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New Unification Minister behind tough policies

 
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 5:14 pm    Post subject: New Unification Minister behind tough policies Reply with quote

Quote:
New Unification Minister behind tough policies

President Lee Myung-bak�s decision yesterday to designate one of his hawkish North Korea policy advisers as the new unification minister suggests that his administration would further toughen its stance on Pyongyang regardless of the communist regime�s increasingly bellicose threats, analysts said.

Hyun In-taek, a Korea University politics professor set to replace Kim Ha-joong as Seoul�s new point man on North Korea, used to be a key North Korea adviser to Lee during his presidential election campaign in 2007. The centerpiece of Lee�s North Korea policy is linking South Korea�s economic aid to the denuclearization of the North.

The conservative Lee�s hard-line stance has prompted Pyongyang to suspend inter-Korean dialogue and intensify military threats, as seen in the North�s latest threat of military action issued by its military chief of staff on Saturday.

�If Professor Hyun takes over the Unification Ministry, the current �wait-and-see� strategy will likely be further solidified,� a North Korea specialist said on condition of anonymity. �The ministry will likely hold onto its current principle of waiting until North Korea changes its attitude rather than try to resume dialogue.�

Seoul sent no food or fertilizer aid to North Korea last year for the first time in a decade. Hyun has been a vocal critic of Lee�s liberal predecessors who gave unconditional aid to the North in the name of reconciliation.

Lee has said he will help increase North Korea�s per capita income to $3,000 should Pyongyang abandon its nuclear program, despite the opinion of some critics that Lee�s so-called �Denuclearization, Openness, 3000� campaign is humiliating for Pyongyang whose key doctrine is self-reliance. North Korea has called Lee�s campaign �vicious.�

The past minister, Kim Ha-joong, had his capacity considerably limited by Lee�s unwavering stance. His close relations with China, after more than six years as Seoul�s ambassador to Beijing, did not help draw a positive response from Pyongyang throughout his 11 months in the cabinet post.

Kim�s ministry further shrank in capacity when Lee suspended tours to the North�s scenic Mount Kumgang in July, following the shooting death of a South Korean tourist there. In December, Pyongyang expelled hundreds of South Koreans from the Kaesong Industrial Complex and curtailed border traffic.

On Saturday, North Korea�s military vowed to take an �all-out confrontational posture� against the South.

Lee�s selection of Hyun drew mixed responses. �Considering Professor Hyun was the designer of the Lee government�s North Korea policy, he will be able to push forward his views to the president,� a senior official at the Unification Ministry said, requesting anonymity.

�If the appointment of a non-governmental figure as new unification minister is inevitable, we would prefer a powerful politician� to scholars like Hyun, another ministry official said. Yonhap


http://joongangdaily.joins.com/article/view.asp?aid=2900055

I haven't been happy with how Lee has carried his administration through its first year... but when it comes to the DPRK, I'm digging how he holds his ground.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 6:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
but when it comes to the DPRK, I'm digging how he holds his ground.


Given that during the campaign the Norks warned the South not to elect Lee, I doubt there is any policy short of abject surrender that would please them.

As I understand things, reciprocity is the core of Lee's policy and that is a correct approach. The cooling of relations can be laid at the doorstep in Pyongyang...shooting that woman in Kumgang and closing Kaesong.
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Jandar



Joined: 11 Jun 2008

PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 7:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

More on the posturing.

Has anyone noticed any increased activity near the airbases?


North�s military may be taking a grip on power

JoongANg Daily January 20, 2009


Though North Korea�s military has long played a crucial role in inter-Korean political tensions, today it is making unusually dramatic moves.

Political observers say recent actions and rhetoric have become more intense than ever. Analysts expressed concern that North Korea�s military may be wielding little-checked power while its leader, Kim Jong-il, is still recovering from a stroke he reportedly suffered last summer.

On Dec. 17, groups of South Korean entrepreneurs and a handful of government officials from Seoul met with government and military officials from the North to discuss the effects of Pyongyang�s restrictions on the Kaesong Industrial Complex.

As the meeting was about to start, Kim Yong-chul, a North Korean lieutenant general, suddenly stood up and yelled: �All of the non-military officials are to leave!�

Kim is the North�s senior official in charge of military talks with the South.

