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Canadian housing crash looming
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TheUrbanMyth



Joined: 28 Jan 2003
Location: Retired

PostPosted: Tue Oct 18, 2011 8:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

And prices still continue to rise.


http://news.sympatico.cbc.ca/Home/ContentPosting?feedname=CBC-TOPSTOIRES-V3&showbyline=True&date=true&newsitemid=crea-housing-september


Vancouver is down a tad but not by much.
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brento1138



Joined: 17 Nov 2004

PostPosted: Wed Oct 19, 2011 1:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I really want it to crash, or at least sink a bit... for my own selfish reasons. If it crashes, will that lower my rent? Hope so...

Anyways, in Vancouver, the housing prices are ridiculous. I've seen 70's looking shacks selling for like 400,000+. Crazy...
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 4:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/story/2012/01/30/bmo-housing-real-estate.html


Quote:
Housing market bubble denied by BMO


"In our view, the national housing market is more like a balloon than a bubble," the bank said. "While bubbles always burst, a balloon often deflates slowly in the absence of a pin."
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Mon Jan 30, 2012 10:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Housing booms almost never deflate slowly, first a small decrease in price then panic, then off the cliff at least that is what happened in Japan and the U.S. but Vancouver is getting a lot of Chinese money pumped into it so it might have a little ways to go. These booms make a few wealthy and rot out the middle class who are forced to pay higher rents and can not get on the property ladder. There will be a correction! Now that the Chinese bubble is bursting Canada may be next. Good for middle and lower middle class.
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supernick



Joined: 24 Jan 2003
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue Jan 31, 2012 8:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Housing booms almost never deflate slowly, first a small decrease in price then panic, then off the cliff at least that is what happened in Japan and the U.S. but Vancouver is getting a lot of Chinese money pumped into it so it might have a little ways to go. These booms make a few wealthy and rot out the middle class who are forced to pay higher rents and can not get on the property ladder. There will be a correction! Now that the Chinese bubble is bursting Canada may be next. Good for middle and lower middle class.


Vancouver has always been very different from the rest of Canada's housing market. These days there are 2 peak cities, one is vancouver and the other is Toronto. Prices are inflated and there will be a hard crash during the adjustment phase. As for the rest of the country, most prices are reasonable, and thise cities won't have a crash like effect from the adjustment. Calgary and Edmonton might seen the bottom fall out if oil prices fall but it looks like we are in the era of high priced oil for the next decade or so.

It has been 2 years since the original poster posted the gloom and doom stories of the bubble bursting, and to this day it hasn't happened. People do know there are risks in certain places, but the sky is still up there.[/quote]
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2012 8:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A lot like Florida and California where prices were crazy and it would never end. while the middle of the country prices only increased moderately. Vancouver as I wrote before has seen a lot of Chinese money pumped into the housing market and more is coming. But it will end

Trying to time these things is a sure way to go broke. When housing is high, cash is king!! So start socking away the loot if you are Canadian your time will come. Crashes are bad but there is also a lot of money to be made and bargains to be gained in a falling market. Oil is also a tricky thing to chart.
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Thu Mar 15, 2012 7:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/story/2012/03/13/f-spring-housing-market-outlook.html
Canadian home prices cooling


http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2012/03/14/real-estate-overseas-investors.html
Offshore buyers pricing Canadians out of housing market
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12ax7



Joined: 07 Nov 2009

PostPosted: Thu Mar 15, 2012 10:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Captain Corea wrote:
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/story/2012/03/13/f-spring-housing-market-outlook.html
Canadian home prices cooling


http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2012/03/14/real-estate-overseas-investors.html
Offshore buyers pricing Canadians out of housing market



And that would be the real reason why three major banks slashed their 5 year mortgage rates this week.
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hack



Joined: 24 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat Mar 24, 2012 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

People keep talking about a decline but as long as the Chinese keep coming with their attitude that Vancouver is cheap, no way are prices going anywhere but up here. The rich Chinese immigrants have seriously skewed house prices here and the applications to move here keep piling up as Vancouver is now regarded by most Chinese as the most desirable place to live in the world. I do as well but I fear one day soon I am going to be a minority here.
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Captain Corea



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Thu Jun 21, 2012 6:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ottawa caps CMHC mortgages at 25 years
Quote:
The most important new change is that the maximum amortization period has been reduced to 25 years, down from 30. The longer a mortgage is spread out, the lower the monthly mortgage payments are � but the more the borrower ends up paying overall over time.


Plugging the holes?
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rollo



Joined: 10 May 2006
Location: China

PostPosted: Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This week Canadian government warned that the housing market was overheated . Lord know Vancouver is ridiculous the middle and lower middle are priced out of the market. A sharp correction would be a good thing.
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