheet that now exceed $60 trillion. These are the current amounts. Some represent the net present value of unfunded obligations, but using standard accounting they should be reported. Major corporations have to do it.

Why is it OK for the government to commit out and out FRAUD which is already illegal for everyone else?
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 9:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The government can commit fraud for the same reason they can commit war crimes. They are the government. And people accept it. This will never change.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 11:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:


That's all very well and good. But dude, I scored a -4.46 on the libertarian scale, and Dr. Paul can't even manage a -0.25. You don't think this poll is flawed?


Nope. Dr. paul isn't very libertarian when it comes to social policy is he?

I don't think it is flawed personally. According to my comparative politics professor, it is pretty accurate in representing political parties across the world. Given the fact that I can't really find a candidate in the US that espouses my own personal philosophy, I'd say there is some truth to it. Very Happy
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 11:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

That other test is completely wrong. The questions are not based on single choices. They have built in bias and are either intended to give skewed results or are based on total illogic. The choices are like this:

Choose one:

a) abortion legal and end the Iraq war
or
b) abortion illegal and kill all the arabs

If you want a little of (a) and (b) you get no choice.




For an accurate picture, you should use the one I put up:


Here it is again:

Try this quiz:


http://www.theadvocates.org/quiz.html


This will give you an accurate political position.

Ron Paul comes out pure libertarian.


The political group that
agrees with you most is...

.

LIBERTARIAN

LIBERTARIANS support maximum liberty in both personal and

economic matters. They advocate a much smaller government; one

that is limited to protecting individuals from coercion and violence.

Libertarians tend to embrace individual responsibility, oppose

government bureaucracy and taxes, promote private charity, tolerate

diverse lifestyles, support the free market, and defend civil liberties.

The RED DOT on the Chart shows where you fit on the political map.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 12:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
That other test is completely wrong. The questions are not based on single choices. They have built in bias and are either intended to give skewed results or are based on total illogic. The choices are like this:

Choose one:

a) abortion legal and end the Iraq war
or
b) abortion illegal and kill all the arabs

If you want a little of (a) and (b) you get no choice.


Confused

What test are you referring to?

And come on, the one you provided is a joke. It is obviously slanted to the libertarian viewpoint.
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thepeel



Joined: 08 Aug 2004

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 6:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The question is this:

Is the AP wearing a "tinfoil hat"? They asserted that the government lied about their data. I believe that meets the criteria.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 6:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thepeel wrote:
The question is this:

Is the AP wearing a "tinfoil hat"? They asserted that the government lied about their data. I believe that meets the criteria.


No. I think I get it now. But this is a new way for me to conceptualize debt: even the National debt people don't talk about 'fiscal exposure' in the same way.
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