His demand sent the bureaucrats scampering out of the room, according to the South Korean businessmen who attended the meeting.

�Some of the North�s non-military government officials had to come to us and asked what was discussed in the meeting,� said one of the South Korean attendees who refused to be named. �I could clearly sense the power of the North�s military.�

And last week, the head of the general staff of the North�s Korean People�s Army said the country was willing to risk a possible skirmish with the South to �preserve� the sea border line in the Yellow Sea.

The North also declared it would take an �all-out confrontational posture to shatter� the administration of South Korea�s President Lee Myung-bak.

The North�s state-run media reported yesterday that last week�s announcement from its army general staff �made headlines in many countries� wire agencies, newspapers and the broadcast news.�

But while this was on the front page of the North�s Rodong Shinmun, news that Dear Leader Kim Jong-il sent New Year�s messages to leaders around the world was relegated to the second page.

That the news about Kim�s message was downplayed is �very unusual,� according to South Korea�s intelligence officials.

�People in North Korea would probably believe that the latest statement may be tantamount to launching a war, since most of them believe that the general staff of the army is directly controlled by Kim,� said Chung Young-tae, a researcher at Korea Institute for National Unification.

�The North�s military may be trying to control other social and economic aspects of North Korean society by creating political tensions with the South.�

Baek Seung-joo, chief of the Defense Policy Studies Division at the Korea Institute for Defense Analysis, also said that Jang Sung-taek, Kim�s brother in law, may have taken a firmer grip on Pyongyang�s political hierarchy while Kim is away from the political center because of illness.

�The military, relatively on the sidelines of political power, may be trying to retain its power by creating military tension,� he said.

http://joongangdaily.joins.com/article/view.asp?aid=2900058
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yup, all signs are pointing towards them trying something slick in the upcoming few days...


ooohh, aren't we giddy with excitement? Laughing
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

"despite the opinion of some critics that Lee�s so-called �Denuclearization, Openness, 3000� campaign is humiliating for Pyongyang"

Anyone who thinks the Pyongyang regime deserves anything less that utter humiliation either knows nothing of their inhumanity or cares nothing of it.

Quite frankly enough another famine is preferable to another four decades of NK's murderous, dehumanising bullshit.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 1:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
North�s military may be taking a grip on power


This is the view I heard today from someone who doesn't get news from the media, if you know what I mean.
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On the other hand



Joined: 19 Apr 2003
Location: I walk along the avenue

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 1:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Anyone who thinks the Pyongyang regime deserves anything less that utter humiliation either knows nothing of their inhumanity or cares nothing of it.



I was always kind of amused by the pro-Sunshine arguments which defended the policy as helping North Korea to "save face".

Kim Jong-il is well aware of world opinion, and that his country is regarded as a joke accross the globe. The guy surely stopped caring about "face" a long time ago.

Not that there weren�t other, more valid arguments in defense of Sunshine. I�m actually not overly impressed with LMB�s new hard-line policy, since I do not think it is going to accomplish much more than Sunshine did. In my view, the apologists for both policies overstate South Korean influence over the North.
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samcheokguy



Joined: 02 Nov 2008
Location: Samcheok G-do

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 3:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

although it's a long shot...imagine if North Korea actually decides to start the 2nd korean war while I'm working in Gangwon-do.
It would be a great story...
...if I lived.
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Jandar



Joined: 11 Jun 2008

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 5:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

samcheokguy wrote:
although it's a long shot...imagine if North Korea actually decides to start the 2nd korean war while I'm working in Gangwon-do.
It would be a great story...
...if I lived.


You should run out now and get a pen and a pad of paper.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 6:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I hear that a collander for draining spaghetti turned upside down will substitute for a helmet.

On the other hand, my source in the ex-government is taking this threat more seriously than others in the past. The reason: it appears the Nork military has taken more control than in the past.
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Yu_Bum_suk



Joined: 25 Dec 2004

PostPosted: Tue Jan 20, 2009 8:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I hear that a collander for draining spaghetti turned upside down will substitute for a helmet.

On the other hand, my source in the ex-government is taking this threat more seriously than others in the past. The reason: it appears the Nork military has taken more control than in the past.


Surely, though, the top military brass would be less delusional than JKI about what would likely happen to them were a war to break out?
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