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Helping the U.S. Economy Right Itself
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 6:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Medicare and midicade can be brought under a single payer system similar to France.

Social security needs serioius structural adjustments and they have to stop borrowing from the 'trust fund'.

Generally, just grow the economy.

Hyperinflation would destroy the American economy and society Joo. Look at Latin America (specifically Brazil). Inflation is the major cause of political instability and inequality.

http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2006/12/brazil_fact_of_.html
Quote:
The price level in Brazil is approximately 5 trillion times higher today than it was in 1972.


Inflation steals money from savers (me) and gives it to money changers (the assholes who just blew up the global economy).

Such a bad idea. Seriously.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
Medicare and midicade can be brought under a single payer system similar to France.

Social security needs serioius structural adjustments and they have to stop borrowing from the 'trust fund'.

Generally, just grow the economy.

Hyperinflation would destroy the American economy and society Joo. Look at Latin America (specifically Brazil). Inflation is the major cause of political instability and inequality.

http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2006/12/brazil_fact_of_.html
Quote:
The price level in Brazil is approximately 5 trillion times higher today than it was in 1972.


Inflation steals money from savers (me) and gives it to money changers (the assholes who just blew up the global economy).

Such a bad idea. Seriously.


Those are some good ideas but the US doesn't have the will to fix social security and medicare.

If the US isn't going to fix them then hyper inflation is the best thing the US can do .
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Joo, hyperinflation would unleash social disorder on a scale we can't fathom. All long term investments are off. All savings are worthless (those people will need government handouts to survive, as their jobs are now gone).

Really. I'm not going to address this idea. We'll have to agree to disagree.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mises wrote:
Joo, hyperinflation would unleash social disorder on a scale we can't fathom. All long term investments are off. All savings are worthless (those people will need government handouts to survive, as their jobs are now gone).

Really. I'm not going to address this idea. We'll have to agree to disagree.


I would rather the US do the reforms you recommend than have hyperinflation . But if the US isn't going to make reforms then ....

Hyperinflation is the best worst option.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hyperinflation is not an answer to anything. Ever.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Fri Jan 30, 2009 1:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
Hyperinflation is not an answer to anything. Ever.


Well then w/o reform the entire federal budget sooner or later is going to be for entitlements.

I am not kidding.

The US will not be able to function at all.

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/61189.php
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 3:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've never been against reform as long as it's progressive reform. I've opposed reform when it's just double-speak for Let's-drive-a-stake-into-the-heart-of-a-program-we-hated-from-the-first.

The most serious danger in this current economic situation is that Obama will fail. Why is that the most serious? Because the Republican (conservative) ideas have already been rejected. If Obama's attempts fail, it doesn't leave the electorate with anything but truly radical solutions. Hyperinflation will only intensify that danger.
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 3:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
I've never been against reform as long as it's progressive reform. I've opposed reform when it's just double-speak for Let's-drive-a-stake-into-the-heart-of-a-program-we-hated-from-the-first.

The most serious danger in this current economic situation is that Obama will fail. Why is that the most serious? Because the Republican (conservative) ideas have already been rejected. If Obama's attempts fail, it doesn't leave the electorate with anything but truly radical solutions. Hyperinflation will only intensify that danger.


I don't want Obama to fail but lets be honest there is a lot of unnecessary spending in the stimulus plan. And it is not the plan that Larry Summer envisioned nor it is even the original plan that Obama proposed. The original plan called for 60 % spending and 40% tax cuts but this plan in addition to the poorly targeted spending is 67% spending and 33% tax cuts.


Anyway going back to the subject .The US absolutely must reform social security and medicare. If it doesn't the only alternative will be radical solutions. Hyperinflation is probably the best radical solution. Up to now the Democratic party has done nothing about social security or medicare reform nothing at all.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 6:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The "Obama Plan" that is working its way through Congress is likely to grant Joo his wish for hyperinflation. It is also full of protectionist measures, which means that we're due for another large stock market tumble in the next few weeks or months. Events are still unfolding in a manner quite similar to the onset of the Great Depression. Bush, and now Obama are following the Hoover/FDR keynesian/socialist program. It failed before and it will be worse this time.

Differences:

1) Many people know this one is coming.

2) This one was already slated to be much worse, due to the greater amount of unbacked inflated money already issued by the Federal Reserve and the massive government spending program that will increase the problem.

3) Now that Congress is adding a lot of protectionism to the Obama Plan, and many countries are threatening to retaliate, the only ameliorating factor - the lack of a Smoot-Hawley style tariff law - has now vanished. This means it will be even worse than we thought.


Amazingly, some people still don't know (or refuse to see) just how bad things are going to be.

