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this whole "Reunification of Korea" argument
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bignate



Joined: 30 Apr 2003
Location: Hell's Ditch

PostPosted: Fri May 09, 2003 10:57 am    Post subject: IMF Again? Reply with quote

I am sure that the Korean People will welcome the IMF and the World Bank with open arms, since they did such a great job in their bailout scheme in 1997 Shocked .

http://www.kimsoft.com/1997/sk-imfc.htm
http://lists.essential.org/pipermail/stop-imf/2000q4/000301.html
http://www.jubileesouth.org/news/EpFZVAlAylmcvijFqt.shtml
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 09, 2003 11:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:

The Cold War was a strongly ideological struggle from the American government's point of view. It is naive to criticize the US for supporting authoritarian regimes in the Third World because (as the US gov't saw it), the main enemy seemed to be advancing everywhere. [I remember a political discussion in the mid-70's where someone said, "The tide of history is against us."] Any ally in the struggle was valuable. If you remember, the US did not oppose Castro's rise until after he was in power and became a communist. Someone once complained that all of America's allies in the Third World were self-appointed generals who wore funny hats. It was an accurate observation.

However, what no one seems to notice is that as soon as it was clear that the Communists (in China and the Soviet Union) were changing, all the authoritarian governments in South America and Africa changed. Democracy swept the Third World.


Oh PLEASE... give me a break. Authoritarian gov'ts in Africa changed? Yeah, that Robert Mugabe is one hell of a supporter of democracy. Democracy didn't reach Nigeria until 1999, and it still is shakey. Uganda's president finally allowed there to be more than one political party this winter.What other African countries have democracy? South Africa, but even during the Cold War it was given the cold shoulder by everyone (excluding Israel), especially in the 1980s. Its reformation was unrelated to the Cold War.

As for Latin America, you're right to a certain degree, especially if one looks at Central America. One could argue that the reason Chile changed was it was just a natural step of development. Most countries that have strong economic growth for a long period of time also have some kind of political reformation eventually. As for Argentina, its last junta was so idiotic (attacking the Falklands: brilliant) that it cut its own head off. In other words, it could be a coincidence of timing with some South American countries. Peru and Venezula also regressed back to semi-dictatorships after the fall of the USSR.

You're also totally ignoring the Middle East and North Africa: no major political reforms have taken place in recent times. So I wouldn't say democracy "swept" across the 3rd World.

Finally, Castro didn't "become" a communist after the Revolution; he merely was discreet about it. It's a lot easier to get the support of the people in the name of independence/freedom than it is in the name of socialism. Some argue that we pushed Castro into the Soviet camp but I think that's a bit naive. One just has to look at Che Guevra and Raul Castro to see what Fidel had in mind.

As for paying for unification, I think China will have to contribute. It knows that if North Korea just collapses and nothing bails it out, China has a major refugee/illegal immigrant problem on its northeastern border. That is a big reason it already is giving North Korea oil and other aid. As for the IMF and World Bank, uh well, like bignate said, the ROK wasn't exactly thrilled with them last time.
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stalinsdad



Joined: 25 Jan 2003
Location: Jeonju

PostPosted: Fri May 09, 2003 6:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I talked about this in class and really they have little or no idea of the upheaval it will cause. Sickboy is right in assuming that the cost of reunification is a massive one. Then there are the political problems, if we look at the unification of Scotland with England, which was forced initialy, it's clear that force is the quickest way for unification, however with the north having nuclear missiles that's out of the question. The only real way of unification is for America, Japan and South Korea to build up the North's economic structures and so making it more viable to reunify Sad , it seems a catch 22 position.
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Gord



Joined: 25 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 09, 2003 7:14 pm    Post subject: Re: IMF Again? Reply with quote

bignate wrote:
I am sure that the Korean People will welcome the IMF and the World Bank with open arms, since they did such a great job in their bailout scheme in 1997 Shocked .


