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There is no class warfare in the USA
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The top Federal marginal tax rate was actually 70% and not 95%. An individual would have to add on his state and local marginal income tax rates (if any) to determine his combined marginal tax rate. In some states (South Dakota comes to mind) it was theoretically possible to exceed 100% at the time, but there is no evidence that anyone actually paid over 100%, since anyone in that situation would use a little tax planning to legally avoid this problem, by moving their legal residence to another state, for example.

(This is why, for example, many people, like the Bushes, have a vacation home in Maine, but do not "live" there, although they might "vacation" there more than six months per year.)

Marginal tax rates do not mean much standing alone. What were the effective tax rates? Was all economic activity subject to such high taxation? The answer is NO.

Even today, corporations are able to shield an individual from some income taxes by keeping the money growing inside the business and not paying it out in salary and dividends. This is an example of one thing out of thousands that would allow an economy to keep growing in a high tax era.

The problem is this:

The negative impact of the taxes and regulations affects the poor and middle classes the most. This is where people are prevented from beginning their careers, saving their hard earned dollars, investing in whatever assets they feel will bring about the best return. It is the poor, lower classes and middle classes that cannot get ahead. They are the victims. And investment by these people in the areas they choose is what will make the difference.

There is no reason that a free market economy cannot grow at a sustained annual rate, without recessions, of 10%, 15%, 20% and more.
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jkelly80



Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Location: you boys like mexico?

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 8:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
Now, jkelly, do you know of the law of diminishing returns as it pertains to economic size? How does that apply to your silly assertion that high taxes = economic growth full stop? That, plus 4% for a what was a mid range developing country by current standards for much of that time is fully unremarkable.


No, I was just pointing out some stats. You can jump to whatever conclusions you wish about my assertions. I don't think that high taxes cause growth, but decent growth is certainly possible while being taxed. Ergo, Laffer/Supply Side etc is bunk.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 9:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jkelly80 wrote:
mises wrote:
Now, jkelly, do you know of the law of diminishing returns as it pertains to economic size? How does that apply to your silly assertion that high taxes = economic growth full stop? That, plus 4% for a what was a mid range developing country by current standards for much of that time is fully unremarkable.


No, I was just pointing out some stats. You can jump to whatever conclusions you wish about my assertions. I don't think that high taxes cause growth, but decent growth is certainly possible while being taxed. Ergo, Laffer/Supply Side etc is bunk.



Your stats are wrong and meaningless.

The fact that some economic growth took place while some individuals faced high tax rates does not disprove the fact that if those tax rates had been lower growth, would have been higher. In fact, NO ECONOMIST DISPUTES THIS POINT.

What Laffer said was that 'lowering marginal tax rates would increase Federal income tax revenues.'

Although a few politically motivated so-called economists have not yet accepted Laffer's point:

It has been proven both theoretically and empirically.


Your stats have no relevance, contain no comparative nor analytical data, and merely state one meaningless factoid.




Here's one for you, the Kelly Curve:

The NY Yankees scored 2 runs.

This proves that the Red Sox can never win the World Series.
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jkelly80



Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Location: you boys like mexico?

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 2:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Laffer curve is wrong. The USSR had a 100% tax rate and still had growth. Ergo, he's wrong. Keep on with your fundamentalism though.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="jkelly80"]
mises wrote:
ontheway wrote:

Economists estimate that the Government of the United States has REDUCED the standard of living of the average worker in America by 90% due to its rules, taxes, regulations etc over the past 95 years.

That means, if the govenment had done nothing, the standard of living of the average American would be TEN TIMES what it is today.




The fact is the GDP of the US grew by an average of 4% from 1945-1970, all the while with the top marginal tax rate at 95%. Ergo, supply-side Laffer curve economics is bunk. Where are your facts?


Jkelly, that's meaningless. 1970 predates the emergence of the global economy by a good 15-20 years. Which means that rich people had nowhere else to go.

Now rich people can repatriate, find tax shelters, etc. Its a more competitive environment for nations.

Lastly, I wish you would stop labelling those who believe in low taxes as 'supply-siders.' That's a distinct philosophy to itself.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 7:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jkelly80 wrote:
Laffer curve is wrong. The USSR had a 100% tax rate and still had growth. Ergo, he's wrong. Keep on with your fundamentalism though.



