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Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries

 
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 5:04 am    Post subject: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries Reply with quote

Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:

Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)

Delegate count (using Slate):

Clinton-55
Obama-48

Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)

Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)

All May Primaries Net Clinton +6

Total elected delegates removed from play 322
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agentX



Joined: 12 Oct 2007
Location: Jeolla province

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'd say these predictions are reasonable, barring another "Bosnia-gate".
The Rezco trial is almost over, but Hillary can't push it too hard b/c she appears in a photo WITH HIM at a fundraiser.

Clinton comes out +6, huh? Well, Montana and South Dakota come in June, so we'll see how much she gains after June 4.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Wed May 14, 2008 6:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It would be a stunning comeback if Clinton managed to pull off the nomination at this late date.
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Mon May 19, 2008 3:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hmm...no one else is game on making predictions on these two states?

According to someone else's count, my prediction delegate count might be a little low:

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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 5:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Clinton 65% to 30% in Kentucky with 97% of precincts reporting.

I did not think that Clinton would double Obama's vote count. But 20% of the electorate said skin color was an important factor, and 9/10ths of them went for Clinton.

No results yet from Oregon. But Obama should be able to beat Clinton by roughly 10%.
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Justin Hale



Joined: 24 Nov 2007
Location: the Straight Talk Express

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 6:08 pm    Post subject: Re: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries Reply with quote

Milwaukiedave wrote:
Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:

Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)

Delegate count (using Slate):

Clinton-55
Obama-48

Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)

Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)

All May Primaries Net Clinton +6

Total elected delegates removed from play 322


My prediction is that you'll constantly start these boring ass threads what ever the outcome.
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Pligganease



Joined: 14 Sep 2004
Location: The deep south...

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 6:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Then why are you posting on it? Apparently you got your minute of entertainment out of the thread.

I guess we should consider ourselves lucky that you haven't mentioned your credentials or how militant of an "anti-theist" you are. Rolling Eyes
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mithridates



Joined: 03 Mar 2003
Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 7:02 pm    Post subject: Re: Prediction for Kentucky and Oregon Primaries Reply with quote

Justin Hale wrote:
Milwaukiedave wrote:
Here are my picks for Kentucky and Oregon:

Kentucky C-64 O-36 (Clinton by 28%)
Oregon O-58 C-42 (Obama by 16%)

Delegate count (using Slate):

Clinton-55
Obama-48

Net Clinton +7 (May 20th only) (55/48 Clinton/Obama)

Net Obama +1 (NC, Indiana and WV) (108/107 Obama/Clinton)

All May Primaries Net Clinton +6

Total elected delegates removed from play 322


My prediction is that you'll constantly start these boring ass threads what ever the outcome.


Hey, aren't you the guy that starts all those boring ass religion-related threads?
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 10:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well I was off by 5% on Kentucky, but I nailed Oregon dead on based on the last time I checked MSNBC.
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