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South Ossetia
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Kikomom



Joined: 24 Jun 2008
Location: them thar hills--Penna, USA--Zippy is my kid, the teacher in ROK. You can call me Kiko

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 9:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

South Ossetia is also at the crossroads of strategic oil and gas pipeline routes.


5600 wrote:
Wake up and smell the coffee man. It's over oil. Russia wants 100% of the oil. Russia has been bombing the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline that comes out of the Caspian Sea. The pipeline runs through Georgia and on in to Turkey. The pipleline was/is supposed to go on to Isreal. (Isreal had 1000 troops in Georgia at the start of this thing). Here's something to chew on. Why would Saakashvili attack Ossetia knowing that Puttin would send the Russian army after him? The answer, Bush told him to do it. Hey Mikhail old buddy go ahead and launch an attack we got yer back. The US is a close ally with Gerogia. We've help trained their army, Bush as asked for them to join NATO. Another question for you. Why all of a sudden are there now 5, count 'em, 5 US aircraft carriers in the Persian Gulf as of today? 2 were aleady there and 3 more just arrived yesterday. I'll tell you why. Bush wants the Caspian oil reserves. Will we go to war with Russia over this? I don't know but a window has just opened. And for those that think we need Russias support over the Iran situation you better wake up. Who sold Iran plutoneum? Korea? Alabama? No dummy, Russia did. I don't know where all of this will lead, but there are some things about this if you snoop around long enough to make you scratch your head. I'll add this, Putin wants Gerogia back. He will oust Saakashvili no doubt. Russian troops already have the country split in two pretty much. The only thing that will prevent a regime change is if the US acts. I kinda think they will. Not 100% sure, but when you mix in the oil factor it does make you think.

Edit for additional info. There are 130 US Troops there and some civillians.

Quote:
The remaining uniformed trainers were moved over the weekend to what officials believe is a safer location, he said.
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D92GC5G80&show_article=1


Exactly. Here's the map

And here's the deal. Israel is running FOUR pipelines south (thru the eastern Med) from Turkey. Oil, Gas, Water, and Electricity.

See where Iran is on the map? Say they started generating nuclear energy? That's competition for the big boys.

International Maritime laws will dictate who gets to patrol the waters near the pipeline. Forget the Kosovos and Dokdos (unless there are pipelines there), this is what the summer war of Lebanon two years ago was about too. There are pipelines coming thru and those territorial waters need to be clarified.

Massive US Naval Armada Heads For Iran
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ersatzredux



Joined: 15 Dec 2007
Location: Same as it ever was, same as it ever was

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Leslie Cheswyck wrote:
ersatzredux wrote:

So what are you saying?


I'm saying I think Russia had this planned well in advance, using some semi-believable pretext... They did move in pretty fast, don't you think?


But it wasn't a semi-believable pretext. What's happened here is what was meant to happen. Georgia invaded South Ossetia, pure and simple. They razed the capital pretty much to the ground and put virtually all its citizens to flight. 2000 out of a total of 60,000 of them were killed and the main hospital, the only university, and the seat of government were all destroyed - in the first day. But everybody was watching the Olympic opening ceremonies then and talking about who John Edwards piddled.

And now that we're all supposed to pay attention, what do we see? Those evil Russians and those poor defenceless Georgians. They have become so complacent, after getting away with all the other lies I mentioned in my last post and probably more even I've bought, that they even do this kind of shit:

http://www.prisonplanet.com/russian-cameraman-cnn-aired-misleading-footage.html

Don't you get it, Leslie? You are being intentionally manipulated by the media you are consuming. A simple rule of thumb. Assume that CNN, BBC, New York Times, all the big media "of note" are either blatantly lying or intentionally distorting events to make us look good and our enemies look evil and you'll almost never be far wrong.

