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Obama says we need more Private Sector Jobs
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pkang0202



Joined: 09 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:39 pm    Post subject: Obama says we need more Private Sector Jobs Reply with quote

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajeRicqotYiw&pos=9

Quote:
President Barack Obama said the private sector must take the lead in creating jobs as the U.S. economy recovers and that persistently high unemployment �cuts deep� for the millions out of work.


No kidding captain obvious. If I remember correctly, wasn't the Stimulus suppose to be the job creator? Now he puts the onus on the Private Sector, essentially washing his hands of it.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SME says:

Quote:
Yeah, alright... Why hadn't I thought of that before?
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Koveras



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 4:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

IIRC, when you compare the amount of money they spent stimulating the economy to the number of jobs they created, it comes out to like $300,000 per job. I think that number is probably way off, but it gives you the idea.

Last edited by Koveras on Thu Dec 03, 2009 4:54 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Fox



Joined: 04 Mar 2009

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 4:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Koveras wrote:
IIRC correctly, when you compare the amount of money they spent stimulating the economy to the number of jobs they created, it comes out to like $300,000 per job. I think that number is probably way off, but it gives you the idea.


Remember, though, that such figures only consider jobs created so far. To truly create a correct figure regarding the stimulus and the number of jobs it supposedly created, we must wait until it has run its course. I'm not saying this to defend the stimulus, but rather to simply point out that any figures like that currently being bandied about seem more like propaganda than actual sincere analysis.

For what it's worth, I don't support the stimulus. I just think we don't need to use questionable figures like this to attack it.
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Koveras



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 5:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's the story.

http://tinyurl.com/stimulusnumbers

$230,000 per job.

Fox wrote:
Koveras wrote:
IIRC correctly, when you compare the amount of money they spent stimulating the economy to the number of jobs they created, it comes out to like $300,000 per job. I think that number is probably way off, but it gives you the idea.


Remember, though, that such figures only consider jobs created so far. To truly create a correct figure regarding the stimulus and the number of jobs it supposedly created, we must wait until it has run its course. I'm not saying this to defend the stimulus, but rather to simply point out that any figures like that currently being bandied about seem more like propaganda than actual sincere analysis.

For what it's worth, I don't support the stimulus. I just think we don't need to use questionable figures like this to attack it.


I am only using the White House's official numbers. The stimulus directly created or saved those jobs for that amount, and overall unemployment continued to rise. It's a simple bit of math that demonstrates how absurdly counteractive the stimulus is.


Last edited by Koveras on Thu Dec 03, 2009 5:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 5:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have never, ever seen a way to calculate "jobs saved". I do not believe such a metric existed before Obama needed one.
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Rusty Shackleford



Joined: 08 May 2008

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 5:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There are also numerous stories of inflated job figures. Nine pairs of boots saved nine jobs, for instance.
http://reason.com/blog/2009/11/25/new-at-reason-jacob-sullum-on?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+reason%2FHitandRun+%28Reason+Online+-+Hit+%26+Run+Blog%29&utm_content=Google+Reader

One lawnmower saves 50 Shocked jobs.
http://stossel.blogs.foxbusiness.com/2009/11/14/the-magic-lawnmower/

One district claimed 900 jobs saved despite the fact that only 500 people work there.
http://reason.com/blog/2009/11/24/weve-got-to-protect-those-phon?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+reason%2FHitandRun+%28Reason+Online+-+Hit+%26+Run+Blog%29&utm_content=Google+Reader

Around 80,000 of the so called "created" jobs have been proven to be phony.
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?hl=en&ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid=107704220287495603222.0004782e6659ad532d4ee&ll=39.639538,-97.119141&spn=23.633433,57.128906&t=p&z=4&source=embed
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 6:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can count all the jobs that would've been cut on the state level (particularly education jobs) if not for the Stimulus. Obviously cut out those Head Start jobs that were falsified.

Other than that, who knows?
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Kikomom



Joined: 24 Jun 2008
Location: them thar hills--Penna, USA--Zippy is my kid, the teacher in ROK. You can call me Kiko

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 3:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Geography of a Recession:
Unemployment rates by county
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 6:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

We interupt the slamObamaparade here on the thread for this announcement: Only 11,000 jobs were lost last month so unemployment improved slightly--down to 10%; meaning the mass lay-offs of last winter seem to have stopped.

Now back to our previously scheduled slamfest.
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Koveras



Joined: 09 Oct 2008

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 6:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
We interupt the slamObamaparade here on the thread for this announcement: Only 11,000 jobs were lost last month so unemployment improved slightly--down to 10%; meaning the mass lay-offs of last winter seem to have stopped.

