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The Great China Hype Thread
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On the other hand



Joined: 19 Apr 2003
Location: I walk along the avenue

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 9:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Not that it makes for really trenchant commentary, but this Sinophobic rant on the anti-immigration VDARE site is good for a chuckle.

It's basically a litany of unflattering anecdotes the guy has heard about China, unsupported by any statistics. He calls himself "An American", and says he spent six months in Taiwan and is married to a Chinese woman. I'm getting strong "midnight run" vibes here.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 10:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

On the other hand wrote:

It's basically a litany of unflattering anecdotes the guy has heard about China, unsupported by any statistics.


Sadly, a lot of it rings true. The moral code is very weak in modern post-Tiananmen China. The Chinese in America probably don't pay taxes here because they don't pay taxes in their homeland. I got admonished once by Chinese for expressing the intent to pay my taxes, in China. And yes, making money is the 'gold standard' of success in China. There's a cultural inclination of paranoia and miserliness that exults in accumulating money and property for its own sake.

Honest Chinese will admit to all of this. What do you think Hu Jintao's Harmonious Society is all about?

Quote:
A harmonious society should also see great improvements in morals and education. The strategy of invigorating the nation by education should be followed and elementary education and higher education universalized. Various academic theories should flourish. China has attached much importance to education, particularly compulsory education. The central government has planned fee exemptions and subsidies for students in 592 poor counties included in the national poverty-relief programme by 2007. Some experts want to extend the policy to poor families both in urban and rural areas.


And don't be confused by the focus on education. This is the Chinese solution. Everytime I would complain about queueing failures and the crude behavior of service staff, Chinese would nod and say, "We need to improve our education."
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 2:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes the Chinese do focus on education it is one of the good points of their culture. Everyone wants to be a cultured "gentle person". The greed comes from that for dozens of centuries only the upper class had money the vast majority lived in extreme poverty. The recent Lunar New Year i talked to some Chinese who told me that the reason that "Spring Festival" was so exciting to them that they could remember that was the one time of the year they could have meat. these people were in their thirties. Unfortunately the greed and the rush to achieve material success means that any morals go out the window. Also the rush has meant that the economy is imbalanced and has a lot of flaws. Basically milk the poor for cheap labor and steal their land. This system can not last long. There is little long range thinking. Also cooperation is poor, because everyone know that the next guy is out to screw you to get ahead. It makes it difficult to get anything done. This is not an anti Chinese rant. I see the Chinese as good decent hardworking people who have been molded by various criminal regimes including the current gang of thugs
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 2:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rollo wrote:
I see the Chinese as good decent hardworking people who have been molded by various criminal regimes including the current gang of thugs


Sure, sure. I would be embarrassed by any of the conclusions of the article OTOH posted. But I have thought to myself, at various times, every one of his same complaints.

We cannot separate the moral failings of the Chinese people from the proclivities of their ruling regime. I've talked to old ex-pats there, and they say Chinese were quite polite and moral enough during the 1980s. Something has happened. My current working theory is Tiananmen taught everyone to focus on the bottom line and stay out of politics. The young generation is so high on China hype, they can't think straight. Then there's that pocket generation, those born in the 70s, who know what they've lost and what they've gained, and IMHO they're the key to China's future success.
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Nowhere Man



Joined: 08 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 3:47 pm    Post subject: ... Reply with quote

On one hand, you've got some random internet dude comparing a population 4-5 times larger than the US to his wife and some woman athlete.

Then, you've got people saying it's true based on old expats.



My wife and Kerri Strug love true American values.

And then I talked to an old Chinese guy who said Americans used to be much more polite.


Jiminy Christmas.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:03 pm    Post subject: Re: ... Reply with quote

Nowhere Man wrote:
On one hand, you've got some random internet dude comparing a population 4-5 times larger than the US to his wife and some woman athlete.

Then, you've got people saying it's true based on old expats.

My wife and Kerri Strug love true American values.

And then I talked to an old Chinese guy who said Americans used to be much more polite.


Jiminy Christmas.


What is your experience with Chinese people, Nowhere Man? If you have some personal anecdotes or even statistics on this matter, they are welcome. I think OTOH has already pointed out that "the American's" claims are based almost entirely upon his personal perception. If cultural studies were accessible by statistics, I think this conversation would have proceeded much differently. But as a friend of mine in academia once remarked about cultural theory, "it embraces tension, ambiguity, and flux. Political scientists can't stand it."