As for the Russians, of course they knew it was coming, but probably didn't expect it to happen during the Olympics. But not much for them to get there, it's just down the road after all. But what the hell were the Americans and Israeli military advisors doing in Georgia though? Funny how those guys always seem to pop up just before another war? Must just be a coincidence, that.
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caniff



Joined: 03 Feb 2004
Location: All over the map

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 11:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Seems that Saakashvili, et al., bit off quite a bit more than they could chew after succumbing to both domestic pressure to solidify Georgian 'national integrity' combined with American (read: Bush Admin) promises that 'the West' (NATO) would have their back.

From accounts I have read, both European governments as well as Washington were telling the Georgian government to calm the *beep* down prior to the run-up to this conflict. Assuming this was the case, why would you think it would be in American or Israeli interests to have a Russian response that would obviously entail a further stranglehold on pipelines running through that region?

Russia has reportedly already blown up major Caspian Sea pipelines. BP has shut down others fearing more to come. I can't see how this benefits 'Western' interests. Could you expand a bit?
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 2:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
You are being intentionally manipulated by the media you are consuming.


I don't see it this way at all. The Russians (well OK, the Soviets) drew the borders in the first place. When Georgia became independent they inherited their borders. They have a right to defend the integrity of those borders. Georgia did not 'invade' South Ossetia. You cannot invade your own country. Russian 'peace keepers' should never have been allowed in. They should have been neutral UN troops.

The real problem is that both the US and the Russians are strong enough to send troops outside their own borders without UN consent. I would like to see the same people who object to the US in Iraq object to the Russians in Georgia.
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arjuna



Joined: 31 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 6:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A Path to Peace in the Caucasus

By Mikhail Gorbachev
Tuesday, August 12, 2008; A13

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article20493.htm

MOSCOW -- The past week's events in South Ossetia are bound to shock and pain anyone. Already, thousands of people have died, tens of thousands have been turned into refugees, and towns and villages lie in ruins. Nothing can justify this loss of life and destruction. It is a warning to all.

The roots of this tragedy lie in the decision of Georgia's separatist leaders in 1991 to abolish South Ossetian autonomy. This turned out to be a time bomb for Georgia's territorial integrity. Each time successive Georgian leaders tried to impose their will by force -- both in South Ossetia and in Abkhazia, where the issues of autonomy are similar -- it only made the situation worse. New wounds aggravated old injuries.

Nevertheless, it was still possible to find a political solution. For some time, relative calm was maintained in South Ossetia. The peacekeeping force composed of Russians, Georgians and Ossetians fulfilled its mission, and ordinary Ossetians and Georgians, who live close to each other, found at least some common ground.

Through all these years, Russia has continued to recognize Georgia's territorial integrity. Clearly, the only way to solve the South Ossetian problem on that basis is through peaceful means. Indeed, in a civilized world, there is no other way.

The Georgian leadership flouted this key principle.

What happened on the night of Aug. 7 is beyond comprehension. The Georgian military attacked the South Ossetian capital of Tskhinvali with multiple rocket launchers designed to devastate large areas. Russia had to respond. To accuse it of aggression against "small, defenseless Georgia" is not just hypocritical but shows a lack of humanity.

Mounting a military assault against innocents was a reckless decision whose tragic consequences, for thousands of people of different nationalities, are now clear. The Georgian leadership could do this only with the perceived support and encouragement of a much more powerful force. Georgian armed forces were trained by hundreds of U.S. instructors, and its sophisticated military equipment was bought in a number of countries. This, coupled with the promise of NATO membership, emboldened Georgian leaders into thinking that they could get away with a "blitzkrieg" in South Ossetia.

In other words, Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili was expecting unconditional support from the West, and the West had given him reason to think he would have it. Now that the Georgian military assault has been routed, both the Georgian government and its supporters should rethink their position.

Hostilities must cease as soon as possible, and urgent steps must be taken to help the victims -- the humanitarian catastrophe, regretfully, received very little coverage in Western media this weekend -- and to rebuild the devastated towns and villages. It is equally important to start thinking about ways to solve the underlying problem, which is among the most painful and challenging issues in the Caucasus -- a region that should be approached with the greatest care.

