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bassexpander
Joined: 13 Sep 2007 Location: Someplace you'd rather be.
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Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 3:07 am Post subject: |
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Bass,
I don't think that's going to happen. I'm optimisitc it's not even going to be a factor if Tuesday's outcome goes how I think it will.
I'd already seen the statement (although it wasn't through Fox it was through a newspaper) earlier today. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 3:44 am Post subject: |
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I don't think the superdelegates are going to be the deciding factor either. Obama is going to win, and win big in the next few weeks and Clinton will continue to weaken, probably to the point of dropping out. |
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stillnotking

Joined: 18 Dec 2007 Location: Oregon, USA
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 6:50 am Post subject: |
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The Clintons tend to assume that the super delegates who have endorsed Hillary have some kind of rock-ribbed loyalty to her that will preclude them switching their votes. It's bunk, of course; the Clinton family's sense of what the party owes them is far out of step with what the party thinks, and no super delegate wants to play spoiler (especially those whose constituencies voted for Obama).
I agree with Ya-Ta: it's not going to come to that. Obama will pick up enough of a pledged delegate lead that the Clinton camp won't have even their current, weak case for super delegate support, the supers will jump ship, and that's all she wrote. |
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee

Joined: 25 May 2003
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 1:35 pm Post subject: |
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I hope FLA and Mich people get their say. |
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Captain Corea

Joined: 28 Feb 2005 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 3:30 pm Post subject: |
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote: |
I hope FLA and Mich people get their say. |
If so, they need to be re-done. |
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Czarjorge

Joined: 01 May 2007 Location: I now have the same moustache, and it is glorious.
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 7:42 pm Post subject: |
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I hope Michigan and Florida DON'T get their say. What is wrong with holding people accountable? I've gone from respecting the Clintons to loathing them in four short months. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 7:49 pm Post subject: |
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Czarjorge wrote: |
I hope Michigan and Florida DON'T get their say. What is wrong with holding people accountable? |
Because the primary voters of these states did not make the decision to move their states' primaries up. A select handful of these states' elites did.
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I've gone from respecting the Clintons to loathing them in four short months. |
What the hell does that have to do with MI and FL? |
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Czarjorge

Joined: 01 May 2007 Location: I now have the same moustache, and it is glorious.
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 8:17 pm Post subject: |
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Kuros wrote: |
Czarjorge wrote: |
I hope Michigan and Florida DON'T get their say. What is wrong with holding people accountable? |
Because the primary voters of these states did not make the decision to move their states' primaries up. A select handful of these states' elites did.
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I've gone from respecting the Clintons to loathing them in four short months. |
What the hell does that have to do with MI and FL? |
point the first: Both states are primary states. I'm not sure exactly how delegates are selected in either state, but in most primary states the elites are the delegates. Wouldn't it be just as disenfranchising to the average Dem in those states if the delegations were seated as they currently stand. I wouldn't be opposed to giving them a mulligan, but not holding to the rules sends a very bad message to any state Dem organization. Those states parties were the ones that disenfranchised their members, those "average people" should get involved and remove the Dem leadership.
point the second: Are you serious? Who's pushing to get MI and FL included? Old Miss Spoil Sport, that's who. |
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Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong
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Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2008 9:30 pm Post subject: |
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Kuros wrote: |
What the hell does that have to do with MI and FL? |
I would guess what Czar is alluding to is the fact that Clinton is going to try to seat those two states. That along with superdelegates is the core strategy behind how she thinks she's going to win the nomination. Unfortunately, she should be concentrating on winning primaries and spend less time stating about how other states don't count.
If you'll remember a couple of months ago, it was me who predicted there would be lawsuits over the Florida and Michigan primaries. I still think it may come down to that. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 12:06 pm Post subject: |
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Czarjorge wrote: |
Kuros wrote: |
Czarjorge wrote: |
I hope Michigan and Florida DON'T get their say. What is wrong with holding people accountable? |
Because the primary voters of these states did not make the decision to move their states' primaries up. A select handful of these states' elites did.
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I've gone from respecting the Clintons to loathing them in four short months. |
What the hell does that have to do with MI and FL? |
point the first: Both states are primary states. I'm not sure exactly how delegates are selected in either state, but in most primary states the elites are the delegates. Wouldn't it be just as disenfranchising to the average Dem in those states if the delegations were seated as they currently stand. I wouldn't be opposed to giving them a mulligan, but not holding to the rules sends a very bad message to any state Dem organization. Those states parties were the ones that disenfranchised their members, those "average people" should get involved and remove the Dem leadership.
point the second: Are you serious? Who's pushing to get MI and FL included? Old Miss Spoil Sport, that's who. |
To your first point: Whoever is the nominee, they'll have to explain why they supported the DNC's decision to disenfranchise MI and FL to people who had nothing to do with the scheduling.
I agree that not holding to the rules would send a very bad message. But the RNC punished SC much more wisely: it halved their delegates.
The mulligan solution is the best solution. Obama should get the chance to compete in MI, and run a full campaign in FL. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 2:33 pm Post subject: |
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I don't believe it's right to disenfranchize people, especially when the average citizen had nothing to do with the infraction. It would be unfair to Obama to seat the delegates chosen in the original primaries, because he respected the decision.
The DNC should re-schedule primaries in Michigan and Florida, if it becomes clear their votes could determine a winner between Clinton and Obama.
I'm in agreement with:
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Obama should get the chance to compete in MI, and run a full campaign in FL. |
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stillnotking

Joined: 18 Dec 2007 Location: Oregon, USA
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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 2:52 pm Post subject: |
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The DNC offered to reschedule new primaries and even pay for them. Florida & Michigan wouldn't go for it -- after all, that would negate the whole foundation of their little power play.
The best we can hope for is that the nominee is decided before the convention, and that the DNC wakes up, smells the coffee, and totally revamps the rules after November. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 3:33 pm Post subject: |
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stillnotking wrote: |
The DNC offered to reschedule new primaries and even pay for them. Florida & Michigan wouldn't go for it -- after all, that would negate the whole foundation of their little power play.
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Link? |
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Tiger Beer

Joined: 07 Feb 2003
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Posted: Mon Feb 18, 2008 5:14 pm Post subject: |
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I also thought it was pretty much a given that Hiliary is going to win this thing through the superdelegate system.
I want Obama to win it just as much as the next guy, and will be disappointed if he doesn't, but I've already resigned it to the fact it'll be Clinton vs McCain come November (sadly). |
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