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What is "a Landslide Victory...?"
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:24 pm    Post subject: What is "a Landslide Victory...?" Reply with quote

Examples, ranked in order of magnitude, include:

(1) FDR over (no one remembers without Googling!) 1936: 523:8; 46 states:2 states; and

(2) LBJ over B. Goldwater 1964: 486:52; 48 states:6 states.

Popular vote remained decisively far apart in each case as well. FDR won by ten million of votes; LBJ by almost fifteen million. I do not believe B. Obama will win such a clear mandate as either of them.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:32 pm    Post subject: Re: What is "a Landslide Victory...?" Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
Examples, ranked in order of magnitude, include:

(1) FDR over (no one remembers without Googling!) 1936: 523:8; 46 states:2 states; and

(2) LBJ over B. Goldwater 1964: 486:52; 48 states:6 states.

Popular vote remained decisively far apart in each case as well. FDR won by ten million of votes; LBJ by almost fifteen million. I do not believe B. Obama will win such a clear mandate as either of them.


Today the while the electoral college isn't going to be close the popular vote will be.
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ReeseDog



Joined: 05 Apr 2008
Location: Classified

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So then - not a landslide. Just a loss. Do you think the dems will have any class at all, or will they be as poor winners as they are sore losers?
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote:
Today the while the electoral college isn't going to be close the popular vote will be.


Popular vote looks nearly neck-and-neck at present. B. Obama is going to have to find a way to deal with this grass-roots polarity in the coming years...

Democrats will probably be in a position to dictate American affairs through 2010, ReeseDog. Perhaps they will build a powerful base and continue; perhaps they will go about it antagonistically and provoke a backlash. They have provoked backlashes often enough: Brown in the South, R. Reagan and the Sunbelt, for example.


Last edited by Gopher on Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:38 pm; edited 3 times in total
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 07 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The country is STILL a very divided country.

I don't see how ANY leader would be be able to unite ALL people with the strong polarized political divisions that exist.
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ReeseDog



Joined: 05 Apr 2008
Location: Classified

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:
Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee wrote:
Today the while the electoral college isn't going to be close the popular vote will be.


Popular vote looks nearly neck-and-neck at present. B. Obama is going to have to find a way to deal with this grass-roots polarity in the coming years...


He's got four. Unless he nails it, he'll be a one-term prez. Opinion, Gopher?
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tiger Beer wrote:
I don't see how ANY leader would be be able to unite ALL people with the strong polarized political divisions that exist.


There must be a magic combination of issues that will mitigate the polarity and bring about majority unity. Usually, it takes a war to do this. There must be other issues, however. That represents B. Obama's challenge now.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 7:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Stats on a third example of "landslide": R Nixon over G. McGovern 1972: 520:17; 49 states: 1 state; almost twenty million more in the popular vote count...
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blade



Joined: 30 Jun 2007

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 8:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ReeseDog wrote:
So then - not a landslide. Just a loss. Do you think the dems will have any class at all, or will they be as poor winners as they are sore losers?

Class? What do you know about class Mr ReeseDog? You're after telling telling VanIslander to STFU just because he asked a question that you weren't comfortable answering and now you're lecturing the democrats about having class?
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 8:38 pm    Post subject: Re: What is "a Landslide Victory...?" Reply with quote

Gopher wrote:

(2) LBJ over B. Goldwater 1964: 486:52; 48 states:6 states.


There were 54 states in 1964?
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 8:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Typo. Should read: 44 states:6 states.

Nice catch.
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oskinny1



Joined: 10 Nov 2006
Location: Right behind you!

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 8:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Judging from McCainiacs at his concession speach, the GOPers will not be showing signs of good sportsmanship.
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Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 8:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

oskinny1 wrote:
Judging from McCainiacs at his concession speach, the GOPers will not be showing signs of good sportsmanship.


Relax and enjoy your victory. Many here sound like R. Nixon.
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asylum seeker



Joined: 22 Jul 2007
Location: On your computer screen.

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 9:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ReeseDog wrote:
So then - not a landslide. Just a loss. Do you think the dems will have any class at all, or will they be as poor winners as they are sore losers?


You're sounding like a sore loser yourself there, champ! Wink
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Adventurer



Joined: 28 Jan 2006

PostPosted: Tue Nov 04, 2008 9:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As far as I can say, this is definitely a decisive victory, but not necessarily a land-slide, but a decisive victory it is, and it is not even a close election. Obama was projected to win, and he won decisively. The Democrats picked up more seats as well. The win in the popular vote wasn't huge, but significant enough. It was interesting to see that the Democrats had 44% of the vote in Texas versus the 38% or so Kerry received. I was hoping Obama would make more gains in the South, but he still made major gains and so did the Democrats.


I think the focus Obama should have would be on trying to get some moderates in government who have experience and reach out to some from the GOP who might be helpful. America needs help, not bickering.
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