Korean Job Discussion Forums

[Ya-ta Boy]

I saw the following on the RCP site.


Each Party Is Set to Hunt The Other's Usual Ground

McCain and Obama offer a rare combination of nominees able to poach on the other party's turf. Both have proven appeal to independents. McCain will target disgruntled Clinton supporters; Obama will target disaffected Republicans. Women, Latinos and, especially, white working-class voters will find themselves courted intensely by the two campaigns.

Officials from both campaigns confidently predict that they will steal states that have been in the other party's column in recent elections, and an early analysis suggests there will be new battlegrounds added to the map this year, with Virginia, Colorado and Nevada among them. The Midwest remains the most concentrated competitive region of the country, but advisers to McCain and Obama agree that the election could turn on the outcome of contests in the Rocky Mountain States and the South.

The Kerry map gives Obama 252 electoral votes. To pick up the next 18 electoral votes, Obama will target Iowa, Virginia, North Carolina, New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado. His list also includes Ohio, where he lost the primary to Clinton but which, in the 2006 midterms, shifted dramatically toward the Democrats.

McCain hopes to tap potential divisions within the Democratic Party by aggressively targeting disaffected Clinton supporters.

McCain hopes those voters will help him hold on to Ohio, which has been critical to Republican success in the last two elections, and convert Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to the GOP column.

An analysis of past elections shows remarkable stability. States the Democrats have won in four of the past five elections add up to 255 electoral votes; states Republicans have won in five of the past seven elections (including two Ronald Reagan electoral landslides) account for 269 electoral votes. New Hampshire, New Mexico and West Virginia, representing 14 electoral votes, fall into neither category.

In 2004, 13 states were decided by seven or fewer percentage points: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.





http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/07/AR2008060702222.html?hpid=topnews

[Ya-ta Boy]

AND there is this:

RCP has a spot at the bottom of their collected opinion pieces titled:
RCP Electoral Maps: Obama 228, McCain 190, Toss Ups 120, No Toss Ups

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

There's a map with the counts broken down into 'Solid', 'Leaning' and 'Toss Up'


Since RCP is on the case, I won't have to spend time trying to figure things out. Hurray for RCP.