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What percentage of South Koreans want US troops to leave?
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catman



Joined: 18 Jul 2004

PostPosted: Fri Dec 26, 2014 11:46 pm    Post subject: What percentage of South Koreans want US troops to leave? Reply with quote

I've read the claim several times that the majority of South Koreans want the US troops out. However, I have yet to see a source backing that up. I'm guessing most of these polls would only be published in the SK media and may never be translated.

The election results have not indicated such. Two straight conservative Presidents now. Even Present Roh didn't want the troops gone.
Thus, I am skeptical of the claim.
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jvalmer



Joined: 06 Jun 2003

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 6:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'd say the vast majority of the +60 crowd want US troops to stay. They've seen what the Norks can do, and it's savage, and would take the imperfect SK capitalist system over NK's any day of the week.

As for those under 40-ish, well most have been constantly taught be very liberal left-wing teachers that everything that happened in the past 60 years doesn't matter if they aren't happy. Do they want US troops go? Not sure if it's a majority, but I'd say a lot do.
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Stan Rogers



Joined: 20 Aug 2010

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 8:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

To be fair nobody wants a foreign army being in their country. It's viewed by most Koreans as a necessary evil based upon the circumstances given the circumstances.
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Leon



Joined: 31 May 2010

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 2:53 pm    Post subject: Re: What percentage of South Koreans want US troops to leave Reply with quote

catman wrote:
I've read the claim several times that the majority of South Koreans want the US troops out. However, I have yet to see a source backing that up. I'm guessing most of these polls would only be published in the SK media and may never be translated.

The election results have not indicated such. Two straight conservative Presidents now. Even Present Roh didn't want the troops gone.
Thus, I am skeptical of the claim.


http://en.asaninst.org/contents/asan-report-south-korean-attitudes-on-the-korea-us-alliance-and-northeast-asia/

Quote:
n a series of surveys conducted in March 2014, support for the Korea-US alliance remains near its all-time high—93.3 percent stated that the alliance was a necessity. However, the alliance is not only viewed as dealing with the threat of North Korea. Even when a hypothetical reunification was posited, 66.0 percent remained in favor of maintaining the alliance. This suggests that the Korean public has both broader perceptions of threats in the region as well as an expanded view of the scope of the alliance.
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Steelrails



Joined: 12 Mar 2009
Location: Earth, Solar System

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 3:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Any numbers you get on this will be wildly skewed based on what outlet is conducting the poll and whose agenda is being served by them.
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slothrop



Joined: 03 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 7:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

edit

Last edited by slothrop on Sun Jan 11, 2015 4:56 am; edited 1 time in total
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EZE



Joined: 05 May 2012

PostPosted: Sat Dec 27, 2014 11:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

When you hear Iraqis saying they want the American armed forces to leave Iraq, they mean it. When you hear Afghans saying they want the American armed forces to leave Afghanistan, they mean it. When you hear South Koreans saying they want the American armed forces to leave Korea, it's only their pride talking.
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young_clinton



Joined: 09 Sep 2009

PostPosted: Sun Dec 28, 2014 12:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

EZE wrote:
When you hear Iraqis saying they want the American armed forces to leave Iraq, they mean it. When you hear Afghans saying they want the American armed forces to leave Afghanistan, they mean it. When you hear South Koreans saying they want the American armed forces to leave Korea, it's only their pride talking.


Gone hopefully to never come back. Let the mean ungrates deal with ISIS and all the other things in that region. Why should it be a Western problem? Already Mosul, under the benefit of ISIS and their benevolent Islamic rule, doesn't have chlorinated water and hepatitis is on the rise. Rolling Eyes who cares?

As for Korea. The US could leave. I don't think North Korea could defeat the South, but I think there would be a war that could blow up internationally. Better for the Americans to stay.
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catman



Joined: 18 Jul 2004

PostPosted: Sun Dec 28, 2014 1:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Steelrails wrote:
Any numbers you get on this will be wildly skewed based on what outlet is conducting the poll and whose agenda is being served by them.


Yeah, I figured as much.

Still if one looks at the election results alone it seems to be an emphatic no.
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Leon



Joined: 31 May 2010

PostPosted: Sun Dec 28, 2014 3:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

catman wrote:
Steelrails wrote:
Any numbers you get on this will be wildly skewed based on what outlet is conducting the poll and whose agenda is being served by them.


Yeah, I figured as much.

Still if one looks at the election results alone it seems to be an emphatic no.


No, not really. Not any more than polls conducted by U.S. polling companies. The Asan poll I posted above is considered reliable and has shown variation over time. Plus the methodology is sound, i.e. random sampling conducted by a professional third party.
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rkc76sf



Joined: 02 Nov 2008

PostPosted: Sun Dec 28, 2014 4:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Look back at 2002, the series of events that led to Roh being elected to president.