When the problems of South Ossetia and Abkhazia first flared up, I proposed that they be settled through a federation that would grant broad autonomy to the two republics. This idea was dismissed, particularly by the Georgians. Attitudes gradually shifted, but after last week, it will be much more difficult to strike a deal even on such a basis.

Old grievances are a heavy burden. Healing is a long process that requires patience and dialogue, with non-use of force an indispensable precondition. It took decades to bring to an end similar conflicts in Europe and elsewhere, and other long-standing issues are still smoldering. In addition to patience, this situation requires wisdom.

Small nations of the Caucasus do have a history of living together. It has been demonstrated that a lasting peace is possible, that tolerance and cooperation can create conditions for normal life and development. Nothing is more important than that.

The region's political leaders need to realize this. Instead of flexing military muscle, they should devote their efforts to building the groundwork for durable peace.

Over the past few days, some Western nations have taken positions, particularly in the U.N. Security Council, that have been far from balanced. As a result, the Security Council was not able to act effectively from the very start of this conflict. By declaring the Caucasus, a region that is thousands of miles from the American continent, a sphere of its "national interest," the United States made a serious blunder. Of course, peace in the Caucasus is in everyone's interest. But it is simply common sense to recognize that Russia is rooted there by common geography and centuries of history. Russia is not seeking territorial expansion, but it has legitimate interests in this region.

The international community's long-term aim could be to create a sub-regional system of security and cooperation that would make any provocation, and the very possibility of crises such as this one, impossible. Building this type of system would be challenging and could only be accomplished with the cooperation of the region's countries themselves. Nations outside the region could perhaps help, too -- but only if they take a fair and objective stance. A lesson from recent events is that geopolitical games are dangerous anywhere, not just in the Caucasus.

The writer was the last president of the Soviet Union. He was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1990 and is president of the Gorbachev Foundation, a Moscow think tank. A version of this article, in Russian, will be published in the Rossiyskaya Gazeta newspaper tomorrow.
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arjuna



Joined: 31 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 6:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Reality Behind Western Propaganda Regarding War In Georgia

By Damian Lataan

http://lataan.blogspot.com/
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article20495.htm

12/08/08 "ICH" -- - For many the war in Georgia may have seemed as though it came from nowhere; as if it just suddenly erupted without any warning. And, if one were to believe what the pro-western mainstream media are telling us, one could be forgiven for believing that it did. The US and their western allies have taken full advantage of this anomaly and turned it to their advantage for propaganda purposes. They have been busy telling the world that the Georgians have been overwhelmed by the Russian �bully boys� to their north when in reality the Russians were and are merely reacting to the murderous bully boy tactics of the Georgian army and their supporting band of US and Israeli mercenary thugs that ruthlessly attacked the civilian population of south Ossetia in an effort to force them to give up their demands for autonomy.

In fact the tensions in and around Georgia, once part of the Soviet Union, have been simmering for years.

The Georgian state is made up of many ethnic groupings many of whom feel more comfortable being part of Russia than having to be subservient to Georgia. Over the years, since the collapse of the Soviet Union and the birth of present day Georgia in 1991, two regions of Georgia in particular, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, have evolved, against the wishes of the central Georgian government, into semi-autonomous regions whose status has been protected and supported by Russia. This has caused massive resentment from the Georgians who insist that these regions come entirely under Georgian control.

[...]

Georgia has recently been making strong moves to become part of NATO and has ambitions to become part of the EU. Russia is not very keen, and, given that the US would like to put their anti-missile shield system into NATO countries to protect them from the so-called threat of Iranian nuclear weapons, understandably so, to limit the number of NATO nations it has on its doorstep. As a result of Georgian aspirations about becoming part of NATO, the Georgians have become close allies of the US and the West and also of Israel who have ties to the small but influential Jewish community in Georgia with some of those members having close links to Israel being in the Georgian government including Georgia�s Integration Minister Temur Yakobashvili.

