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Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong
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Posted: Wed May 14, 2008 5:04 am Post subject: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries |
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Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:
Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)
Delegate count (using Slate):
Clinton-55
Obama-48
Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)
Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)
All May Primaries Net Clinton +6
Total elected delegates removed from play 322 |
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agentX
Joined: 12 Oct 2007 Location: Jeolla province
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Posted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:44 am Post subject: |
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I'd say these predictions are reasonable, barring another "Bosnia-gate".
The Rezco trial is almost over, but Hillary can't push it too hard b/c she appears in a photo WITH HIM at a fundraiser.
Clinton comes out +6, huh? Well, Montana and South Dakota come in June, so we'll see how much she gains after June 4. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:48 am Post subject: |
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It would be a stunning comeback if Clinton managed to pull off the nomination at this late date. |
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Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong
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Posted: Mon May 19, 2008 3:21 am Post subject: |
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hmm...no one else is game on making predictions on these two states?
According to someone else's count, my prediction delegate count might be a little low:
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 5:40 pm Post subject: |
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Clinton 65% to 30% in Kentucky with 97% of precincts reporting.
I did not think that Clinton would double Obama's vote count. But 20% of the electorate said skin color was an important factor, and 9/10ths of them went for Clinton.
No results yet from Oregon. But Obama should be able to beat Clinton by roughly 10%. |
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Justin Hale

Joined: 24 Nov 2007 Location: the Straight Talk Express
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Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 6:08 pm Post subject: Re: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries |
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Milwaukiedave wrote: |
Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:
Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)
Delegate count (using Slate):
Clinton-55
Obama-48
Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)
Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)
All May Primaries Net Clinton +6
Total elected delegates removed from play 322 |
My prediction is that you'll constantly start these boring ass threads what ever the outcome. |
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Pligganease

Joined: 14 Sep 2004 Location: The deep south...
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Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 6:57 pm Post subject: |
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Then why are you posting on it? Apparently you got your minute of entertainment out of the thread.
I guess we should consider ourselves lucky that you haven't mentioned your credentials or how militant of an "anti-theist" you are.  |
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mithridates

Joined: 03 Mar 2003 Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency
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Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:02 pm Post subject: Re: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries |
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Justin Hale wrote: |
Milwaukiedave wrote: |
Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:
Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)
Delegate count (using Slate):
Clinton-55
Obama-48
Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)
Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)
All May Primaries Net Clinton +6
Total elected delegates removed from play 322 |
My prediction is that you'll constantly start these boring ass threads what ever the outcome. |
Hey, aren't you the guy that starts all those boring ass religion-related threads? |
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Milwaukiedave
Joined: 02 Oct 2004 Location: Goseong
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Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 10:17 pm Post subject: |
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Well I was off by 5% on Kentucky, but I nailed Oregon dead on based on the last time I checked MSNBC. |
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