First, Korea finished 4th in the World Cup (won't go down that rabbit hole) and Korean pride was sky high.

Another significant event happened during the World Cup that was put on the backburner until later- the schoolgirls being run over by a military vehicle (bridge layer).

After the world cup, Korea was skyhigh with nationalist fever. The left used this as an opportunity to make the accident a political issue. Koreans saw what happened, through the biased media, and rallied against U.S. forces. President Roh used this anti-American wave to be elected to office, succeeding yet another left winger, Kim DJ.

I was here in 2003-2004 and I remember Donald Rumsfeld calling Korea's bluff and threatening to withdraw all troops (one Brigade would be called to deploy to Iraq in May). After this, Koreans cooled their heels and thought better about U.S. forces leaving.

It's not the first time Korea has had blazing Anti-Americanism, look at Kwangju in 1980, look at Jimmy Carter's threat to pull all US forces from Korea in the late '70's. Every time Korea says they don't want us here and we threaten to leave, they change their tune. They don't want us here, small reason why, but they need us here and that's a big difference.
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Smithington



Joined: 14 Dec 2011

PostPosted: Sun Dec 28, 2014 10:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

U.S. forces should have been out of here yesterday.
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CentralCali



Joined: 17 May 2007

PostPosted: Mon Dec 29, 2014 2:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Smithington wrote:
U.S. forces should have been out of here yesterday.


Why? When responding, please don't forget to mention treaty obligations.
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Steelrails



Joined: 12 Mar 2009
Location: Earth, Solar System

PostPosted: Mon Dec 29, 2014 2:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:

It's not the first time Korea has had blazing Anti-Americanism, look at Kwangju in 1980


Yeah, can't imagine why they'd feel that way considering the military dictatorship that was in charge of the country, and was supported by the US, was going around and arbitrarily arresting people, suppressing protest and free speech, and shooting civilians.

But the US sure showed them by not lifting a finger as the troops moved in to Gwangju and silenced those democratic protestors.

Quote:
but they need us here and that's a big difference.


It's a lot more complex here. For one thing, "need" is a bit much. The Norks or Chinese aren't going to come storming over the border the second the last US soldier leaves. What the US presence here does allow is for saving money on the defense budget and getting technology transfers and training with the best military on the planet.

Similarly the US does not want to see a nuclear arms race in NE Asia, which if it left Japan and Korea, would instantly result as the two countries would race towards nuclear weapons at a breakneck pace. The Mutual defense treaty and token US presence means all of that is unnecessary.

Lastly, the US maintains a presence here so that in the event of rapid regime collapse in North Korea, they are able to go in and secure any WMDs and provide logistical support for ROK forces to race up the peninsula to secure as many areas as possible so they don't go under Chinese administration. That wouldn't result in a shooting war, but the less of Korea that is under China's sphere of influence, the better for the US. No, its not as firm and dramatic as the days of yore, but it still matters.

There's mutual "necessity" here. Nothing is truly needed, but its a whole lot easier and more efficient this way.
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Jake_Kim



Joined: 27 Aug 2005
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Mon Dec 29, 2014 3:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's actually not a problem of the ratio between pro- and anti-U.S., you can't draw a clear line between two camps among Korean population.
There's this superficial nationalistic reason Koreans would say they don't want American troops on Korean soil. It hurts Koreans' collective ego that a sovereign nation has to have a major presence of foreign military, especially when the alliance is more of dependence than of an equal footing like, say, USAF presence in England.
On the other hand, Koreans are pragmatic enough to accept that it is beneficial to Korea to be able to 'tap into' American reinforcements' firepower in case of emergency, by keeping one American foot on the peninsula. This is of course the well-known concept of 'trip-wire'. Otherwise, more investments in the military have to be made, government coffers would bleed. That's where the U.S. complains about Korea's 'free-ride' on defense.
One persistent incarnation of this issue is the zig-zag over the wartime operational command of the combined forces. On the other hand, there's an inside joke among the Koreans - most of whom served as conscripts in the Korean military one way or another - that their distrust in the officer corps and senior NCOs in the Korean military is so widespread from their experience that it's better to let the U.S. take command than to go into a war alone under Korea's own chain of command.
Nevertheless, you shouldn't expect to hear such a self-deprecating perspective in your casual discussion with any Korean, since there's that Korean ego being at stake.
In summary, Koreans haven't figured their **** out yet, either on the alliance or on the contingency plan with the NK regime or on the bigger picture of regional balance of power. They understand the status quo, they're comfortable within it at the small expense of pride, so they'll keep tiptoeing with this dilemma until a big external change or shock takes place.
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