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Current economic crisis = foreigner's / for. media's fault
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crescent



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Location: yes.

PostPosted: Mon Oct 27, 2008 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jandar wrote:
crescent wrote:
Sorry, man, but this crisis was born in America. When things are bad, the first things to be retracted are overseas offices and accounts.
And foreign media ARE forecasting bad times for Korea.
Sounds accurate to me.


So what you are saying is America leads the world.

In a way.
I'm saying the massive debt laden American economy, which happens to reach all corners of the globe was on an imminent collision course with this failure.
Instead of taking steps at damage control, the wheels kept spinning.

Now that massive economy, based on the manipulation of debt, has begun affecting all other economies that are tied to it.
To further compromise it's trading partners, American firms will be calling foreign accounts and closing foreign offices to consolidate it's base.
Sounds like an obvious solution, but not so great for the countries that needed to play by the rules America plays by in order to stay competitive.

Kreist, it was your own treasurer (i recall) who said the derivatives market was a mechanism that no one really understands.
Well done.
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bassexpander



Joined: 13 Sep 2007
Location: Someplace you'd rather be.

PostPosted: Mon Oct 27, 2008 8:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

crescent wrote:
Jandar wrote:
crescent wrote:
Sorry, man, but this crisis was born in America. When things are bad, the first things to be retracted are overseas offices and accounts.
And foreign media ARE forecasting bad times for Korea.
Sounds accurate to me.


So what you are saying is America leads the world.

In a way.
I'm saying the massive debt laden American economy, which happens to reach all corners of the globe was on an imminent collision course with this failure.
Instead of taking steps at damage control, the wheels kept spinning.

Now that massive economy, based on the manipulation of debt, has begun affecting all other economies that are tied to it.
To further compromise it's trading partners, American firms will be calling foreign accounts and closing foreign offices to consolidate it's base.
Sounds like an obvious solution, but not so great for the countries that needed to play by the rules America plays by in order to stay competitive.

Kreist, it was your own treasurer (i recall) who said the derivatives market was a mechanism that no one really understands.
Well done.



Most of those economies have been enjoying advancement from that, and now things are correcting. So they are, in effect, only losing what they'd gained in the past. Not entirely, but in large part.
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wanderingross



Joined: 13 Oct 2008
Location: Incheon

PostPosted: Mon Oct 27, 2008 8:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ernie wrote:
greed is not the same as fraud. fraud is illegal, and i said that corporations are obliged to maximize their profits WITHIN the law. stupidity is something altogether different. if you depend on someone who's too stupid to do the job, then who's the stupid one - them or you?

since when did corporations become responsible for 'global economic security'? if that's who you're counting on, you're in for a nasty surprise. corporations are meant to create profit, not to protect the world or to make you happy.

i'm not writing this in defense of corporations or corporatism, but in defense of reality. if you think corporations are going to voluntarily sacrifice profits for the cause of 'global economic security', then you are expecting them to operate outside the law and outside their area of expertise. the shareholders of these fraudulent companies are the only people with any legal recourse here.



No, I think we're actually talking about corporate ethics. And I think that your defense of "reality" (ie the status quo) is a kin to a white flag to the people that choose to walk all over you. Corportaions are not blind beasts that choose to trample everything in their path until they run into a wall. Goldman and JPM choose not to wallow in toxic debt to bump profits. Guess who's still around. Furhermore, teir corporate ethos does not absolve them of responsibility.

But more importantly, I think its completely ridiculous that the people (politicians) deregulating our markets are not qualified to understand the products traded on them. Let's get one thing straight: Sub-prime lending was within the confines of the law and so was the creation of the exotic derivitaves that hid all that rot.

The days of free market absolutism are comming to an end. There will always be roving bandits that choose the few over the many. I'm just dissapointed in our government for not protecting their constituency AND the rest of the economies that we're bringing down with us.
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crescent



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Location: yes.

PostPosted: Mon Oct 27, 2008 9:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bassexpander wrote:
Most of those economies have been enjoying advancement from that, and now things are correcting. So they are, in effect, only losing what they'd gained in the past. Not entirely, but in large part.

I don't think one could say 'enjoying advancements' from a manipulation of the system as much as 'damned if you do and damned if you don't'.
In other words, smaller economies played into this game in order to remain competitive with the US who led the charge.
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ernie



Joined: 05 Aug 2006
Location: asdfghjk

PostPosted: Mon Oct 27, 2008 10:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

my point is that corporate ethics (in a legal sense at least) means maximizing profit and nothing else. if a company decides not to maximize their profit for some moral reason, they can actually be sued by their shareholders.

sub-prime lending was within the law so many banks did it. many of these banks have gone under. their failure is not due to ethics, but to poor planning.

what makes you think i'm 'waving the white flag' to corporations? quite the opposite, in fact. you have to understand your enemy in order to fight effectively. if you think that corporations have a responsibility to 'maintain global security' or 'protect the earth' or whatever BS slogan is en vogue, you are not dealing with reality and therefore will never be able to change it.

it's disappointing that the free spirit of americanism so quickly turns into a government swaddletatorship as soon as the road gets a little bumpy.

the USA is NOT responsible for the economies of nations that choose to follow its economic advice. the USA is NOT responsible for maintaining a world currency, either. these countries are trying to have their cake (and nikes and SUVs) and eat it too.
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wylies99



Joined: 13 May 2006
Location: I'm one cool cat!