The IMF bailout and forced law changes were the reason Korean went on a five year growth rate that outpaced every country in the world except China, and China's claims of growth are somewhat suspect (they would be the first country in history to ever have riots over food and jobs during a time of nearly 10% annual growth).

The IMF was the solution, not the problem.
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bucheon bum



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat May 10, 2003 3:54 pm    Post subject: Re: IMF Again? Reply with quote

Gord wrote:


The IMF was the solution, not the problem.


Yeah, but tell the Koreans that.
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VanIslander



Joined: 18 Aug 2003
Location: Geoje, Hadong, Tongyeong,... now in a small coastal island town outside Gyeongsangnamdo!

PostPosted: Wed Jan 21, 2004 9:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My adult students say re-unification with the north is inevitable but that the process cannot move forward until the American military is out of the south.

They also say the north has always been jealous of the power and wealth of the south through times of common rule and in times of hunger. They say regional differences are only overcome in the efforts to maintain their common language and culture in defense against outsiders.

I say Vietnam is similar. The north and south have perpetually been in conflict. Only a common defense against outsiders, colonial efforts at encouraging linguistic nationalism and the spread of communism have tried to unify them.

Is German unification incomplete without Austria in the fold? That's a live, open question.

Maybe the issue of whether Korea should be unified could be too, especially with the million-plus Koreans in the nearby Manchurian provinces.
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Ilsanman



Joined: 15 Aug 2003
Location: Bucheon, Korea

PostPosted: Wed Jan 21, 2004 9:58 pm    Post subject: yes Reply with quote

I think many people support reunification because they think it will end conscription. They don't see the bad stuff that it will bring too. In the long run, it will make Korea more powerful, but that long run might be a long long ways away.

One boy in my class last week said the worst place in the world to go is North Korea. I asked him why. He said "Many geoji (beggars) and many dirty people.' I couldn't help but laugh.
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tokki



Joined: 26 Jul 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jan 21, 2004 10:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Austria shares a language with Germany. Beyond that though Austria has a loooong history as Austria, it has a very distinct culture too. Dont overestimate the significance of language. Polish and Slovak are extremely similar, yet there is no one claiming that there needs to be a unification between the two countries.

Go to Vienna, it towers over any German city you can name in terms of culture, aesthetics, etc. Vienna would be out of place in a german controlled state.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Wed Jan 21, 2004 10:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

>>My adult students say re-unification with the north is inevitable but that the process cannot move forward until the American military is out of the south. <<

That's just what the North has always said, too. It makes me wonder just how much of what we hear is indirectly from the North.

When I hear Koreans say that unification is inevitable, I am reminded of something I read in "Korea and the World: Beyond the Cold War" edited by Young Whan Kihl, Westview Press, 1994:

(p. 23-24)
"Chronologically, the rise and fall of the Korean states parallel the experience of the Chinese state. To show it in tabular form:

In Korea In China
the rise of Unified Shilla (668) the rise of T'ang (618)
the rise of Koryo (936)* the rise of Liao (947), Sung(960)
the rise of Chosun (1392) the rise of Ming (1368)
the rise of ROK and DPRK (1948) the rise of PRC (1949)

the fall of Unified Silla (935)* the fall of T'ang (907)
the fall of Koryo (1392) the fall of Yuan (1368)
the fall of Chosun (1910) the fall of Ch'ing (1912)
the fall of Japanese rule (1945) the fall of ROC (1948)

With the possible exception of the events in the midtenth century (marked by asterisks in the table), one can readily find a causal linkage between Korean and Chinese developments...To borrow a Chinese expression, the relationship between Korea and China has been that of "lips and teeth"--of interdependence.
The Sino-Korean relationship, however, has not been one of equals; China has seized the initiative and projected its influence on Korea."

I think this is food for thought.

