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When will this recession/depression end?
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recessiontime



Joined: 21 Jun 2010
Location: Got avatar privileges nyahahaha

PostPosted: Fri Sep 10, 2010 8:38 am    Post subject: When will this recession/depression end? Reply with quote

I think we've been in hard times since....2008 maybe 2007. When will things go back to pre 2000 levels?

Or have we crossed some line of no return where the next decade or two is riddled with economic misery?
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BaldTeacher



Joined: 02 Feb 2010

PostPosted: Fri Sep 10, 2010 9:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
When will things go back to pre 2000 levels?


Never. Actually, things will get worse.
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Radius



Joined: 20 Dec 2009

PostPosted: Fri Sep 10, 2010 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

BaldTeacher wrote:
Quote:
When will things go back to pre 2000 levels?



Never. Actually, things will get worse.

Majja
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AsiaESLbound



Joined: 07 Jan 2010
Location: Truck Stop Missouri

PostPosted: Fri Sep 10, 2010 7:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hard to say. It was supposed to end in 2008, but only got worse. The thing that's strikingly odd is the CEO's who fired the most employees made the most money and the stock market is doing just fine. It's over 10,000 points most of the time and big day trader investors such as banks and executives make big money off of the regular daily ups and downs.

However, in reality, the job market only gets worse. If you asked someone in the money when this depression is going to end, they'd laugh in your face and go, "what are you talking about? Life's good. Everything's fine, just go get." If you asked the other 98%, they'd basically say, "Who knows?"

When you chat with rich people, who are your relatives, friends, and people you meet out in the world in tourist places, planes, and trains, they usually don't feel there's any problem with the system and job market, but all of us not in the money searching for a way to pull off a great career know there are huge problems brewing. As for when opportunities are going to pop, you have to make it happen through self employment or you inherit money or career opportunity via nepotism. I.e. Your dad is a bank president who knows all the guys in the money so he gets you on to broker loans. With all the nepotism, it doesn't require high qualification to get the good career opportunities, it only takes an easy psychology degree and a relative referring you. Despite the many silver spoons dictating who is, "have," the well heeled feel if you are a, "have not," then you haven't pulled your weight in making it happen. I disagree as you can do all the right things, but opportunity is tough to get in such a tight market if no one feels a need to bring you on since you are not the nephew or son of the business president. It's not a lack of resources and money, it's the banks and executives are keeping the purse strings pulled tight so there's very little investment and job creation in Western countries. If you know some history, it's always been a tight, but nepotistic job market. There's no magic bullet.

The depression only ends when you are in the money. While the job market is tight as 1930's on steroids, the only way out of a depression is your individual success via self employment or inheritance if not in a highly specialized skilled trade and even a skilled trade warrants taking the self employment route vs. searching for these jobs that pay low and play hard to get.
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Gatsby



Joined: 09 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 12:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Not until people stop voting for Republicans.

A vote for a Republican is a vote for the Great Depression II.

The Republicans brought us the first Great Depression. And even after electing FDR, the Republicans used tactics of obstructionism and scurrilous character assassination that greatly prolonged the Depression -- the same tactics they are using today.

Read your history.

And repeat after me:

"I will never, ever vote for another Republican so long as I live."
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koreabust



Joined: 27 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 4:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

the rich will keep getting rich. until there is a revolution like in the past things will never change. In the past people fought, bled, died for freedom and equality. these days the powers, governments have set it up to prevent protests or rebellion. they use the military to end it quick. and if a rebellion were to take place, the international governments would step in to squash in to prevent any other nation peoples to have a similar idea.
we are being repressed economically . sure its not as bad as 200 years ago
but still we are surfs to people in power,
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sallymonster



Joined: 06 Feb 2010
Location: Seattle area

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 4:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gatsby wrote:
Not until people stop voting for Republicans.

A vote for a Republican is a vote for the Great Depression II.

The Republicans brought us the first Great Depression. And even after electing FDR, the Republicans used tactics of obstructionism and scurrilous character assassination that greatly prolonged the Depression -- the same tactics they are using today.

Read your history.

And repeat after me:

"I will never, ever vote for another Republican so long as I live."


It doesn't matter who you vote for, politicians of both parties are bought and paid for by the special interests. The special interests fund the campaigns and own the media that brainwashes us. I can't even vote right now because the state of Washington thinks I'm homeless and the state of Oregon knows I don't live there anymore and won't send me ballots, but when I can vote again I just might start to "write in" my own candidates.
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sallymonster



Joined: 06 Feb 2010
Location: Seattle area

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 5:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

AsiaESLbound wrote:
Hard to say. It was supposed to end in 2008, but only got worse. The thing that's strikingly odd is the CEO's who fired the most employees made the most money and the stock market is doing just fine. It's over 10,000 points most of the time and big day trader investors such as banks and executives make big money off of the regular daily ups and downs.