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 1:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Look, I understand what you were trying to say, but smarter management thinks long-term and looks for real growth. It's possible to be greedy AND smart about it, too.
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aka Dave



Joined: 02 May 2008
Location: Down by the river

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The two principal events causing the sh*tstorm were American the housing bubble and the derivatives, where banks could give out risky subprime loans, and then sell them as investments to speculators, who could then chop them up and repackage them as "securities" (yes, oxymoronic). Bottom line, no one ultimately was holding the bag on the bad loans (except, well, all of us right now).

Some self-proclaimed geniuses (all right wing Republicans) out of business schools had computer programs/logrithms proving this was somehow self-sustaining.

Yes, it was self-sustaining, but self-sustaining like the zombie virus in one on the "28 days" movies, infecting the entire global financial system. Iceland went belly up on the basis of loans given to buy McMansions in Florida.

I think the American beef thing, et. al., is all irrational America bashing. However, the excessive deregulation of the American financial system (even Greenspan is copping to this) is the ultimate cause of this. And the fact that Americans thought they could sustain wealth simply by selling each other more and more expensive real estate was another delusion. I remember reading "You can't go home again" which has a a great account of the land speculation prior to the great depression. Same thing all over again.
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hugekebab



Joined: 05 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

bassexpander wrote:
Blame it on America.


OK.
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hugekebab



Joined: 05 Jan 2008

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jandar wrote:
crescent wrote:
Sorry, man, but this crisis was born in America. When things are bad, the first things to be retracted are overseas offices and accounts.
And foreign media ARE forecasting bad times for Korea.
Sounds accurate to me.


So what you are saying is America leads the world.


edit: cant be arsed with politics.


Last edited by hugekebab on Tue Oct 28, 2008 5:01 am; edited 1 time in total
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aka Dave



Joined: 02 May 2008
Location: Down by the river

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 2:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I read the other day that the bad paper is 10 to 15 trillion dollars wiped out of the American real estate market. On average it comes out to 110,000 dollars per property.

That's a spicy meatball for the global economy to swallow. It's not America's fault. It's the Bush administration and conservative, free market ideology that's to blame.

Why should I get the blame when I busted my butt to prevent these idiots from being elected in 00 and 04. I guess you could blame the folks who voted for Bush, although Clinton passed a crappy deregulation bill as well.

Anyway, inbout 10 days we'll have a new guy who can start taking out the trash.
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bassexpander



Joined: 13 Sep 2007
Location: Someplace you'd rather be.

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 3:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/09/bill-clinton-do.html

relevant section at 2:45


Going very much against the media meme that the current financial crisis is all George W. Bush and the Republicans' fault, Bill Clinton on Thursday told ABC's Chris Cuomo that Democrats for years have been "resisting any efforts by Republicans in the Congress or by me when I was President to put some standards and tighten up a little on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac".
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caniff



Joined: 03 Feb 2004
Location: All over the map

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 3:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Adventurer wrote:
This is a rather complicated situation. The US is facing a financial crisis and many American investors are nervous and are pulling their money out of Korea in order to shore themselves up financially. It's a normal response. As far as the won, Korea's main trading partner is the U.S., and Korea depends heavily on exporting to the U.S., so it is not strange that the won went down. We, however, hope that it will go up again relatively soon.


Thank you for your explanation, professor. BTW, the won's plunge cannot be written off as just a repercussion of Korea's relationship to the U.S. as a trading partner during a financial crisis. There is a much more obvious factor at play.

Care to educate us as to what that would be?
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ChopChaeJoe



Joined: 05 Mar 2006
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 3:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Korea does a lot more trade with China than with America. America does too. More trade with China than with korea, I mean.

If you're not continuously updating your skills, you're headed for a fall.
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aka Dave



Joined: 02 May 2008
Location: Down by the river

PostPosted: Tue Oct 28, 2008 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

bassexpander wrote:
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/09/bill-clinton-do.html

relevant section at 2:45


Going very much against the media meme that the current financial crisis is all George W. Bush and the Republicans' fault, Bill Clinton on Thursday told ABC's Chris Cuomo that Democrats for years have been "resisting any efforts by Republicans in the Congress or by me when I was President to put some standards and tighten up a little on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac".


This is total Bs, and it infuriates me. The Repbulicans have tried to blame Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for this thing and it's the worst garbage you could possibly post, posted by people who have * no idea* what actually happened.

Yes, Fm and Fm had incompetent leadership. However, as the subprime fiasco metatastized they *dropped * loans early on and the private sectore sucked them up. This has been throughly debunked. They were trying to get out of the train wreck while it was happening, while the private firms were jumping in feet first.

In fact, listen to Harry Shearer's show from last sunday (leshow). He cites emails from private lenders in which they're saying "we're selling our souls for short-term profits" and "is this really okay?" published in various publications.

The Republican meme is we gave bad loans to brown and black people through public institutions like Fm/fm. Utter, utter racist garbage.

80 percent of the sub-prime loans were from the private sector. And the derivatives were all a private sector scheme to pass the buck.

Privatize the profits, socialize the risk. That's the Republican modus operandi.
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sojusucks



Joined: 31 May 2008

PostPosted: Wed Oct 29, 2008 12:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I remember reading some articles that blamed the declining Korean economy on the withdrawal of foreign investments (where foreign seems synonymous with American).

Sounds like we might either (A) being set-up for the blame and/or (B) Korea has no realistic idea of what is rationale as an external view of Korea (why not make everyone think and act like a Korea?, yeah nationalism!).
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