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The Debate on the DEBATE 9/27
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Who won?
McCain
29%
 29%  [ 11 ]
Obama
48%
 48%  [ 18 ]
Tie
21%
 21%  [ 8 ]
Total Votes : 37

Author Message
Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 7:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not going to continue this silliness with you, Gopher. This thread is about discussing our reactions to the debate. People's reactions to the debate are what determine who won. What we post registers our decision, even if it is in our tiny little puddle.

If you don't want to debate the outcome of the debate, please find another thread.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 7:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I'm not going to continue this silliness...


Good choice, Ya-ta.

And no, I believe I will continue to post my thoughts on this thread.

I did not see any of the two candidates stumbling hard enough to worry about it tonight. First impression: opening round, both fighters came out fighting, looking in good shape for a three-round bout.
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daskalos



Joined: 19 May 2006
Location: The Road to Ithaca

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 7:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Partisan that I am, I liked my candidate's responses better, but the point here is that no one lost. (So, yeah, I voted tie.) No one effed up so badly that we can call the race over after tonight. This debate changed no one's mind, I'd venture to say, but it will be interesting to see the effect it will have on those undecideds. My guess (partisan that I am) is that Obama did better with them than McCain did. We'll see.

Also important to remember is that "winning" a debate doesn't always equate to winning an election, unless of course we use voting day as our debate metric. (GWB was embarassingly awful in the 2004 debates, but it didn't really matter.)
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VanIslander



Joined: 18 Aug 2003
Location: Geoje, Hadong, Tongyeong,... now in a small coastal island town outside Gyeongsangnamdo!

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 8:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jim Lehrer did the worst

"look at each other" .;... multiple pathetic attempts to get the candidates to talk to each other

he simply didn't know how to do it

he seemed incompetent
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mithridates



Joined: 03 Mar 2003
Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought it was mostly a tie, but I'm just one person. Here's what a poll of 500 undecideds says:

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/09/26/politics/horserace/entry4482028.shtml

Quote:
Thirty-nine percent of uncommitted voters who watched the debate tonight thought Barack Obama was the winner. Twenty-four percent thought John McCain won. Thirty-seven percent saw it as a draw.

Forty-six percent of uncommitted voters said their opinion of Obama got better tonight. Thirty-two percent said their opinion of McCain got better.

Sixty-six percent of uncommitted voters think Obama would make the right decisions about the economy. Forty-two percent think McCain would.

Forty-eight percent of these voters think Obama would make the right decisions about Iraq. Fifty-six percent think McCain would.


Here's a video too:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j16Ck6_kwig&eurl=
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Obama won, but it was a squeaker.

This may simply be because he had more preparation.

McCain was more trying to emphasize that he's been places and name-drop, whereas Obama really was articulating a compelling strategic framework.

But really, an excellent performance by both sides. For a Presidential debate it was very focused on the issues and substantive. It was an absolute sea-change from the lack of depth from years past. I really think the internet has made the candidates more precise and particular about factoids and data.
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bangbayed



Joined: 01 Dec 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

VanIslander wrote:
Jim Lehrer did the worst

"look at each other" .;... multiple pathetic attempts to get the candidates to talk to each other

he simply didn't know how to do it

he seemed incompetent


That is a good point though. McCain didn't seem to be able to look at Obama in the eye. Either out of some kind of self-control mechanism or out of fear or out of insecurity, it didn't look good. He's had a bad week, but as president, he's going to have a lot of bad weeks. A lot of them and the least he could do is look his oppenent in the eye.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

CNN is running a Time piece that grades B. Obama A- and J. McCain B- for tonight's debate.
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Rteacher



Joined: 23 May 2005
Location: Western MA, USA

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 9:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I voted "tie", but - as politically savvy CNN analyst David Gergen noted - John McCain's fading campaign needed more than than a tie to advance his chances of winning.

Of course, they're still a threat to try to steal the election somehow, but I think the Dems will be more vigilant this time...