Some people will just try to ride this out, miserably.

Some people will try to plan ahead, buying land, food, guns and gold.

Some people will try to look for opportunities to profit as the world economy crashes.


The Obama Plan is doomed to fail.


What will YOU do?


Quote:
�There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as the final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved.�

Ludwig von Mises, Human Action (1949).



Seems relevant.


Thanks to Mises for this quote. I borrowed it from your post in another thread.

We should always listen to Ludwig.


Last edited by ontheway on Sat Jan 31, 2009 8:03 am; edited 5 times in total
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Joo Rip Gwa Rhhee



Joined: 25 May 2003

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 7:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't want hyperinflation. I just think the US is starting to run out of options.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 8:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Since, the Obama Plan is doomed to fail ...

What the government SHOULD do:

1) Go back on a 100% gold standard, immediately.
2) Abolish all taxes on income and property at all levels of government.
3) Institute a 10% national sales tax to be shared by all levels of government: Federal, State and Local. Make 10% the maximum allowed under the constitution.
4) Prohibit deficit spending and prohibit all borrowing by government at all levels: Federal, State and Local.
5) Bring US troops home from around the world and shrink the military.
6) End all subsidies for business.
7) End all subsidies for transportation and energy use.
8.) Abolish social security, with apologies, for everyone under age 55.
9) Raise the retirement age to 72 for those between 55 and 64.
10) Use government assets to fund S.S. payments to those who are currently collecting. Privatize the fund. Then end Government payments into the fund.
11) Set a pay cap for government employees at the median level for full time workers in the US.
12) Set the same cap for members of Congress and the President and all their staff members.
13) Slash retirement benefits for Congress and former Presidents and other public officials.
14) Abolish all victimless crime laws and pardon those convicted.
15) Require that all spending and tax legislation get a 2/3 majority to pass Congress.


This is a short list of a few steps we need to take immediately if we really want to save the US economy and turn things around. This would be reasonable for Obama's first 100 days if he really wants to change and fix things. More radical steps could then be implemented throughout his 4 years.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 10:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Apparently, the documented historical record that stimilus programs such as Obama's are doomed to fail has been researched by one of his own advisors. Obama economic advisor Christina Romer and her husband, David Romer published just such a study that demonstrated that fiscal stimuli do not induce economic recovery.


So, unlike Obama's claims that everyone knows we need a government boost to help the economy, the question is:

Why is it that, when nearly everone who is conversant in economics knows the program is doomed to fail, the Obama plan is still going forward?

We already know that keynsian socialism, like all forms of socialism, is doomed to fail. We already know that FDR made the Great Depression seven years longer with his programs. We know that the Smoot-Hawley tariff law caused the market crash and that the Federal Reserve caused the bubble that started it all, and all the recessions since, including this one.

So, why in hell do we need one more massive failure to prove once again what we already know?
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 11:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
Apparently, the documented historical record that stimilus programs such as Obama's are doomed to fail has been researched by one of his own advisors. Obama economic advisor Christina Romer and her husband, David Romer published just such a study that demonstrated that fiscal stimuli do not induce economic recovery.


Got a link for that? I'd like to read it (not saying you're making it up,,,).
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 2:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:

We already know that keynsian socialism, like all forms of socialism, is doomed to fail. We already know that FDR made the Great Depression seven years longer with his programs. We know that the Smoot-Hawley tariff law caused the market crash and that the Federal Reserve caused the bubble that started it all, and all the recessions since, including this one.

So, why in hell do we need one more massive failure to prove once again what we already know?


well,even those who disagree with you on the 1st paragraph, and still believe in Keynsian econ, aren't too happy with the stimulus. They think it is structured the wrong way and won't be effective. That makes it even more mind-boggling that it has been passed by the House.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 7:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bucheon bum wrote:
ontheway wrote:

We already know that keynsian socialism, like all forms of socialism, is doomed to fail. We already know that FDR made the Great Depression seven years longer with his programs. We know that the Smoot-Hawley tariff law caused the market crash and that the Federal Reserve caused the bubble that started it all, and all the recessions since, including this one.

So, why in hell do we need one more massive failure to prove once again what we already know?


well,even those who disagree with you on the 1st paragraph, and still believe in Keynsian econ, aren't too happy with the stimulus. They think it is structured the wrong way and won't be effective. That makes it even more mind-boggling that it has been passed by the House.


Which is great, cause it means that Keynsianism lives to die another day. When this fails, as it will, Krugman and hill minions will say "well, of course it failed. It wasn't big enough!". And maybe we'll try again. And again. And again. And I'll start a big garden.
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