So, I think your frustration is common. We've got no real evidence and neither do you.
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Nowhere Man



Joined: 08 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:51 pm    Post subject: ... Reply with quote

I've done Taiwan and China.

Some random guy in Taiwan going off about China is laughable.

The whole whacko site that bothered to post his post is even more laughable.

I see my role on your China hype thread as by and large the most reasonable. It's populated by people wanting to see China go down. Not that I'm enamored of China, but most of this Hype thread neglects the difference between China and the Western world.

The specific post above by OTOH reads like a long history of co-workers I had at the bottom end of this industry.

The greatest revelation I've ever had about teaching abroad was that it was my job by which I judged/defined whole countries.

It's not about being a China fanboy. It's about practically knowing how adversity is going to be shrugged off by the buzz-saw of economic potential. Yeah, I understand housing bubbles, but the near-religious assignment to "what's going to happen" just because that's the case in an already spent market (and by this I mean gutted, there's no one left to open it to).

Do you, Kuros, understand how Chinese landlords operate?

They build it, reap rent, then knock it down and build it again.

That's a vastly different attitude from the West.

Your whole housing bubble is about to affect a group of people who will knock the whole building down for peanuts and rebuild it for peanuts.

That's what's going to happen. The wrecking ball it would mean in the west is a hiccup for China.
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 4:59 pm    Post subject: Re: ... Reply with quote

Nowhere Man wrote:

Do you, Kuros, understand how Chinese landlords operate?

They build it, reap rent, then knock it down and build it again.

That's a vastly different attitude from the West.

Your whole housing bubble is about to affect a group of people who will knock the whole building down for peanuts and rebuild it for peanuts.

That's what's going to happen. The wrecking ball it would mean in the west is a hiccup for China.


I hope you're right. I want to make myself clear: I am rooting for Chinese economic development. A soft-landing there really would please me. I agree that the pop of the Chinese bubble will be less damaging than what's happened in the West, although I wouldn't state it for the reasons you have. The Chinese people would welcome the pop of the bubble, most cannot afford 1st tier city housing and are relegated to the '98 government housing hand-outs. Those who can afford such housing paid mostly from savings or in cash. Mortgages there are much more rare than here in the States. Just remember that local and provincial governments have deep, deep stakes in real estate development and are very exposed, both in terms of indirect investment and tax revenue.

The 70-year cycle for buildings is partly dictated by Chinese land-use laws, though. Since the state owns all the land, it releases it for land-use in title certificates that expire after 70 years.
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Nowhere Man



Joined: 08 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 5:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
I hope you're right. I want to make myself clear: I am rooting for Chinese economic development.


I don't think I'm rooting for it so much as watching it happen.

I'd just delete the hype.

There was a brief flirtation with the Strauss-notion that we should behave as an empire. Maybe we already are but it's not ours.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 6:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/02/22/china_international

Chinese around the world.
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Nowhere Man



Joined: 08 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 6:33 pm    Post subject: ... Reply with quote

that's a nice way to weigh in without weighing in.
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Menino80



Joined: 10 Jun 2007
Location: Hodor?

PostPosted: Mon Feb 21, 2011 9:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

China gets a real bad rap in some of these 'soft power' excursions. They import Chinese workers to do the work and leave the locals out in the cold. The thing is, the imported Chinese workers are often of an analogous pay scale as the locals, plus no language barrier. And the money stays with the hanzu, more or less.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Tue Feb 22, 2011 2:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think people are so much rooting for China to go down they are rooting for changes in a system that rips off the Chinese worker.

Most people want the peasants who live on less than 400 dollars a year to have a better life it's just the way it is being done.

A Chinese friend said that the get it while you can greed comes from fears that , it could all go a way or the government could seize everything. I remember her saying that her father said to be careful a new purge come come and wipe them out.

the housing crash when it comes , may be a little softer than what was experienced in the West but it will create much more political waves. There is a lot of discontent, a boiling pot.
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mises



Joined: 05 Nov 2007
Location: retired

PostPosted: Tue Mar 29, 2011 6:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=rPILhiTJv7E
Quote:

China's Ghost Cities and Malls


^ Claims 64 million empty apartments in China.
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 11:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah they built a whole city that is basically empty. In any major city at night you will see massive complexes, and not a single light on.

China's bank regulatory agency just warned about the bubble and the dangers that are ahead. The banks are awash in bad paper and Beijing has warned about back door loans. No one knows what is out there off the books. In some areas the banks are just an ATM for the local bosses.
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