It was because of their strong relationship with the US that the Georgians considered it safe to have another go at asserting its will over the breakaway regions in the belief that the Russians wouldn�t dare to counter any Georgian moves against South Ossetia with Russian military action and, if they did, the US and the West would immediately come to their aid in the event of a Russian backlash against Georgian moves into South Ossetia. Certainly, Georgia would not have made any such move into South Ossetia without the backing of the US. It now seems, though, that both the US and Georgia have badly misjudged the Russian reaction and the US are unable to move. If they do, it will be the first time that the US and Russia have ever directly confronted each other in face to face open warfare � and we all know where that would eventually lead. As it is, American �advisors� (mercenaries), have in all likelihood been in combat with Russian troops in this conflict as have Israeli �instructors� (mercenaries).

The US and, to a lesser extent, the Israelis have painted themselves into a corner. Neither can afford to upset the Russians too much because they need Russian support over their stance on Iran�s so-called nuclear weapons program. Open hostility toward Russia, a veto-wielding power in the UN Security Council, would mean the end of UN support for any moves toward a UN endorsement of further sanctions against Iran. While Israel could pre-emptively attack Iran and would get support from the US in doing so, without UN supported sanctions in place there could be no reasonable casus belli for such an attack. (With sanctions in place, Israel could always claim that sanctions aren�t working and attack anyway.)But if the UN were to deny sanctions because of a Russian veto this would be tantamount to the Russians saying it does not believe the Iranians need to have sanctions against them because they do not have a weapons program and, since nobody would know better than the Russians about what programs the Iranians do have in place, they are, after all, the main suppliers of the Iranian nuclear equipment, then bang goes any casus belli the Israelis might feel they can use.

The geo-political reality, as we can see, is a far cry from the propaganda and rhetoric the US and their western allies are trying to put out in the mainstream media. And in this day and age of blogs and the internet which is often nowadays keeping one step ahead of the mainstream media, the propaganda and rhetoric is becoming increasingly more transparent in its blatancy.

Damian Lataan is an aeronautical Engineer and Historian. http://lataan.blogspot.com/
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Jandar



Joined: 11 Jun 2008

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

traxxe wrote:
Jandar wrote:
Saakashvili stepped on his own dick here I think.

This move loses Ossetia for good.

Probably unites north O and south O as well as Abkhasia.

The International community will talk big, but behind the scenes no one can justify Saakashvili's hubris in taking the action on the Olympics opening day.

The hand was over played.


You mean Putin? Lets be honest with ourselves here about who the big dog in that country really is.


Putin is from Russia, Saakashvelli is from Georgia.

Could you clarify your point?
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 10:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Leslie Cheswyck wrote:
ersatzredux wrote:

So what are you saying?


I'm saying I think Russia had this planned well in advance, using some semi-believable pretext... They did move in pretty fast, don't you think?


By giving passports to the Ossetians, I'd be tempted to agree with you.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Tue Aug 12, 2008 11:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ersatzredux wrote:
Leslie Cheswyck wrote:
ersatzredux wrote:

So what are you saying?


I'm saying I think Russia had this planned well in advance, using some semi-believable pretext... They did move in pretty fast, don't you think?


But it wasn't a semi-believable pretext. What's happened here is what was meant to happen. Georgia invaded South Ossetia, pure and simple. They razed the capital pretty much to the ground and put virtually all its citizens to flight. 2000 out of a total of 60,000 of them were killed and the main hospital, the only university, and the seat of government were all destroyed - in the first day. But everybody was watching the Olympic opening ceremonies then and talking about who John Edwards piddled.

And now that we're all supposed to pay attention, what do we see? Those evil Russians and those poor defenceless Georgians. They have become so complacent, after getting away with all the other lies I mentioned in my last post and probably more even I've bought, that they even do this kind of shit:

http://www.prisonplanet.com/russian-cameraman-cnn-aired-misleading-footage.html

Don't you get it, Leslie? You are being intentionally manipulated by the media you are consuming. A simple rule of thumb. Assume that CNN, BBC, New York Times, all the big media "of note" are either blatantly lying or intentionally distorting events to make us look good and our enemies look evil and you'll almost never be far wrong.