In a way, the Koreans may be right. China would not allow reunification by force (by the South) in 1950 and will not today. As China increases in power, the likelihood of reunification recedes unless it is on China's terms. So the presence of US troops may be what is preventing it, but not in the way the Koreans seem to think.
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Tiger Beer



Joined: 07 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Wed Jan 21, 2004 11:20 pm    Post subject: Re: yes Reply with quote

Ilsanman wrote:
I think many people support reunification because they think it will end conscription. They don't see the bad stuff that it will bring too.

I get a kick out of that. Most Koreans honestly don't want any kind of immediate reunification, because they are afraid their current (good) lifestyle might permently change. If you really ask in a certain way, usually they want reunification, but just not in their lifetime.

However in the same breath, there is this yearning for reunification which often times appear somewhat urgent and necessary - understandably. Just feels like total lack of realizations of the reality of that happening however.

My feelings have always been that you have to have a war for reunification. I'd say its extremely unlikely that the guys in power in either North Korea or South Korea are just going to give it all up anytime soon. Often times South Koreans project this attitude that if the United States would just stop meddling, then North Korea would just give up their power, and Kim Il Jung and all his administrators would happily give up being the leaders of their own country, and be content with what - taxi drivers in the streets of Seoul or something? Let Seoul move in and take over everything they've ever known? That would take war, not some S.Korean anti-American stance to prove they're brothers and to give up the reign of power over a country of their own and give it all up to the South to take over.
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 3:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Van islander has a valid point. North and south have historically been feuding, long before the Korean war. I read in "The aquariums of Pyongyang" that northerners always possessed a different character and outlook to southerners.
Northerners see themselves as tougher, more friendly and warm than southerners. They always resented the wealth of the south, and had a deep mistrust of "sly and underhand" southerners. Historically, northerners made the hardiest soldiers and sportsmen, yet southerners held all the political and economic power, exploiting and manipulating the poorer north.
Its a bit like the north-south divide in England or Italy.
If reunification was too occur, I'd expect wealthy southern businessmen to carve up the territory overnight and make full use of the desperate and cheap labor force.
In one way, I dislike the idea of reunification,- as the north would rapidly become concreted over with ugly construction, and the environment ruined, just like the polluted, never-ending urban conurbation that South Korea is now. I can't believe that Seoul would agree to preserving the untouched wilderness paradise of the DMZ, for example:)
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jaebea



Joined: 21 Sep 2003
Location: SYD

PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 4:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A lot of young people I've talked to support re-unification because then it'd give an indirect means for Korea to become a nuclear power.

If NK has the nukes, and then NK/SK re-unite, all of a sudden, those nukes become SK's nukes. Thus they don't need the US looking "after" SK anymore, they can stand in their own right, against China, and against the pissy Japanese who can only stand by helplessly.

Oh how sweet that would be.

So the theory goes. I don't really like this idea at all, as its motivated by the simplest of human desires, the want to dominate over others. So very flawed.. :)

jae.
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HardyandTiny



Joined: 03 Jun 2003

PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 5:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Money is the catalyst.
There is only one way for the South Korean manufacturer to keep his costs down and remain competitive with Chinese manufacturers. The South Korean must ask the North Korean for a relationship which allows the North Korean to have a "production" and the South Korean to make money.
This is already happening. South Korean companies are producing textiles in North Korea. There is no need for unification. Eventually North Korea will open up simply as North Korea, the new tiger! Just like South Korea once was.
What is the argument once North Korea becomes an open market?
Vietnam is a communist state. And so?
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 5:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

H & T: i see it the same as you...i don't see reunification as a costly disaster for SK. More of a money spinning opportunity. Cheap labour force. Land trade route to China, giving hope to Seoul's hub of Asia/ Incheon port dreams.
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kiwiboy_nz_99



Joined: 05 Jul 2003
Location: ...Enlightenment...

PostPosted: Thu Jan 22, 2004 6:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree with tigerbeer, there will be no unification without war. The North will never willing give up power, and of course the South fully expects to control things under unification.

If unification is to happen without war, I see it at least 50 years away.
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