This is completely wrong. This would mean that every worker in the USSR recieved NO INCOME.

The fact is the USSR was a command economy. The government took what it wanted, and paid the workers what it wanted. The income tax rate was zero. It was a completely different system. And their economic growth was paltry in the best years. The government acted as a single super conglomerate in terms of investment, so there was some minimal growth. But, the free market requires, first of all, freedom and secondly, competition. The ability to invest, make personal decisions regarding consumption and investment decisioins. The chance to succeed and keep 100% of the fruits of your labor, or fail and pay the cost, at the individual level without government regulation, taxation or control. These elements were lacking. That's why the USSR collapsed.
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jkelly80



Joined: 13 Jun 2007
Location: you boys like mexico?

PostPosted: Tue Jul 22, 2008 10:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
jkelly80 wrote:



The fact is the GDP of the US grew by an average of 4% from 1945-1970, all the while with the top marginal tax rate at 95%. Ergo, supply-side Laffer curve economics is bunk. Where are your facts?


Jkelly, that's meaningless. 1970 predates the emergence of the global economy by a good 15-20 years. Which means that rich people had nowhere else to go.

Now rich people can repatriate, find tax shelters, etc. Its a more competitive environment for nations.

Lastly, I wish you would stop labelling those who believe in low taxes as 'supply-siders.' That's a distinct philosophy to itself.


I wasn't labelling all low taxers supply siders, just addressing the Laffer Curve, which is pretty influential in such circles.All who belive in low taxes are not supply siders, but there are quite a few.

As for it being meaningless, that's not so. It addresses a specific theory and why it's wrong. Economies with hight tax rates can still grow, and they have done so with in the past. Mitigating factors related to the easing trade restrictions a couple of decades later don't make that fact invalid. I was speaking specifically of the Laffer Curve, not all 'pro-growth' philosophies.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

jkelly80 wrote:
Economies with hight tax rates can still grow, and they have done so with in the past.


One tends to point to Sweden, Denmark, and Norway as examples. Generally better than a country that no longer exists. Smile
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 9:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't know, maybe related, but Mckinsey & Company estimate Sweden's unemployment rate to be slightly over 15%. More than three times the current recessionary unemployment rate in the United States. Sweden is also a one party state, or has been until the very recent election of a different party (that changed nothing). I wouldn't hold it up as a model of much. I don't know much about the rest of Scandinavia less Finland's notoriously perfect education system. Anyways, the lessons of small, totally homogeneous (until very recent) states in Northern Europe can't be extracted to America. The lessons of messy, diverse and edgy America relate to Iceland just as well.

Quote:
On a per capita-income basis, only the oil kingdom of Norway can compete with the US today. If Denmark moved to the US, it would be the tenth poorest state, Sweden would be the sixth and Finland the fifth poorest.

http://www.johannorberg.net/?page=displayblog&month=01&year=2007#2135
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

We're talking economic growth are we not? Versus taxation? That's where the conversation digressed. Regardless, I am very skeptical of 15% unemployment in Sweden.

According to the OECD, Sweden's unemployment is MUCH lower than 15%:

OECD Observer, Sweden

OECD Economic Survey of Sweden 2007

Sweden GDP Growth Since 1951

According to the CIA, unemployment=5.6%

edit: typo


Last edited by bucheon bum on Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:16 am; edited 1 time in total
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I should also note the Denmark has become the model for the labor market, and finding a good balance between regulation, or the lack thereof.

And it is ranked the #1 business environment in the world

That being said, Denmark is no shangri-la

Full employment, positive growth (3.5% last year), but a potential brain drain to flee high taxes (63% income tax, yikes).
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sweden has long been known for being a loose with their labour data as the US is with CPI data.

Norberg, the Swedish economist, explains the differences from 2005:

http://www.johannorberg.net/?page=displayblog&month=11&year=2005#1386

And a link to a Swedish paper that estimates unemployment to be 20-25%.
http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=1042&a=393396&previousRenderType=6

Comparing that directly with the United States is made difficult due to the American prison population.

