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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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mises
Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Location: retired
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 5:07 am Post subject: |
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It is, yes. Short selling is an appropriate means of price discovery, but large institutional investors have been known to attack a newly listed firm or an otherwise normal and stable firm. If I had a firm ready to go public right now I'd not do it. This is part of the reason that I believe the era of equities is over for a while.
Another serious issue is so-called 'naked short selling', when an institution shorts a company that it does not own.
http://www.financialsense.com/metals/crime/main.html |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 5:51 am Post subject: |
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This might be the Puritan in me speaking, but there is something sick and demented about that. It's just wrong. |
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OneWayTraffic
Joined: 14 Mar 2005
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 6:30 am Post subject: |
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Ya-ta Boy wrote: |
This might be the Puritan in me speaking, but there is something sick and demented about that. It's just wrong. |
If enough of the shares are closely held then it doesn't matter what short sellers try. The market price won't matter to the few people that really control the company. |
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Kuros
Joined: 27 Apr 2004
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 8:37 am Post subject: |
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Ya-ta Boy wrote: |
This might be the Puritan in me speaking, but there is something sick and demented about that. It's just wrong. |
The problem comes when you're exercising your option rights to short a stock, which is what usually happens (I believe this is what mises refers to as naked short selling).
mises wrote: |
If I had a firm ready to go public right now I'd not do it. |
It breaks my heart to see the days end of entrepreneurs cashing out in IPOs and letting a professional MBA-executive class take over their business.
I hope we see a major reform of the corporation as we know it. I think LLCs and even straight up partnerships/joint-ventures will become more popular for awhile, as flow-through entities are favored over the double-taxed corporations. |
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ontheway
Joined: 24 Aug 2005 Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 9:01 am Post subject: |
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Short selling means that you borrow the stock from someone else and then sell it. Later, of course, you have to buy it back and return it to the person you borrowed it from.
You have to sell and then buy an equal number of shares. There is very little chance for successful market manipulation. People who think they can push a price, up or down, usually lose their shirts.
Market manipulation is very difficult to do when you have to both sell and buy the same number of shares. You could short sell along with a whole host of other people and the price would still rise if the company was successful.
In the Stewart comedy tape, the example was a professional short seller who found a company selling popular fad shoes. Their stock appeared to be overvalued and the company was due to crash. They sold short, repurchased the stock at a lower price, and made a lot of money. The short sellers did not drive the price of this stock down. It fell after the short sales. The price would not have fallen except for the fact that the company was selling junk products.
If a company is sound, even if a stock is temporarily depressed due to short selling, this will not affect the operations of the company and no one will lose their job. The stock price does not affect the day to day operations.
When dumb people do comedy, they often mislead other dumb people. |
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mises
Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Location: retired
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 9:05 am Post subject: |
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Kuros wrote: |
It breaks my heart to see the days end of entrepreneurs cashing out in IPOs and letting a professional MBA-executive class take over their business.
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The professional MBA class are a good part of the problem. |
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mises
Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Location: retired
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 9:11 am Post subject: |
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ontheway wrote: |
In the Stewart comedy tape, the example was a professional short seller who found a company selling popular fad shoes. Their stock appeared to be overvalued and the company was due to crash. They sold short, repurchased the stock at a lower price, and made a lot of money. The short sellers did not drive the price of this stock down. It fell after the short sales. The price would not have fallen except for the fact that the company was selling junk products. |
I haven't seen the video, but if you're talking about 'crocs', then that was a solid trade. When that company began a dramatic rise in stock price as a result of a very obviously short lived fashion trend,the first thing in my mind was "short that silly".
http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACROX
Look at the 5 year.
Anyways, short selling in itself is fine. But the extent of market manipulation by hedge funds isn't widely known. When a stock begins a downward slide due to short selling on manipulation there is a real chance that the 'market' will think it reasonable and crash the company.
The big issue is "naked short selling", which is wide spread and technically fraud. It was also a huge problem in the Great Depression. |
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ontheway
Joined: 24 Aug 2005 Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 9:25 am Post subject: |
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Yes, apparently the company was Crocs Inc.
The piece was misleading. There was no price manipulation. It was not about "naked short selling."
Naked short selling means selling something that you don't own. There is a certain amount of time to cover the transaction by forwarding the security sold, but failure to do so constitutes fraud. Fraud is illegal and should be.
When the world is overregulated, real crime that is simple to prevent, detect and punish, goes unregulated. |
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rollo
Joined: 10 May 2006 Location: China
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 4:43 pm Post subject: |
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In September and October the hedge funds did a lot of naked hsort selling. Jim Cramer called them on it. They were in violation of s.E.C. regulations but the Bush appointed S.E.C. chairman did nothing to stop it. Laws which had been on the books for 50 years were ignored . Cramer in one of his rants called for "show trials" of the S.E.C. leadership. There is a new sheriff in town so a lot of this has stopped. |
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mises
Joined: 05 Nov 2007 Location: retired
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Posted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 4:51 pm Post subject: |
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That's not the whole story.
The naked shorting in Sept/Oct was by hedge funds against the big ibanks. The ibanks, not used to being on the receiving end of such fraud, quickly had a ban on all short selling of their stocks put in place.
Naked short selling in the non-financials continues. |
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