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Canadian Loonie (Dollar) likely to fall below 90 cents

 
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Adventurer



Joined: 28 Jan 2006

PostPosted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 10:01 am    Post subject: Canadian Loonie (Dollar) likely to fall below 90 cents Reply with quote

Days of dollar parity at end, loonie likely to fall below 90 cents US: RBC
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1 hour, 53 minutes ago



By The Canadian Press

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OTTAWA - The high-flying loonie is likely to descend to the 90-cent-US level later this year and continue weakening into next year, says a new forecast from Canada's largest bank.


The Royal Bank research report predicts the Canadian economy will outperform that of its southern neighbour, but a U.S. recovery in the second half of 2008 and the curtailment of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will strengthen the American dollar.


"By the end of the year, we expect the loonie to average 90.9 US cents," says the report from RBC economist Craig Wright.

UNDOLLARCANADIEN
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 1:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Isn't this good news for Canadian exports, which rely on American consumers for more than 3/4ths of their business?
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mindmetoo



Joined: 02 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good because I got a ton of money in US funds.
Good because I have more $US coming.
Bad because things are really, really cheap these days. Inflation is running at 1%.
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mindmetoo



Joined: 02 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 5:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
Isn't this good news for Canadian exports, which rely on American consumers for more than 3/4ths of their business?


I think Canada rode out the last US recession because of the cheap Canadian dollar. Companies in the US looking to improve their bottom line went north. It will probably ride out this one because of energy exports. With oil at $111 a bbl, it really doesn't matter what price the Canadian dollar.
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