Now back to our previously scheduled slamfest.


Actually, jobs were lost, so the real unemployment rate grew. I admit it grew way less than I expected, though.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 6:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh Ya-ta. The data is constructed to support Benny's confirmation. It's an estimate that has a wide spread from private estimates. Yet, the estimates use the same data and are usually never more than 5-10% apart. To the extent that there is hiring, it is temp service jobs for the non-Xmas rush.

Here's what will happen:

1) This will be upwardly revised in a month.
2) The number will be unexpectedly (negative variance from private numbers) in Feb. This because the pressure on the Fed to raise rates is now strong, but highers rates crashes the stock market and banks. So they'll kill that once Benny is in by releasing poor figures.

Also:

http://www.economicpopulist.org/content/presto-unemployed-people-vanish-your-very-eyes
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Pluto



Joined: 19 Dec 2006

PostPosted: Fri Dec 04, 2009 6:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
We interupt the slamObamaparade here on the thread for this announcement: Only 11,000 jobs were lost last month so unemployment improved slightly--down to 10%; meaning the mass lay-offs of last winter seem to have stopped.

Now back to our previously scheduled slamfest.


Do you really believe everything that comes out of this government? this administration? Can you really not bring yourself to critically analyze the information the government provides? If you consider yourself a liberal, that's fine. The question I would have though is this: Are you a liberal first or are you a democrat first?

Some (cynical) perspective on the unemployment rate:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ulu3SCAmeBA&feature=player_embedded
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bacasper



Joined: 26 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Sat Dec 05, 2009 12:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Pluto wrote:
Ya-ta Boy wrote:
We interupt the slamObamaparade here on the thread for this announcement: Only 11,000 jobs were lost last month so unemployment improved slightly--down to 10%; meaning the mass lay-offs of last winter seem to have stopped.

Now back to our previously scheduled slamfest.


Do you really believe everything that comes out of this government? this administration? Can you really not bring yourself to critically analyze the information the government provides? If you consider yourself a liberal, that's fine. The question I would have though is this: Are you a liberal first or are you a democrat first?

Some (cynical) perspective on the unemployment rate:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ulu3SCAmeBA&feature=player_embedded

Don't you know by now that everyone who does not believe everything that comes straight from the government is a "conspiracy theorist," has a negative "effect on democracy," and thus is not to be believed? Rolling Eyes
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Sat Dec 05, 2009 1:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
We interupt the slamObamaparade here on the thread for this announcement: Only 11,000 jobs were lost last month so unemployment improved slightly--down to 10%; meaning the mass lay-offs of last winter seem to have stopped.

Now back to our previously scheduled slamfest.


You're very popular around here, Ya-Ta.

Anyway, I don't blame Obama for this mess, and I don't blame him for being unable to stem unemployment. And frankly, all my other economic-right fellows are being way to harsh on Obama. Unemployment is not only difficult for the gov't to handle, but its also death at the polls.

Some of us have become so wrapped up in trying to prove the Stimulus is a fiscal disaster with no employment recompense (and here Fox is right, its too early to fairly evaluate the Stimulus) that we've forgotten that our point is that Obama should do less. And yet how can he do less and not be punished during mid-terms?

Actually, I don't think Obama should do less. I think he should just raise unemployment benefits, food stamps, bail out the state gov'ts, which Congress has done, and otherwise ignore the economic crisis. Instead of focusing on that, he should push his main agendas: health care reform, cap and trade (a deficit positive version), and financial regulation. He can focus aggressively on these, suffer mid-term defeats, blame GOP obstructionism for unemployment beyond 2010 as he runs for re-election, and win.

But what's happening instead? This economic crisis is sapping his advantage, and those of us who supported him for his reform are aghast to see him prop up the old system. But what can he do? The people believe the President can prop up the private sector. The President doesn't (perhaps lately I should say: shouldn't!) control the Fed Reserve Board, which does have a direct influence on the economy. He just takes the fall for Bernanke's failures.

I actually have a lot of sympathy for Obama in this matter. He can't handle this economic crisis, so he's been listening to the experts and putting a brave face on things politically. What else should he be expected to do? The bail-outs started out under Bush, and the Stimulus would've happened even if McCain won (someone who knows even less about economics than Obama).

Excoriate Obama for when he inexplicably tacks against public opinion on matters the President has great influence over: foreign policy (surging in Afghanistan), military policy (gays in the military), detention policy (torture at Bagram).
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