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The failure of the Detroit automakers
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 4:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

How could they not have seen this coming? Did they really think that consumers would keep buying bigger and more expensive SUVs for decades?
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Bigfeet



Joined: 29 May 2008
Location: Grrrrr.....

PostPosted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yu_Bum_suk wrote:
How could they not have seen this coming? Did they really think that consumers would keep buying bigger and more expensive SUVs for decades?


They saw it coming, but they decided to make more money back then and let the future take care of itself.
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mindmetoo



Joined: 02 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

some waygug-in wrote:
I think the big thing that North American Auto makers have to deal with is the cost of labor. The old style union vs management system will not be profitable in the coming years.

They will have to find ways to enable employees to share in profits of the company, other than - higher wages, more union dues, etc.

Some kind of employee share program in exchange for wage cuts are probably the only way they can survive.


Labor is a huge cost. Worse, I believe is the benefits all those decades of retirees are pulling down. Japan and Korea had a bit of an advantage with their NA plants: they opened in areas of North America with young healthy people, but I believe these days they're starting to feel the drain of benefits they have to retirees, older workers, etc.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Obama v. Congress: The Auto Industry Bailout

Quote:
On CNBC this morning, Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) said that Congress shouldn't bail out companies that are poorly run, and said he would prefer that they go into bankruptcy and using the "bailout" money to retrain the workers.

His opinion probably reflects the opinions of many centrist Democrats. On the stump, Obama essentially vowed to save the auto industry come hell or Hondas.
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Jandar



Joined: 11 Jun 2008

PostPosted: Mon Nov 10, 2008 6:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I could go for some kind of Government R&D consortium where all the R&D employees of the Big 3 auto makers are rolled into one big think-tank, skunk-works facility, completely funded with all patents on drive train and frame designs available to US auto companies.

I would make this contingent on those big three dissolving into smaller entities to increase product styling differentiation and competition, as in my earlier post.

This may lead to independent auto manufacturer start-ups.
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undauntedoh



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 1:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Look at Prius there is your answer
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 1:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mindmetoo wrote:
some waygug-in wrote:
I think the big thing that North American Auto makers have to deal with is the cost of labor. The old style union vs management system will not be profitable in the coming years.

They will have to find ways to enable employees to share in profits of the company, other than - higher wages, more union dues, etc.

Some kind of employee share program in exchange for wage cuts are probably the only way they can survive.


Labor is a huge cost. Worse, I believe is the benefits all those decades of retirees are pulling down. Japan and Korea had a bit of an advantage with their NA plants: they opened in areas of North America with young healthy people, but I believe these days they're starting to feel the drain of benefits they have to retirees, older workers, etc.


And they weren't stupid enough to offer the type of benefits GM did

Quote:
Mr. Shear was billed $52 to get a pacemaker several years ago, a $148,000 procedure, and never had to pay a health care bill in 31 years at G.M.


There are former GM employees who retired in their 50s, and GM still gives them full medical benefits. You think Toyota or Honda would do that? Hell no.
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mindmetoo



Joined: 02 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 4:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

bucheon bum wrote:
There are former GM employees who retired in their 50s, and GM still gives them full medical benefits. You think Toyota or Honda would do that? Hell no.


The down side is auto workers at Toyota, Honda, etc. in North America get a bit of a free ride. It works like this. The UAW/CAW strikes, the workers suffer for better later on, etc. This sets the bar. Toyota etc then simply find a wage/benefit package higher but less than what the big three are playing.

I'm not saying there's anything wrong with this. It's ultimately a very smart move and the workers on the line at Toyota are happy to be getting more money.

And realistically, Toyota etc probably wouldn't be making cars in North America unless there was the threat of protectionism.
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Jandar



Joined: 11 Jun 2008

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 4:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, Toyota that's the ticket.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/7993774

http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/nov2008/gb2008116_864302.htm?campaign_id=rss_daily
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 9:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yup Jandar. Toyota's stock price tumbled when it estimated its operating profit for this fiscal year would be under ten billion dollars. Its new forecasted profit? $6.1 billion. Awful, especially given the current global economy.

And MM2, you're right. The foreign automakers did take advantage of the situation, but as you noted, our gov't pushed them in that direction. Not just with protectionism but things like the Plaza Accords. Having cars built here in the US minimizes the currency factor.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 2:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

From Jandar's link:

Quote:
To boost earnings in 2009 and 2010, Toyota has formed an Emergency Profit Improvement Committee, led by CEO Katsuaki Watanabe, which will search for new ways to trim costs and reevaluate the size and timing of all new projects.


Katsuaki Watanabe was excellent in Letters from Iwo Jima, btw. Laughing
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bacasper



Joined: 26 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 2:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Published on Sunday, November 16, 2008 by CommonDreams.org

GM Must Re-Make the Mass Transit System it Murdered

by Harvey Wasserman

Bail out General Motors? The people who murdered our mass transit system?

First let them remake what they destroyed.

