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Key oil figures were distorted
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
No. Economies of scale exist because of physical restrictions to competition.



Now there is a sentence that has no meaning in the English language.
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Rum Jungle



Joined: 18 Nov 2005
Location: North Asia

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Predicting the end of oil supply by economist/pundits...Is it not like global warming?
Mauritius/the Maldives isn't going to sink beneath the waves in 5 years time as the alarmists thought would happen.
And neither will oil.
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RufusW



Joined: 14 Jun 2008
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't know what you're admitting ontheway..... a failure to understand economics or a failure to understand the English language.

Economies of scale exist because of physical restrictions.... i.e. it's easier for a single company to set up a telephone network.

I am literally amazed you don't understand this, and honestly, I can't take you seriously because I know you haven't studied economics and you haven't/can't grasp the basics. I mean really....I'm sorry.
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Pluto



Joined: 19 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RufusW wrote:
Pluto wrote:
Economies of scale exist due to the firm's learning curve

No. Economies of scale exist because of physical restrictions to competition.


Yes I was paraphrasing. The larger point is that you're confusing economies of scale and monopoly theory. The two are completely unrelated.
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ontheway



Joined: 24 Aug 2005
Location: Somewhere under the rainbow...

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 9:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RufusW wrote:
I don't know what you're admitting ontheway..... a failure to understand economics or a failure to understand the English language.

Economies of scale exist because of physical restrictions.... i.e. it's easier for a single company to set up a telephone network.

I am literally amazed you don't understand this, and honestly, I can't take you seriously because I know you haven't studied economics and you haven't/can't grasp the basics. I mean really....I'm sorry.



You said, "... physical restrictions to competition."

Would that be like, attaching 1000 pound balls to the legs of a racehorse so it couldn't run?


And what your trying to say about telephone companies actually shows that you are confusing two things that have two different hypothetical explanations.

The one: "economies of scale" has been proven and is an establish part of economic theory. Essentially, firms get more efficient as they get bigger, for a while, because they benefit from certain efficiencies that come from many places including the laws of physics, of course, but also human talent, finance and other factors. There is a point at which peak efficiency is reached, afterwhich, diseconomies of scale set in and the firm will earn lower ROI by getting bigger. Normally growth will stop at this point. There are socialist effects that have caused the marketplace to be greatly distorted. One important one is the Income Tax which makes it more profitable to retain earnings instead of paying dividends even though the firm is no longer efficient because the after tax ROI of the inefficient firm is superior than the after tax ROI earned by paying higher taxes on dividends and reinvesting. A distortion created increase in ROI can cause inefficiency to dominate, which is how we have gotten so many large "too big to fail" dinosaur companies, which are really "to big to exist."

The other: "natural monopoly" was created by PR men and has been disproven both empirically and theoretically and is not a part of economic theory any longer. Telephone and electric companies created it, spun it up, and got themselves monopolies that have caused huge generational damage to the economy. A few suckers bought the PR campaign, and unfortuately, such nonsense is still parroted by the ignorant. They should not be allowed to teach.
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RufusW



Joined: 14 Jun 2008
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Thu Nov 12, 2009 10:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
"natural monopoly" was created by PR men and has been disproven both empirically and theoretically

Yes please, source to disprove what I've been taught.

Do you think national defence/pollution are natural monopolies?
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Rum Jungle



Joined: 18 Nov 2005
Location: North Asia

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 10:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RufusW wrote:
ontheway wrote:
"natural monopoly" was created by PR men and has been disproven both empirically and theoretically

Yes please, source to disprove what I've been taught.

Do you think national defence/pollution are natural monopolies?


Not sure about pollution/global warming. But natural monopolies, companies too big to fail, the Korean chaebols like Hyundae etc?

"We make things"...as Angela Merkel told Tony Blair about the difference between the German and UK economies.

There's a Nobel Prize in Economics there for the taking if an economist can put forward a model. De-industrialisation in UK,US v Service sector economy.
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RufusW



Joined: 14 Jun 2008
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 11:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Pluto wrote:
The larger point is that you're confusing economies of scale and monopoly theory. The two are completely unrelated.

They are exactly related.
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RufusW



Joined: 14 Jun 2008
Location: Busan

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 11:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ontheway wrote:
"natural monopoly" was created by PR men and has been disproven both empirically and theoretically [O'really?]and is not a part of economic theory any longer [O'really?]. Telephone and electric companies created it, spun it up, and got themselves monopolies that have caused huge generational damage to the economy. A few suckers bought the PR campaign, and unfortuately, such nonsense is still parroted by the ignorant [Hmm...]. They should not be allowed to teach.

Ha Ha. Monopolies exist because of the cost of entry into the market. TV, telephone, internet are all prime examples.
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OneWayTraffic



Joined: 14 Mar 2005

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 4:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rum Jungle wrote:
Predicting the end of oil supply by economist/pundits...Is it not like global warming?
Mauritius/the Maldives isn't going to sink beneath the waves in 5 years time as the alarmists thought would happen.
And neither will oil.


It's a finite supply, and when it's gone it's gone. Along with this, most new oil to be found will be by definition harder to find; extract and deliver than currently existing oil.

On the flip side, classical economics would predict that as it gets more expensive we will use less of it, and look for alternatives. This is happening now, but the economy is still tremendously vulnerable to oil shortages.

It's basically going to be a race between supply, demand and technology, with our civilisation in the balance.
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

OneWayTraffic wrote:
On the flip side, classical economics would predict that as it gets more expensive we will use less of it, and look for alternatives. This is happening now, but the economy is still tremendously vulnerable to oil shortages.


Of course, rather than waiting until inevitable shortages manifest symptoms which will cause people to suffer, we could simply begin implementation of an alternative energy economy now. Unfortunately, that would be Socialist! We must wait until there are rampant shortages and people are suffering to do anything about it, that's what Liberty is about.
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bacasper



Joined: 26 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 9:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fox wrote:
Of course, rather than waiting until inevitable shortages manifest symptoms which will cause people to suffer, we could simply begin implementation of an alternative energy economy now. Unfortunately, that would be Socialist! We must wait until there are rampant shortages and people are suffering to do anything about it, that's what Liberty is about.

You got it backwards: without the socialists, the investment would have occurred long ago.
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 9:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bacasper wrote:
Fox wrote:
Of course, rather than waiting until inevitable shortages manifest symptoms which will cause people to suffer, we could simply begin implementation of an alternative energy economy now. Unfortunately, that would be Socialist! We must wait until there are rampant shortages and people are suffering to do anything about it, that's what Liberty is about.


You got it backwards: without the socialists, the investment would have occurred long ago.


Yeah, this data-free counterfactual is a favorite of Libertarians.
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bacasper



Joined: 26 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 10:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fox wrote:
bacasper wrote:
Fox wrote:
Of course, rather than waiting until inevitable shortages manifest symptoms which will cause people to suffer, we could simply begin implementation of an alternative energy economy now. Unfortunately, that would be Socialist! We must wait until there are rampant shortages and people are suffering to do anything about it, that's what Liberty is about.


You got it backwards: without the socialists, the investment would have occurred long ago.


Yeah, this data-free counterfactual is a favorite of Libertarians.

Just how is one supposed to provide facts for what would have been?

Got any facts to show it is not true?
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Koveras



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Fri Nov 13, 2009 10:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think it's true that a free market economy couldn't plan ahead. On the contrary, the research I've seen suggests that in freer markets people have a lower time preference, meaning they weigh future well-being more heavily in their choices.
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