As for the Russians, of course they knew it was coming, but probably didn't expect it to happen during the Olympics. But not much for them to get there, it's just down the road after all. But what the hell were the Americans and Israeli military advisors doing in Georgia though? Funny how those guys always seem to pop up just before another war? Must just be a coincidence, that.


Ersatz has a point, and it was made earlier on this thread: Georgia is really close to America. Really close.

But I'm not comfortable seeing this conflict in moralist terms. Look, I'm a Westerner, so I'm pulling for the West here. I don't want Russia to control more of the oil supply, because I'm suspicious of what they will do with the power. I don't give a *beep* what CNN, BBC, etc, says, and I think the weakest part of Ersatz's post was this sort of assumption that if you watch these channels to get any info, you're a sucker for some lies of the elite. Please.

Meanwhile, Russia's been pushed too far in the last 15 years and they are pushing back. They have the Iran card, and they'll play it. They have the oil card, and they'll play it. Part of me wonders what the hell the United States was thinking by provoking Russia.

Oh, yeah, they wanted to secure the oil pipelines.

Just another chapter in the Great Game, ladies and gentlemen.
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monkinwonderland



Joined: 17 May 2007

PostPosted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 9:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Perhaps this issue has been raised, and I'm not implying that I favor either side in this conflict.

But does anyone else see any irony in the US criticising Russia for unilaterally invading a sovereign nation?
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monkinwonderland



Joined: 17 May 2007

PostPosted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 9:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
ersatzredux wrote:
Leslie Cheswyck wrote:
ersatzredux wrote:

So what are you saying?


I'm saying I think Russia had this planned well in advance, using some semi-believable pretext... They did move in pretty fast, don't you think?


But it wasn't a semi-believable pretext. What's happened here is what was meant to happen. Georgia invaded South Ossetia, pure and simple. They razed the capital pretty much to the ground and put virtually all its citizens to flight. 2000 out of a total of 60,000 of them were killed and the main hospital, the only university, and the seat of government were all destroyed - in the first day. But everybody was watching the Olympic opening ceremonies then and talking about who John Edwards piddled.

And now that we're all supposed to pay attention, what do we see? Those evil Russians and those poor defenceless Georgians. They have become so complacent, after getting away with all the other lies I mentioned in my last post and probably more even I've bought, that they even do this kind of shit:

http://www.prisonplanet.com/russian-cameraman-cnn-aired-misleading-footage.html

Don't you get it, Leslie? You are being intentionally manipulated by the media you are consuming. A simple rule of thumb. Assume that CNN, BBC, New York Times, all the big media "of note" are either blatantly lying or intentionally distorting events to make us look good and our enemies look evil and you'll almost never be far wrong.

As for the Russians, of course they knew it was coming, but probably didn't expect it to happen during the Olympics. But not much for them to get there, it's just down the road after all. But what the hell were the Americans and Israeli military advisors doing in Georgia though? Funny how those guys always seem to pop up just before another war? Must just be a coincidence, that.


Ersatz has a point, and it was made earlier on this thread: Georgia is really close to America. Really close.

But I'm not comfortable seeing this conflict in moralist terms. Look, I'm a Westerner, so I'm pulling for the West here. I don't want Russia to control more of the oil supply, because I'm suspicious of what they will do with the power. I don't give a *beep* what CNN, BBC, etc, says, and I think the weakest part of Ersatz's post was this sort of assumption that if you watch these channels to get any info, you're a sucker for some lies of the elite. Please.

Meanwhile, Russia's been pushed too far in the last 15 years and they are pushing back. They have the Iran card, and they'll play it. They have the oil card, and they'll play it. Part of me wonders what the hell the United States was thinking by provoking Russia.