(Hopefully, the Secret Service will effectively protect the candidates - and the next President...)
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riverboy



Joined: 03 Jun 2003
Location: Incheon

PostPosted: Fri Sep 26, 2008 11:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I saw it very close. At the beginning of the campaign. I had a lot of respect for McCain and saw him as a sincere decent guy. If I could vote, and he was not so pro war, I would have been behind McCain all the way. The only real issue I had with him was his Iraqi war stance.

Even though he did well in the debate, he came across as very arrogant and condescending towards Obama. That is the only difference. No one wowed me and neither did a thing to properly address the economic crisis.
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 07 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 12:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tie.

They both said the things they needed to say. No losers.

I thought it was interesting Obama addressed McCain as 'John' throughout the entire debate, I don't recall McCain ever addressing Obama by name, always as if he was somewhere else saying 'Senator Obama said'.

I think part of McCain's problem is he has made so many misstatements about Obama's campaign, and knew they were half-truths, and then now he was challenged by them with the person able to address them immediately. It made McCain look away most of the time like a kid being scolded.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 12:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mith posted some really interesting numbers above. Compare them to the votes on this poll:

Quote:
Thirty-nine percent of uncommitted voters who watched the debate tonight thought Barack Obama was the winner. Twenty-four percent thought John McCain won. Thirty-seven percent saw it as a draw.


(With 19 people polled so far)
42% Obama to 39% in the CBS poll
26% McCain to 24% in the CBS poll
31% Tie to 37% in the CBS poll

Even though the CBS poll was taken with uncommitted people, the results are almost the same.

The killer statistic is that 66% think Obama will be better on the economy and that issue is the one on everyone's mind.

RCP is reporting changes in the Electoral Vote count with a change in the totals for the first time this month. It doesn't look to me like people thought McCain did anything in the debate to halt the drift toward Obama.
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 12:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought it was close, but a slight advantage for Obama. Both got off some good zingers. I also felt Obama should have been more assertive especially when it came to McCain repeatedly saying, "he doesn't understand".

There are 2 more debates between Obama and McCain and I'm sure it's going to get a little more dirty as we get into the 2nd and 3rd debate. My guess is this debate will do little to change the polls.
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traxxe



Joined: 21 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 1:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm probably voting Obama. Though I guess if some dramatic logic hit me that I have thus far missed I could happily changed my vote for McCain. Being native to Arizona I have respect for McCain.

That said I think McCain had the better debate. He made Obama look bad by noting how he did not go to Afghanistan. Afghanistan is Obama's big trump to the war in Iraq and I find it pretty ridiculous he didn't have the forsight to go there before the campaign. Especially considering his sub-comittee being involved with issues there.

Obama was articulate and good though. His quality of speaking I feel is better than McCain's but I would hope to see a tad more passion out of him.
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aka Dave



Joined: 02 May 2008
Location: Down by the river

PostPosted: Sat Sep 27, 2008 1:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I think Obama 'won' because...


Come on. You want to spin this as a B. Obama victory because you support B. Obama. No more no less. Why dress it up with fake objective analysis?

I do not know how to evaluate who "won" this debate other than to check tomorrow's changes in the polling data. Besides that, I did not see any of the two candidates stumbling hard enough to worry about it tonight.

First impression: opening round, both fighters came out fighting, looking in good shape for a three-round bout.


Actually, I think Obama was solid but at little too deferential. McCain was solid but way too hostile, not ever making eye contact.

The reason I voted Obama the winner is because all the focus grps I've seen trended *heavily* Obama. Even the Frank Luntz FOX focus grp!!

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/27/0026/92013/210/612018

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/09/27/why-voters-thought-obama-won-and-why-the-pundits-didn-t-get-it.aspx

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/09/initial_polls_show_obama_winni.php

One note after checking the blogs and considering the focus grps and polling among independents.

A lot of liberals are disappointed with Obama because he didn't go ballistic on McCain, and he was a little too cool and unemotional.

However, Obama is scoring big in these early polls, and his goal was not to destroy McCain, it was to make himself acceptable to middle America. He can't be the angry black man shouting in the subway.

If it's a change election (and this is *definitely* that), you have to make change safe and acceptable. He accomplished that. I think he should use the same strat in the social issues debate and go on offense in the economic debate, where McCain and the GOP are most vulnerable.
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