|
Korean Job Discussion Forums
"The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
|
| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
bucheon bum
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
|
 Posted: Tue Sep 30, 2014 8:22 am Post subject: Hong Kong |
 |
|
History and my gut tells me this will not end well, but I admire the citizens of Hong Kong for protesting.
Beijing is doing an excellent job of showing how short-term planning and reacting will undermine oneself in the long run. Sure, the government will likely put this down and will continue to be in power for quite some time, but eventually its aggressive tactics will lead to its downfall. I really cannot see how its actions in Xinjiang will ultimately be sucessful.
In Hong Kong, Clean and Polite, but Protest Nevertheless |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Leon
Joined: 31 May 2010
|
| Posted: Tue Sep 30, 2014 1:37 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| I feel this is particularly stupid in terms of Taiwan, i.e. It only strengthens their argument for not having closer ties to the PRC. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
bucheon bum
Joined: 16 Jan 2003
|
| Posted: Wed Oct 01, 2014 5:24 am Post subject: |
|
|
Yes, that's another thing I forgot: the Taiwan factor.
That being said, maybe they're not so dumb after all:
Hong Kong Government's Strategy: Wait Them Out
Yes, I think that's a smart plan.
| Quote: |
| An adviser to the government also said that officials’ emerging view was that Mr. Leung should bide his time. “The consensus is to wait and patiently deal with the crisis — it is not easy, but we shall do our best to resolve it peacefully,” the adviser said. |
| Quote: |
The strategy carries risks, for both the local and the national governments, because it in effect cedes momentum to the protesters and allows them to drive events going forward. For China, continuing protests could inspire more dissent on the mainland, despite its censors’ attempts to block discussion of the events. Chinese Human Rights Defenders, an advocacy group, said Wednesday that China had already detained or intimidated dozens of people for perceived transgressions like expressing support for the protesters on social media.
For the Hong Kong government, the risk is that the city’s image as a stable financial center will be harmed and that the government’s intransigence, rather than the protesters’ actions, will be blamed for the short-term economic disruption. |
This is rather poor analysis.
1. I really doubt continued protests could inspire more dissent on the mainland. The PRC could just make it clear that Hong Kong citizens are a bunch of over entitled cry babies. I don't think it would be too hard to convince the majority of chinese that's what's going on.
2. Yes, true, but ultimately the Hong Kong government reports to Beijing, which doesn't care nearly as much about the city's image or the impact the ongoing protests will have. Overall stability is the #1 priority. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
EastisEast
Joined: 29 May 2014
Location: Canada
|
| Posted: Wed Oct 01, 2014 9:59 am Post subject: |
|
|
I predict it will spiral out of control and become a blaze that will ignite in different cities. The PRC will have to crack down...and that will be the end of them, in a blaze of civil strife.
The Beginning .... |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|
FAQ
Search
Memberlist
Usergroups
Register
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Log in