Oh, yeah, they wanted to secure the oil pipelines.

Just another chapter in the Great Game, ladies and gentlemen.



Also, don't forget we embarrassed Russia earlier this year when we recongnised Russian-allied Serbia's loss of Kosovo. Now we're watching the loss of our ally Georgia's South Ossetia region. And the other one, I can't forget the name.

I personally feel it's wrong to take either side in this conflict, neither side has a lot to be proud of. But that's just me.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Monkinwonderland: no irony at all. Perhaps some. Moscow used very much the same line as America in Georgia today -- only not "democracy" but rather "socialism" in Latin America -- when it justified an earlier intervention in U.S.-Cuban relations -- particularly its placing nuclear weapons on the island by fall 1962.

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I would like to see the same people who object to the US in Iraq object to the Russians in Georgia.


But they will not. The enemy of my enemy is my friend. And the American govt has sided with Georgia in this. So that makes the Russian govt, to many here, I suspect, the victim in this instance, or something close to it.

Neither do I see any but circumstantial evidence and "who benefitted?" speculative reasoning on the Russian govt's intentions. I only see the usual "it's-all-about-oil!" worldview, which derives from V.I. Lenin, and "the-media-is-intentionally-manipulating-us!" allegation, which derives from a combination of George Orwell and Noam Chomsky (and coauthor).

No surprises here. Round up the usual suspects. Cite little actual evidence. Apply lots of formulaic thinking. Y hecho.

The most useful comment/starting point so far, incidentally, strikes me as Kuros's reminder that "Russia's been pushed too far in the last 15 years and [now] they are pushing back." I heard a patriotic Russian journalist "questioning" Condi Rice this morning at her press conference. (He was not really questioning here inasmuch as playing the usual knowledge/power games.) He did, however, make the old Russian case/justification about its sphere of influence and defense-in-depth. And that seems useful. I would start there, then: particularly with respect to post-Cold War American and Russian interests in that part of the world, From the former Yugoslavia to Georgia, and how these interests are increasingly clashing.


Last edited by Gopher on Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:30 pm; edited 5 times in total
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Big_Bird



Joined: 31 Jan 2003
Location: Sometimes here sometimes there...

PostPosted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 10:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I would like to see the same people who object to the US in Iraq object to the Russians in Georgia.


But they will not.


I object to US and British troops being sent to either Iraq or Georgia. Happy now? Razz
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fiveeagles



Joined: 19 May 2005
Location: Vancouver

PostPosted: Wed Aug 13, 2008 11:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's the perfect time to elect/accept Ukraine into NATO.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I object to US and British troops being sent to either Iraq or Georgia. Happy now?


But not to the Russians crossing the border into another country. Why does that not surprise me? Are you saying then that Russia should dominate Georgia? The re-creation of the Russian Empire is not a concern to you?

Quote:
I only see the usual "it's-all-about-oil!" worldview,


Prove it isn't. I'm joking. As far as I know, no one here except me gets phone calls from Putin in the middle of the night laying out international strategy. Asking for 'evidence' is a cop out. You don't have any. No one else here at Dave's has any. We don't have the luxury of a 200 year delay for gathering government documents. Attitudes and decisions have to be made now. (The study of history is just masturbation. Unless history can give direction to present action, it is worse than useless.)

From what I understand, the Russians extended citizenship/passports to non-Russians living outside their borders. This is suspicious in the extreme. I would not appreciate Russians extending citizenship to Sioux living in South Dakota nor the US extending citizenship to Chechnyans. Under the cover of 'peace-keeping' forces, South Ossetians did a series of provokative actions. Georgia, also with peace-keeping forces, reacted. Russia, getting what it wanted, invaded.

Is it about oil? I don't know for sure. It is either about oil or about the Russians re-creating their old empire. Neither is good for people outside their boundaries. I suppose this could be about Russians acting altruistically for the South Ossetians, but that has not been claimed for the Russians in the last 500 or so years.
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