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time to invade burma?
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mrgiles



Joined: 09 Jul 2007
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

although i'm against a military intervention, it is interesting to see which governments make the list as ripe for that terrifying euphemism, "regime change," and which don't. yet another reason why the yank invasions of afghanistan and iraq are despicable. btw that puppet kharzai's government might not be as bad as the one it replaced, but it's still not a particularly nice one.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mrgiles wrote:
the yank invasions of afghanistan [is] despicable.


Rolling Eyes
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chris_J2



Joined: 17 Apr 2006
Location: From Brisbane, Au.

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:43 pm    Post subject: Myanmar Reply with quote

The Russians invaded Afghanistan first.

"Initially Soviet deployment of the 40th Army in Afghanistan began on August 7, 1978. The final troop withdrawal began on May 15, 1988, and ended on February 15, 1989." Almost 14,000 Russian soldiers died.

"The 1989 to 1992 phase of the civil war in Afghanistan began after the Soviets withdrew from Afghanistan, leaving the Democratic Republic of Afghanistan to fend for itself against the Mujahideen. After several years of fighting, the government fell in 1992."

"The 1992 to 1996 phase of the Civil war in Afghanistan began with the capture of Kabul by the Mujahideen groups, and involved different factions of the Mujahideen turning on one another, until finally in 1996, the Taliban captured Kabul." (source: Wikipedia)

As everyone knows, the Taliban supported Osama Bin Laden, & the terrorist attacks on the WTC / USA in 2001. The US responded in October 2001.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Afghanistan_(2001%E2%80%93present)

It is unfair to blame the US, for the current complex mess in Afghanistan. Many individual nations, & the UN, support the war in Afghanistan.

Iraq is another matter, altogether. That war is the folly of GWB, who was too eager to replace one problem, with another. Countries like Canada & NZ, wisely decided to stay out of it.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mrgiles wrote:
although i'm against a military intervention, it is interesting to see which governments make the list as ripe for that terrifying euphemism, "regime change," and which don't. yet another reason why the yank invasions of afghanistan and iraq are despicable. btw that puppet kharzai's government might not be as bad as the one it replaced, but it's still not a particularly nice one.


This Aisan tragedy is an opportunity to slam American policy in the Middle East?

So it is. By the time commonwealthers get done rendering themselves unemployable in modern labor markets via a 4 year and 40grand liberal arts degree, they have have also absorbed 4 years of American-centric nonsense that further leaves them unable to comment on any subject without bringing up those darn Americans.

"Hey, kiwi, did you hear about that terrible car accident in Suwon?" "Yeah, it reminded me of the Iraq war!". Etc.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 10:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Red Cross is saying that up to 128,000 people may have died. This is surely one of the greatest human catastrophes in a long, long while and if the government continues to prohibit aid, could surpass the boxing day tsunami in the number of dead.

I do not support invasion, but perhaps the UN (okok, USA) could just drop thousands of tons of aid?
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Sincinnatislink



Joined: 30 Jan 2007
Location: Top secret.

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 11:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:

Yup. And the primary tool used to keep it together has been rape. You smug little dork.


I'm talking in simple terms of getting as few people killed as possible.

For example, I never supported Saddam Hussein as a leader, but he managed to kill a lot fewer people than the US-led invasion did in the process of governing the place with an iron fist.

There are countless similar examples even in recent history.
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bookemdanno



Joined: 30 Apr 2008

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 2:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I never cease to be amazed by the breadth of historical ignorance and wishful thinking on this forum. But I console myself by remembering that few of the posters here are teaching history (rinky dink introductory culture classes don't count, fellas).

mrgiles drooled out:

Quote:
yet another reason why the yank invasions of afghanistan and iraq are despicable. btw that puppet kharzai's government might not be as bad as the one it replaced, but it's still not a particularly nice one


Aside from the glaring inaccuracy that the war in Afghanistan is strictly an American affair or that perhaps millions of Afghan women and girls are glad to have the chance to get an education, Afghan teens to listen to pop music, and older citizens to visit sites of cultural heritage without fear of an explosion, perhaps you're onto something.

Quote:
might not be as bad as the one it replaced
Gee, ya think maybe?

So if a government under duress, as Kharzai's has been, no thanks to Musharaff's "truce" with the Pakistani border tribes and al-Qaeda operatives, isn't playing "nice," they're suspect. Wow, that's a brilliant deduction. Dang.

Sinncinnatislink blathered:

Quote:
For example, I never supported Saddam Hussein as a leader, but he managed to kill a lot fewer people than the US-led invasion did in the process of governing the place with an iron fist.

There are countless similar examples even in recent history.


Uh-huh, I see. So you're fairly certain Hussein would have refrained from more killing on a broad scale had he been in power over the past five years, eh? I suppose the genocide against the Shi'as and Kurds was small potatoes compared to the apparent "genocidal" acts of those vicious Americans. Sorry, but you're beginning to sound like an editorial page editor for The Guardian on crack.

Yes, our "iron fist" was so powerful that nary a Sunni insurgent, Shi'a militia, Kurd cross-border fighter, or al Qaeda terrorist has managed to get their way in Iraq. Shiver me timbers. Rolling Eyes
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bookemdanno



Joined: 30 Apr 2008

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 2:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Who's talking about regime change in Myanmar? While I'd dearly love to see it (and so would the real Burmese leader under house arrest), the issue is whether to go in full force and provide emergency aid.

If we can't even summon up the resolve in the U.N. do circumvent one of the worst natural disasters of the past hundred years, then what use is the Security Council?