M&C publish their employment estimates every year. They apply the same methods to each of the nations. Sweden every year has a significantly higher unemployment rate than most every other developed country.


Statistics are created using variables. What they announce to the world is only as good as their methodology. Just like CPI in the US.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 12:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here we have a very recent example of taxes-growth-receipts.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121625150189660215.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
Quote:

California as No. 1
July 17, 2008; Page A14

New York City has long been the highest tax jurisdiction in the United States, but California politicians are proposing to steal that brass tiara. California faces a $15 billion budget deficit and Democrats who rule the state Legislature have proposed closing the gap with a $9.7 billion tax hike on business and "the rich." There's a movie that describes this idea: Clueless.

The plan would raise the top marginal income tax rate to 12% from 10.3%; that would be the highest in the nation and twice the national average. This plan would also repeal indexing for inflation, which is a sneaky way for politicians to push middle-income Californians into higher tax brackets every year, especially when prices are rising as they are now. The corporate income tax rate would also rise to 9.3% from 8.4%. So in the face of one of the worst real-estate recessions in the state's history, the politicians want to raise taxes on businesses that are still making money.

This latest tax gambit was unveiled, ironically enough, within days of two very large California employers announcing they are saying, in the famous words of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, "hasta la vista, baby" to the state. First, the AAA auto club declared it will close its call centers in California, meaning that 900 jobs will move to other states. "It costs more to do business in California," said a AAA press release, in the understatement of the year.

Then last week Toyota announced it is canceling plans to build its new Prius hybrid at its plant in the San Francisco Bay area because of the high tax and regulatory costs. Adding to the humiliation is that Toyota will now take this investment and about 1,000 jobs to a more progressive and pro-business state: Mississippi.


There is already a reverse gold rush going on in California and the evidence points powerfully toward high tax rates as a culprit. Census Bureau data show that, from 1996-2005, 1.3 million more Americans left than came to California. And the people who are leaving are disproportionately those with higher incomes: the very targets the Democrats want to tax more.

The liberal fairy tale is that the rich "don't pay their fair share." The reality is that there's no state in the country more dependent on six- and seven-figure earners to pay its bills. Those with incomes of more than $100,000 pay 83% of the state's income taxes, and the richest 6,000 of the 38 million Californians pay $9 billion in taxes. Every time a rich person like Tiger Woods departs, the state fiscal problem deepens.

The Democratic tax plan will give rich people a further incentive to flee at the very time the real-estate market is in collapse. New housing data reveals that the average California home price fell by 28% from June 2007 to June 2008, almost double the decline of any other state. The politicians in Nevada, the state with the third worst real-estate market, are hoping California raises taxes, because this could be a fast way to revive the Reno and Las Vegas housing markets.

What the politicians in California refuse to address is their own overspending. State outlays were up 44% over the past five years, meaning that California is spending at a faster pace than even Congress. Minority Republicans in the Legislature say the solution is a hard expenditure cap � like 46 other states have. Yet even in the face of the giant deficit, Mr. Schwarzenegger and the Democrats want to pass a new $9 billion water bond, a $14 billion state-run health insurance program, and the most expensive climate-change program in the country.

It may be that California Democrats are trying this now as a kind of trial run for Barack Obama next year. The Illinois Senator also believes he can solve the federal government's fiscal imbalance by imposing higher tax rates on small business employers and the wealthiest Americans. If they can get away with it in Sacramento, look for a national reprise next year.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 4:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a difference though in corporate taxes vs. income tax. You jack up the highest tax bracket tax rate on people, it won't hurt business so much. Obviously you lose talent, as the article about Denmark shows.

And yes, unemployment is like CPI, it can be altered. US unemployment is quite a bit higher than what the official stats say; many have just stopped looking for work and are no longer listed as unemployed.

BTW, where can one find the M&C data?
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 4:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In regards to your links, one is in Swedish so I really can't determine how they came up with 20-25% . You honestly think 1/4 of swedes are unemployed? That doesn't seem far fetched to you? The other makes a good argument, but as I noted in the post above, the US has its own calculations for unemployment. Perhaps the US system is what is the most common? I don't know.
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