GM responded to the 1970s gas crisis by handing over the American market to energy-efficient Toyota and Honda.

GM met the rise of the hybrids with "light trucks."

GM built a small electric car, leased a pilot fleet to consumers who loved it, and then forcibly confiscated and trashed them all.

GM now wants to market a $40,000 electric Volt that looks like a cross between a Hummer and a Cadillac and will do nothing to meet the Solartopian needs of a green-powered Earth.

For this alone, GM's managers should never be allowed to make another car, let alone take our tax money to stay in business.

But there is also a trillion-dollar skeleton in GM's closet.

This is the company that murdered our mass transit system.

The assertion comes from Bradford Snell, a government researcher whose definitive report damning GM has been a vehicular lightening rod since its 1974 debut. Its attackers and defenders are legion. But some facts are irrefutable:

In a 1922 memo that will live in infamy, GM President Alfred P. Sloan established a unit aimed at dumping electrified mass transit in favor of gas-burning cars, trucks and buses.

Just one American family in 10 then owned an automobile. Instead, we loved our 44,000 miles of passenger rail routes managed by 1,200 companies employing 300,000 Americans who ran 15 billion annual trips generating an income of $1 billion. According to Snell, "virtually every city and town in America of more than 2,500 people had its own electric rail system."

But GM lost $65 million in 1921. So Sloan enlisted Standard Oil (now Exxon), Philips Petroleum, glass and rubber companies and an army of financiers and politicians to kill mass transit.

The campaigns varied, as did the economic and technical health of many of the systems themselves. Some now argue that buses would have transcended many of the rail lines anyway. More likely, they would have hybridized and complemented each other.

But with a varied arsenal of political and financial subterfuges, GM helped gut the core of America's train and trolley systems. It was the murder of our rail systems that made our "love affair" with the car a tragedy of necessity.

In 1949 a complex federal prosecution for related crimes resulted in an anti-trust fine against GM of a whopping $5000. For years thereafter GM continued to bury electric rail systems by "bustituting" gas-fired vehicles.

Then came the interstates. After driving his Allied forces into Berlin on Hitler's Autobahn, Dwight Eisenhower brought home a passion for America's biggest public works project. Some 40,000 miles of vital eco-systems were eventually paved under.

In habitat destruction, oil addiction, global warming, outright traffic deaths (some 40,000/year and more), ancillary ailments and wars for oil, the automobile embodies the worst ecological catastrophe in human history.

Should current General Motors management be made to pay for the ancient sins of Alfred Sloan?

Since the 1880s, American corporations have claimed human rights under the law. Tasking one now with human responsibilities could set a great precedent.

GM has certainly proved itself unable to make cars that can compete while healing a global-warmed planet.

So let's convert the company's infrastructure to churn out trolley cars, monorails, passenger trains, truly green buses.

FDR forced Detroit to manufacture the tanks, planes and guns that won World War 2 (try buying a 1944 Chevrolet!). Now let a reinvented GM make the "weapons" to win the climate war and energy independence.

It demands re-tooling and re-training. But GM's special role in history must now evolve into using its infrastructure to restore the mass transit system---and ecological balance---it has helped destroy.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Wed Nov 19, 2008 11:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

They are just trying to shake down Washington because the climate is ripe for free money. Ignore the propaganda.

They have made very little effort to raise capital outside of the government. GM sold their remaining shares of Suzuki etc (3%) but that is it. Until they exhaust all options, and even then, failed firms should fail. The role of the government is not to keep shitty firms in business. Sure, clean up around the edges (unemployment benefits and retraining) but there is the industrial base for an auto industry with or without GM, Ford and Chrysler.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 9:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://info.detnews.com/video/index.cfm?id=1189
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Nov 20, 2008 1:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The idiocy and arrogance of this is astounding:

http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/WallStreet/story?id=6285739&page=1
http://www.motherjones.com/mojoblog/archives/2008/11/10977_throw_the_bums_detroit.html
Quote:

Let's say you're three auto industry executives summoned to Washington to explain why you deserve billions of dollars in taxpayer money. You and your cronies have mismanaged your industry for years, but luckily for you and unluckily for the country too many parts of the economy rely on your continued existence. You watched AIG executives get strafed in the media for throwing lavish corporate retreats (with spa trips!) just after taking bailout funds. You know the public is hyper-sensitive to signs of waste, because middle class Americans are struggling to get by and it's their money you're seeking.

So what do you do? You take separate private jets from Detroit to Washington. You take three flights at an estimated cost of $20,000 each, despite the fact that coach flights are available for under $300 and first class flights are available for under $1,000.

You spend $60,000 when you could have spent $900. And then you go to Congress with your hand out.


Jesus H. Christ. Bailout funds for the industry should be contingent on new leadership taking over and old leadership being put in stocks.


60,000 would buy a lot of legacy costs. And this is but one flight on one day. How much money is blown yearly? Where is the value?

Apparently the CEO of GM lives in Seattle and the company jet takes him to work. How absurd.
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