Time to grow some chest hair, fellas.
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nicholas_chiasson



Joined: 14 Jun 2007
Location: Samcheok

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 3:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

All governments rule by consent of the people. Those who do not consent are dead in a totalitarian regime. If enough people die, you have no people to rule. The Mongol's Vast Empire collapsed mostly cause a system of depopulation ruins your economy. Burma has been on shakey economic grounds for ages. If the west actually exercised a little military force the whole thing collapses. Would it better? I don't know. Unlike Iraq, there are few self described experts on SE Asian socio-politics.
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chris_J2



Joined: 17 Apr 2006
Location: From Brisbane, Au.

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 4:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
he managed to kill a lot fewer people than the US-led invasion did


Were you aware that over 1 million to 1.5 million died in the Iraq -vs- Iran war, instigated by Saddam Hussein, 1980-1988? "The war began when Iraq invaded Iran on 22 September 1980".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran-Iraq_War
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Grab the Chickens Levi



Joined: 29 Apr 2008
Location: Ilsan

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 5:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Drew345 wrote:
Actually, it wouldn't quite be all wine and roses is the current junta were overthrown. The county would divide.
Myanmar is 7 "divisions" which are Burmese majorities; and 7 "states" which have majorities of non-burmese (Shan, Kachin, Karen, Mon, Chin, Kayah, Rhakaine). If the military government were overthrown, certainly 3 or 4 of these states, which have been fighting for independence for years, would seperate. Could be civil war. Sounds too much like another recent invasion scenario.

Still, if the NLD rules; states that want to stay, stay; those that want to go, go. Sure sounds better than the inept, ruthless, China-backed military junta that they have now.


What he said. Civil war like in Iraq.
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Julius



Joined: 27 Jul 2006

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 5:46 am    Post subject: Re: Myanmar Reply with quote

chris_J2 wrote:
The Khmer Rouge managed to keep Cambodia together, too... at a price.


Indeed...Killing 2 million of its own citizens in the space of 4 years...

And nobody intervened except the vietnamese ( based on territorial disputes rather than humanitarian grounds).
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 8:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The difference between Burma and Cambodia is this: the latter was at peace and prosperous. Due to a number of outside factors, civil war broke out. In the case of the former, there was no domestic peace from the time the Brits left up until a few years ago. I also believe Cambodia is more homogeneous than Burma.

That being said, maybe a democratically-elected gov't in Burma would allow more autonomy to minority groups, thereby minimizing the potential for internal conflict. All pure speculation obviously.
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chris_J2



Joined: 17 Apr 2006
Location: From Brisbane, Au.

PostPosted: Thu May 15, 2008 11:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

From US Campaign for Burma:

"Our emails over the past few days have increasingly stressed the extreme humanitarian crisis that faces millions of Burmese right now. The crisis is urgent and dire, and the waiting can no longer continue without costing lives. If we wait for the approval of the Burmese regime we will have to start shipping in coffins instead of food supplies.

Congressional leaders, Rep. Peter King (R) and Rep. Joseph Crowley (D), are organizing a letter to President Bush urging him to "work with the British, French, German, Danish and other supportive and regional governments to immediately intervene in the Irrawaddy Delta region of Burma to provide urgent life-saving humanitarian aid to the survivors of Cyclone Nargis."

Call your member of the U.S. House of Representative today and urge them to sign this letter to President Bush. It is really easy to do, instructions are below. Calling is the MOST effective way to get your Representative on your side quickly (call today - deadline is close of business today).

Call-in information:

1)Go to www.house.gov to find your Representative and contact information. Find the number for the DC office

2)Ask to speak to the person who handles Foreign Affairs

3)Ask the staffer to have your Representative sign onto the King-Crowley letter to President Bush - "Help the Burmese People Now".

4) Explain the urgency of the situation in Burma

5) Tell them why you care

6) Tell them in order to sign on to the letter they need to contact Adam Paulson in Rep. Peter King's (if Republican) or Greg Sheiowitz in Rep. Crowley's (if Democrat) office by the end of the day Thursday May 15th

An Overview of the Situation: It is now 11 days since the cyclone hit and nations are still talking and waiting for the Burmese regime to allow aid into the country and reach the most vulnerable population. While the waiting happens, 220,000 people are still missing and aid agencies report that 1.5 to 2 million people are likely to die from disease and starvation if aid does not get in immediately.

The Burmese regime is cutting of the Irrawaddy Delta and not allowing aid agencies to distribute supplies. It is extremely troubling that, according to a World Food Program spokesperson, the trickle of international aid allowed to enter the country and reach the most vulnerable population amounts to less than 20% of the aid needed to stave off death from starvation and disease for more than 1.5 million people.

Reliable reports also confirm regime officials have been both selling international aid supplies in local markets and keeping the high-quality international food aid for themselves while dolling out low quality and, in certain cases, rotten food to survivors of the cyclone. International aid agencies operating in Burma warn that only 10% of the logistical staff needed to cope with the millions struggling to survive had arrived in the country 10 days after Cyclone Nargis struck

Food, shelter, water, and aid workers to help distribute aid are not getting in. The time for waiting is over."

Obviously, the above is only applicable to Americans.
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bookemdanno



Joined: 30 Apr 2008

PostPosted: Fri May 16, 2008 1:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Great follow-up article, Chris_J2, mahalo:

I have a question for everyone here:

Would it really bother you if the UN Security Council or some members thereof used this as a pretext to rout the Burmese military junta?

Basic humanitarian obligations trump issues of political legitimacy and the "Prime Directive" in my book any day.

I wouldn't be troubled. The duly elected president should be Aung San Su Kyi anyhow.

But the real reason they don't want foreigners in is they don't want to lose face and leverage with their own people. They know some reporters will plant ideas in their heads and incite matters. It's all about saving their own necks. The military has become the privileged class of Myanmar, which is sad. After 66 years of rule, though, it's hardly surprising.
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