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The won is plummeting today
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Alyssa



Joined: 15 Jan 2006

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 1:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

T-J wrote:
poet13 wrote:
First I've heard of a golden cross. I had heard about the psychological 1500 barrier that Koreans didn't want to cross.

I'm on pins and needles here hoping for one last Won plunge.


http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2009/01/123_37470.html

Wondering if anyone with an economics background can comment on it.

Does it have real meaning or is it just one of many Korean psychological points? Not that the economy isn't highly influenced by psychological factors....


how sad, you must not have a life at all, Sad
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michaelambling



Joined: 31 Dec 2008
Location: Paradise

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 2:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alyssa wrote:
T-J wrote:
poet13 wrote:
First I've heard of a golden cross. I had heard about the psychological 1500 barrier that Koreans didn't want to cross.

I'm on pins and needles here hoping for one last Won plunge.


http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2009/01/123_37470.html

Wondering if anyone with an economics background can comment on it.

Does it have real meaning or is it just one of many Korean psychological points? Not that the economy isn't highly influenced by psychological factors....


how sad, you must not have a life at all, Sad


That's the most ridiculous thing you've ever written, Al. It's like me telling someone they post too much. Laughing
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T-J



Joined: 10 Oct 2008
Location: Seoul EunpyungGu Yeonsinnae

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 5:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alyssa wrote:
T-J wrote:
poet13 wrote:
First I've heard of a golden cross. I had heard about the psychological 1500 barrier that Koreans didn't want to cross.

I'm on pins and needles here hoping for one last Won plunge.


http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2009/01/123_37470.html

Wondering if anyone with an economics background can comment on it.

Does it have real meaning or is it just one of many Korean psychological points? Not that the economy isn't highly influenced by psychological factors....


how sad, you must not have a life at all, Sad


Yawn. Now you're just starting to bore me. Why don't you keep it interesting like your PM, or better yet tell us all more about your daddy. I'd like that.
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Pwillig



Joined: 26 Jan 2009

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 5:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alyssa wrote:

how sad, you must not have a life at all, Sad


Seriously, you've only tried to qualify yourself through your father (hello grade school?) and your "hubby".
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bogey666



Joined: 17 Mar 2008
Location: Korea, the ass free zone

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 7:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

T-J wrote:
poet13 wrote:
First I've heard of a golden cross. I had heard about the psychological 1500 barrier that Koreans didn't want to cross.

I'm on pins and needles here hoping for one last Won plunge.


http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2009/01/123_37470.html

Wondering if anyone with an economics background can comment on it.

Does it have real meaning or is it just one of many Korean psychological points? Not that the economy isn't highly influenced by psychological factors....


as someone with a longterm background in the financial markets (and yes, an econ degree - which means jack diddly squat marketwise)

I can tell you this is UTTER and COMPLETE nonsense .... about 99% of the time.

"psychological" levels, like rounded off Dow levels at each 100.. or a 1000.

those also mean jack diddly squat.. 99% of the time.

they're only useful for financial news reporters who have nothing else to write about.
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michaelambling



Joined: 31 Dec 2008
Location: Paradise

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 2:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

T-J wrote:
Alyssa wrote:
T-J wrote:
poet13 wrote:
First I've heard of a golden cross. I had heard about the psychological 1500 barrier that Koreans didn't want to cross.

I'm on pins and needles here hoping for one last Won plunge.


http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2009/01/123_37470.html

Wondering if anyone with an economics background can comment on it.

Does it have real meaning or is it just one of many Korean psychological points? Not that the economy isn't highly influenced by psychological factors....


how sad, you must not have a life at all, Sad


Yawn. Now you're just starting to bore me. Why don't you keep it interesting like your PM, or better yet tell us all more about your daddy. I'd like that.


Oooh, this sounds interesting! Of course I've heard about how much her husband makes, but what's the deal with her dad?
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poet13



Joined: 22 Jan 2006
Location: Just over there....throwing lemons.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Really kids, this thread is for grownups. Why don't you kids go start another thread and talk about how Alyssas daddy touched her pee-pee place and how she can only get off by licking her husbands credit cards.
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michaelambling



Joined: 31 Dec 2008
Location: Paradise

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 3:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

poet13 wrote:
Really kids, this thread is for grownups. Why don't you kids go start another thread and talk about how Alyssas daddy touched her pee-pee place and how she can only get off by licking her husbands credit cards.


Fair enough; it's up to 1329; I'm pretty sure the won and the global economy have bottomed out. G20 is cracking down on tax havens and injecting a 1 trillion dollar stimulus--I'm sure the worst is over.
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poet13



Joined: 22 Jan 2006
Location: Just over there....throwing lemons.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 4:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, it's possible I suppose. But everyone is still saying there's worse to come. Unemployment is still rising, and the automakers may still go bankrupt... Japans economy is looking worse and worse, and a bunch of Eastern EU economies may fail completely...

The great irony is that the less developed world is not experiencing our pain....lol
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GwangjuParents



Joined: 31 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 5:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The markets tend to be leading indicators.

So you could have a large rally in the markets all the while unemployment is going up and everything appears to be going to hell.

Personally, I'm pretty sure this is a bear market rally driven more by psychology, spin and optimism than fundamentals.

I'm counting on there being one more big dip, and I suspect the real bottom will be here around late summer or fall.

But who knows... it's all just one big crap shoot.

I just wish the Won would go down more...
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poet13



Joined: 22 Jan 2006
Location: Just over there....throwing lemons.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 5:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, I'm really hoping for one more big dip. I think though that if there is one, it wont' be as drastic as we're hoping for. I'd like to see a clear 1400 (sell F/T rate) to buy back in. Right now I'm sitting on a lot of dollars that aren't earning money anywhere. If I can buy back in, I can put the Won in an interest bearing account (Money market), and hopefully also take advantage of the future weakening (I hope) dollar. With a strengthening Won (the two aren't the same), if everything works out, it's a triple dip.
My time frame is now 17 months.
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Luciddreamer



Joined: 31 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 6:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Once you guys are about to go back your respective countries, are you going to transfer all of your KRW savings to your currency? I ask this because I am from the states and the dollar is weak to the won.

I'm from the states and if I save around 12,000,000 won and go back to the states with it, I'd have a little less than 9G.

How many of you guys would buy a lot of expensive stuff (maybe a laptop or expensive electronic) in Korea and then take whatever you have left back to your countries?
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poet13



Joined: 22 Jan 2006
Location: Just over there....throwing lemons.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 6:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Luciddreamer. The Won is actually STRONG to the dollar. It's stronger than it has been in months. It's not as strong as it was last summer, but it's likely to get stronger in the next six to twelve months. That is, less won to buy one dollar. My advice. Hang on to your won for a while. Look for 110 to the dollar.
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poet13



Joined: 22 Jan 2006
Location: Just over there....throwing lemons.

PostPosted: Thu Apr 02, 2009 7:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

OK, so maybe 110 is a little optimistic....but let's shoot for 1100.

EDIT: To answer your question. YES, I absolutely will take my money with me. I plan to leave in 17 months, and I will need it. Hopefully after I've left, I won't ever come back. Too many other places to see in this big little world.
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Tommy



Joined: 24 Aug 2005

PostPosted: Fri Apr 03, 2009 12:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just thought of this: The north is fueling up their rocket, ready to launch this weekend. So if they do in fact launch it, this might have a negative impact on investor's feelings towards the south's security, economy, etc.
How high is the possibility that the Won will take a hit on Monday, assuming the rocket is launched this weekend?
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