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FDI hits new low as won continues to stay low

 
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Mon May 19, 2008 8:57 pm    Post subject: FDI hits new low as won continues to stay low Reply with quote

http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2008/05/123_23676.html

Quote:
Despite the government's denial, the view that Korea has become less attractive to foreign investment has been widely shared among global investors.

``Korea has become less friendly to foreign investment in the past five years as it recovered from the financial crisis,'' Andy Xie, an analyst of the Shenzen Development Bank (SDB) in China, who is the former Morgan Stanley chief economist overseeing the Korean economy and financial markets, told The Korea Times.

``Koreans may disagree but this view is widely shared in the international community,'' he added.


The author does a really good job of showing how much of the government does in this respect is hollow lip service. This trend doesn't bode well for the won unless LMB can really do something to turn things around.
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Imrahil



Joined: 04 Feb 2008
Location: On the other side of the world.

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 3:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

All Koreans know this. My students have told me that the majority of Koreans look at their big conglomerates being only Korean owned as a source of national pride. Most adults I have talked to here know its a problem, but feel conflicted with their sense of national pride.
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ChopChaeJoe



Joined: 05 Mar 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 4:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm no economist, but I studied a bit of economics; enough to wonder if this makes my investment dollars more valuable because of scarcity of foreign investment or less valuable since there is less demand to invest in korean stocks.
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Temporary



Joined: 13 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 4:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I actually have an economics degree.. This trend is not good. Self sufficiency is a stupid notion, look at the DPRK.

With foreign investment falling the won is going to continue to decline. Whats the most worry some is that now SK enjoys flooding foreign market with their goods with little or NO tarifs on their goods While SK itself imposes heavy duty tarifs on imports.

If any country smartens up and creates the same hurdles that SK has created against SK it will pretty well much collapse the Korean economy overnight.

IE. Canada is having FTA talks with SK now and RIM is pretty pissed that blackberries can't be sold here while Samsung and LG are allowed to flood Canadian market with their handsets. What would happen if all of the sudden Canada would impose 75% tarif on all the handsets from Samsung and LG?

Canada is peanuts at the moment. (Economic partner with SK) Now lets take the same situation and compare it to the Automobile industry and USA. What would happen if all of the sudden USA imposed a 40%-75% tarriff on all KIA's, Hyundai etc.. Since the Automobile manufacturing is such a large portion of SK economy what do you think would happen?

You can even see the trends with electronics. Its no secret SK is really big source for flat panels, they use to be 60% of the worlds supply but now they are at 50% and declining every year.

The only reason why they can do what they do is because they exploit SK consumers by having imports levied with high tariffs.

Lets just hope USA/Canada/EU doesn't smarten up to SK economic dumping practices because I think we would have a repeat of IMF crissis.

If you want some examples of dumping look at NAFTA and grain and softlumber...

Once I leave this country I truly hope USA slaps SK imports with a nice 40% tariff.
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Tue May 20, 2008 4:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With more and more Koreans travelling and studying abroad I just wonder how much their purchasing power will have to decrease before they see it as a problem. Obviously in the short term a lower domestic currency makes for easier sale of exports, but over the long-term, it makes it much more difficult to create competitive industry and infrastructure; this is especially important with ever-increasing fuel costs.

Also, with the won obviously pegged to a certain extent to the US dollar, what will happen if the US dollar recovers and the won just can't keep up?
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Pete82



Joined: 12 Apr 2008

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 2:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

...

Last edited by Pete82 on Mon Aug 03, 2015 7:53 am; edited 1 time in total
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bassexpander



Joined: 13 Sep 2007
Location: Someplace you'd rather be.

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 2:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, I'll tell you this...

I've voted Republican in every election (with the exception of Ross Perot, which was merely to send a message once).

Not anymore.

The one redeeming quality I found in Hillary which would have almost made me vote for her (I'll probably vote Obama) is that she is interested in more balanced trade with China.

I know China has been watching this election quite a bit, and I do think that Korea had better be VERY concerned about the message it's sending the US right now as far as this meat thing is going. I have a feeling that Obama isn't much different than Hillary, and it's looking like he'd be a shoe-in for the presidency in a year or so.

I'm voting Democrat this time around because I'm damn sick of the US not protecting its own.
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So what exactly is the Republican logic for allowing Asian countries to flood their market with cheap consumer goods while those same countries impose stiff tarrifs on American exports?
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spliff



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Location: Khon Kaen, Thailand

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 3:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Because any portion of a market share is preferable to none.
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rsmm0224



Joined: 06 Feb 2008
Location: Changwon

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 4:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yeah, I've never been in favor of FREE trade agreements. What would work better would be RECIPROCAL trade agreements. You open your doors, we'll open ours. But if you hit us with tariffs, expect the same in return.

Ironically enough they used it as a bargaining tactic in a Tom Clancy novel in the Jack Ryan series. haha
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ChopChaeJoe



Joined: 05 Mar 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 4:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

spliff wrote:
Because any portion of a market share is preferable to none.


Debateable point, given the trade off of lost jobs back home. But a poor deal is a poor deal and should be renegotiated. Not to do so is either laziness or incompetence.
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Temporary



Joined: 13 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Wed May 21, 2008 5:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rsmm0224 wrote:
yeah, I've never been in favor of FREE trade agreements. What would work better would be RECIPROCAL trade agreements. You open your doors, we'll open ours. But if you hit us with tariffs, expect the same in return.

Ironically enough they used it as a bargaining tactic in a Tom Clancy novel in the Jack Ryan series. haha

Uhm
You sure don't know anything about FTA do you.. Reciprocal is free trade.

Look up the word Reciprocal because you sure don't know the definition of it. Free trade is the perfect Reciprocal agreement. Unless you just want partial agreements WHICH don't work. Way to many agreements have been destroyed but partial agreements because countries subotage the Reciprocal agreements with other goods which are not covered by Reciprocal goods. Its Free trade or nothing. Study some economics and do a few case studies and you would see that pattern.

All trade agreements have clauses about certain items and goods. Even NAFTA has them. (Dairy and poultry)
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