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US Treauries may lose AAA rating

 
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bacasper



Joined: 26 Mar 2007

PostPosted: Fri Jul 09, 2010 2:30 am    Post subject: US Treauries may lose AAA rating Reply with quote

I said, 'Oops, upside ya head
I said, 'Oops, upside ya head
It's like a jungle sometimes
It makes me wonda how I keep from goin' unda
Don't push me 'cause I'm close to the edge
I'm tryin' not to lose my head
It's like a jungle sometimes
It makes me wonda how I keep from goin' unda
I said, 'Oops, upside ya head
I said, 'Oops, upside ya head


Treasuries to Lose AAA Rating?

The worldwide sovereign debt crisis may be about to take a turn for the worse if recent bond sales are any indication. Some corporate bonds have begun to yield less than U.S. treasuries, in effect suggesting that the corporate bonds are the safer bet. As reported by Bloomberg and NPR, Berkshire Hathaway 2-year notes are yielding 3.5 basis points less than similar maturity treasuries.

Quote:
�It�s a slap upside the head of the government,� said Mitchell Stapley, the chief fixed-income officer in Grand Rapids, Michigan, at Fifth Third Asset Management, which oversees $22 billion. �It could be the moment where hopefully you realize that risk is beginning to creep into your credit profile and the costs associated with that can be pretty scary.�


It's not just corporate bonds that are beating treasuries, either. The U.S. now has to pony up an additional 60 basis points in yield to convince investors to choose U.S. treasuries over German bonds. Germany and Canada are the only G7 countries whose debt will not equal or exceed GDP by 2014.

Obama's proposed budget is creating a nightmare scenario for U.S. debt. Debt service is taking up 7% of the taxes collected today. Imagine the impact that losing our AAA rating would have on the amount required just to pay the interest on the national debt.

When private companies can borrow money on better terms than a global superpower, it's time for our country to get a check-up from the neck up.
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AsiaESLbound



Joined: 07 Jan 2010
Location: Truck Stop Missouri

PostPosted: Fri Jul 09, 2010 3:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Asian countries lend money for US to support them by importing their goods. It's international trade agreements the US government sponsors to support our outsourcing employers interests. This system works, because it supports both Asian economies to develop while benefiting America's elite. After all, the US government serves the interests of America's wealthy to get wealthier; not to protect the average American's interests. They don't care if the US government is borrowing on worse terms than companies, because it's not a person nor a company. It also didn't seem to matter that the US government over pays for it's debt, services, and supplies like it would if it were a company or individual. It gets used and abused. Each billion dollars of debt is another nail in the coffin.
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Trevor



Joined: 16 Nov 2005

PostPosted: Sun Jul 11, 2010 6:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
They don't care if the US government is borrowing on worse terms than companies, because it's not a person nor a company.


If the U.S loses its AAA status on debt, it will be a disaster for everybody, including the ultra-rich.
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Jeonmunka



Joined: 05 Oct 2009

PostPosted: Wed Jul 14, 2010 7:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

So, how do corporations borrow? Usually they beat treasury returns so get easy money, what about now?
They got less money to play with = good in a way they won't blow it like in the last decade.

Is there really less risk because the yield is lower?
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blomkvist



Joined: 14 Jul 2010

PostPosted: Thu Jul 15, 2010 6:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

They should have ALREADY lost the AAA rating... their bond rating should be CCC. Yeah, they'll probably pay you back, but with a significantly decreased purchasing powered dollar.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Thu Jul 15, 2010 6:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The US will not be downgraded for the simple reason that the ratings agencies are a US government created oligopoly. They are a private arm of the government. No matter what the spread between corporate and US bonds are, the US will be AAA.

The US can borrow for extremely cheap now. Investors trust the USD more than virtually all other assets. Precious metals markets are manipulated to create both instability and depressed prices. There is also the threat that gold and silver will be either taxed to all hell or just outright confiscated (again). Precious metals are the natural enemy of the fiat reserve currency and will eventually return to primacy is the global monetary system. The low rates today do not mean the government should borrow, just that it can.

For the USD to be stripped of reserve status there will have to be a period of global macro economic stability. This will happen. That is when the US debt will become more difficult to accumulate and service. For the US, catastrophe will happen when the world is stable.

The other possibility is that a major commodity state (Russia) could demand payment in gold and collapse the greenback in a few hours. This is not as far fetched as it seems. If Russia were to index their currency to a precious metal, huge amounts of capital would move to that currency. Russia would become an economic superpower overnight.

This is all fun to watch. When it unravels, it won't be much fun to experience.
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