However, in reality, the job market only gets worse. If you asked someone in the money when this depression is going to end, they'd laugh in your face and go, "what are you talking about? Life's good. Everything's fine, just go get." If you asked the other 98%, they'd basically say, "Who knows?"

When you chat with rich people, who are your relatives, friends, and people you meet out in the world in tourist places, planes, and trains, they usually don't feel there's any problem with the system and job market, but all of us not in the money searching for a way to pull off a great career know there are huge problems brewing. As for when opportunities are going to pop, you have to make it happen through self employment or you inherit money or career opportunity via nepotism. I.e. Your dad is a bank president who knows all the guys in the money so he gets you on to broker loans. With all the nepotism, it doesn't require high qualification to get the good career opportunities, it only takes an easy psychology degree and a relative referring you. Despite the many silver spoons dictating who is, "have," the well heeled feel if you are a, "have not," then you haven't pulled your weight in making it happen. I disagree as you can do all the right things, but opportunity is tough to get in such a tight market if no one feels a need to bring you on since you are not the nephew or son of the business president. It's not a lack of resources and money, it's the banks and executives are keeping the purse strings pulled tight so there's very little investment and job creation in Western countries. If you know some history, it's always been a tight, but nepotistic job market. There's no magic bullet.

The depression only ends when you are in the money. While the job market is tight as 1930's on steroids, the only way out of a depression is your individual success via self employment or inheritance if not in a highly specialized skilled trade and even a skilled trade warrants taking the self employment route vs. searching for these jobs that pay low and play hard to get.


I can't stand nepotism either, it's how I got laid off from my last job. Granted, it was a crappy job and I needed to get out of there, but it still sucks to be let go in favor of your boss's lazy, whiny teenage granddaughter.

Then if you don't have any powerful relatives/connections you're supposed to work for free just to get your foot in the door, what they call "internships". What BS. When it comes to for-profit businesses, people should get paid for the work they do, even if it is only the minimum wage. The real kicker is when they insist that you don't have any other jobs during your internship. Believe it or not, some of us don't have trust funds and parents' money to live off of while we're working for free, we have to buy food and pay rent ourselves! The other kicker is that some colleges (like mine) don't give school credit for internships. And there's no guarantee you'll get hired at the end, either.

I wish people would just say, "no" to "unpaid internships" with for-profit companies and let them know that this treatment is unacceptable. Here's an idea, instead of donating your valuable time to some CEO, do something that actually helps people. Volunteer at a non-profit charity and get your experience by helping the poor, the sick, the elderly, etc. What a concept!
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rogue123



Joined: 23 Aug 2009

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 6:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

In absence of some revolutionary technology spurring a ton of investment, and so job creation and effective demand, it seems hard to envision the U.S. pulling out of its current stagnation anytime soon.
Allan Greenspan once wrote an article entitled "The Great Malaise" (1980) which is remarkably prescient in a number of respects. He argues that a return to the Great Depression is unlikely given legislative changes (such as deposit insurance to prevent a run on banks), and also the ability of the Federal Reserve to "flood the markets with paper-claims", but that five major imbalances--if they continue--could threaten the U.S. and global economy: These were (1) real estate speculation, (2) the related ballooning of mortgage and consumer debt in relation to household incomes, (3) the sinking deeper and deeper into debt of non-oil-producing third-world countries, (4) the increasing vulnerability of the complex and little-understood Eurocurrency system, and (5) the so-called dollar-overhang problem-in Greenspan's words, "the evident excess of dollar-denominated
assets in government and private portfolios throughout the
world." (quoted in "The Great Malaise," Monthly Review, 1988)
Here is his conclusion:
"Thus in today's political and institutional environment, a replay
of the Great Depression is the Great Malaise. It would not be a period
of falling prices and double-digit unemployment, but rather an
economy racked with inflation, excessive unemployment (8 to 9
percent), falling productivity, and little hope for a more benevolent
future." (Monthly Review, Ibid.)
I will note this is the same man who presided over the largest asset bubble in the history of the world, spurring it further with easy money policies. All the more remarkable because he seemed well aware of the imbalances likely to precipitate the current economic mire. Though, the experience of stagflation of the 1970s along with his fervent belief in monetarism seems to have led to a mistaken preoccupation with inflation--a bogey yet to show itself this time around, and unlikely given the amount of excess capacity, decline in housing values, and rampant consumer deleveraging, all pointing toward a lack of profitable investment opportunities and declining consumer spending. A process that would seem to extend the Great Malaise well into 2011 and most likely beyond--given that the political climate in DC is calling for austerity measures that will only add the prevailing head-winds.
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BaldTeacher



Joined: 02 Feb 2010

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 6:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

What many people fail to talk about is the fact that oil production is at a plateau. When it starts to drop (and it will), it will be a real kick in the balls.
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Gatsby



Joined: 09 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 10:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sallymonster wrote:
Quote:

It doesn't matter who you vote for, politicians of both parties are bought and paid for by the special interests. The special interests fund the campaigns and own the media that brainwashes us.


I don't want to judge you personally because I don't know you. But people who talk like that remind me of little crybabies who walk off the playground because he or she doesn't like the rules.

Only now you are an adult and you can't walk off because the game is real life and the stakes are your future and the future of the world.

I remember the 2000 presidential election and hearing people repeating this same BS, with some of them saying they wouldn't vote or they would vote for Ralph Nader as a protest. And who did we get? You want to tell me the world wouldn't be a much different place if Al Gore had been elected? Think about the things that would have been different today. Do you want me to spell it out? For one thing, Americans wouldn't have to go grovelling to Korea for jobs.

The special interests can give a zillion dollars to candidates but not one of them will get elected if people don't vote for them. You know why? Because you live in a democracy, and you elect your representatives.

But you can do more than that. How many times have you donated money to a candidate? How many times have you volunteered on a candidate's campaign? How many times have you written to your representative or attended a council meeting and voiced your opinion? How many times have you written a letter to your newspaper?

Anyone can do that. I have. Many, many times. I have also served on the staff of some politicians after they have been elected.

Here's the truth: Some politicians are crooked, some are stupid, some are crooked and stupid. But some are honest and intelligent and caring at the same time. Sometimes the honest politician wins, and sometimes he loses. If you sit on the sidelines and do nothing but whine, whine, whine, when the good guy loses please have the decency to shut your mouth.
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RMNC



Joined: 21 Jul 2010

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 10:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's a great reason to jump ship on America. I'm not a big "sky is falling" type of guy, but America is truly unsustainable. I expect to see some real problems for America in the next 10-15 years. Korea has a solid infrastructure that America doesn't.
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Gatsby



Joined: 09 Feb 2007

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 10:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

One more thing, Sallymonster, regarding:

Quote:
The special interests fund the campaigns and own the media that brainwashes us.



"Own the media that brainwashes us"?


Do you really believe that?

If so, I feel sad for you. If not, you should not be feeding the paranoid psychos who want to take over America.

Yes, there are special interests who own some of the media. This is called "freedom of the press." Anyone who wants to buy or start a newspaper can. It's a little different with television, and one network would fit your description, but to say that ALL the media is owned by special interests is preposterous. And it is brainwashing us? No one has to watch, say, Fox News; they do so because they already agree with it. If I were to watch it, I hardly think I would be brainwashed.

I take comments like this personally. I was part of this media you see as one big conspiracy. I was a journalist for many years. I was not owned by special interests and I was not part of any attempt to brainwash you or anyone. I did not get rich, but I loved the job and tried to make the world a better place.

Have you ever put your quarter in the slot and bought and read an actual newspaper in your life? There are rules of journalistic ethics and objectivity that any decent newspaper in the U.S. follows. A news article contains facts, not opinions. It's job is to provide you with information about different sides in a story so you can form your own opinion.

Have you ever watched PBS? Bill Moyers? The News Hour? How about the CBC or BBC? Heck, even Al Jazeera provides objective, factual news, from what I have seen of the English language television service. It is probably better journalism than some network and local television news in America. But that is because the latter can be superficial and glossy.

You want to know why I am not a journalist any more, and why so many newspapers are atrophying and folding? Because so many people have stopped putting that quarter in the slot. It's a sad day for America.

But it is not the end of the world. There is now something called the Internet. The Internet is not owned by "special interests," and with all the different viewpoints on the Web, if it brainwashes you, you have no one to blame but yourself.


Last edited by Gatsby on Sat Sep 11, 2010 11:01 am; edited 1 time in total
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recessiontime



Joined: 21 Jun 2010
Location: Got avatar privileges nyahahaha

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 10:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gatsby, in places like Canada the media is actually owned by a handful of companies.

Secondly, while the media does report facts it does put it's own bias behind it. What's worse is that they selectively choose what airs and what does not and special interests are a big part of this. This is the reason, wikileaks is breaking a lot of the big stories while CNN is covering inane happenings.
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caniff



Joined: 03 Feb 2004
Location: All over the map

PostPosted: Sat Sep 11, 2010 11:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gatsby wrote:
Because so many people have stopped putting that quarter in the slot. It's a sad day for America.


I don't know where you're from, but in Boston you ain't buying no newspaper for a quarter.
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