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Avian flu the next big disaster?
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 4:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
[quote="rapier"]A semi- balanced article there M.O.S, but still short of the mark. I have been an active conservationist, devoted conservationist/ornithologist and studied birds for 18 years now. (How many of these scientists who so casually blame the whole problem on wild birds without proof, can say that?).


I respect your knowledge and experience, but don't ubnderstand your overreaction to posts about wild birds possibly helping to get a pandemic underway. Semi-balanced? I read nothing in the article that made a comparative valuation regarding the danger posed by avian vs. poultry flu, so how can it be on or off the mark? It was a completely objective description of the situation as I read it.

Quote:
Anyhow, i'd like to comprehensively tackle the innacuracies that seem to be leading to a scapegoating of wild birds;


Again, I don't understand this characterization. Perhaps your response is based in a fear that wild fowl *will* be sscapegoated and unfairly slaughtered?

Quote:
Deliberately misleading already: the "front lines" of poultry flu are in the cages stuffed with chickens and turkeys, yet they pretend that a remote wild bird population contracted the disease without contact with poultry. untrue!


Here, I think youb are just reading too much into use of that phrase. Any front in a war is, in fact, at the front lines. I didn't read it to mean that the issue of avian vs. poultry flu has now taken precedence.

Quote:
What they don't say is that the wild birds in high probability caught the disease from poultry kept at that site, not from migrating birds arriving.


Why did they need to? The article wasn't about the origins o avian flu, but about the concern of spread by wild birds. I understand you are taking it as a purposely-created bit of propaganda, I just don't see why, unless it's what I stated above: as an activist you're afraid wild populations will be decimated by over-zealous governments.
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Joined: 09 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 6:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

EFLtrainer wrote:
Quote:
What they don't say is that the wild birds in high probability caught the disease from poultry kept at that site, not from migrating birds arriving.

Why did they need to? The article wasn't about the origins o avian flu, but about the concern of spread by wild birds. I understand you are taking it as a purposely-created bit of propaganda, I just don't see why, unless it's what I stated above: as an activist you're afraid wild populations will be decimated by over-zealous governments.


Agreed. It's unlikely that taking a close(er) look at the relationship between avian flu and migratory wildfowl will result in the deliberate decimation of wild populations by over-zealous goverments, unless absolutely necessary. It's clear that at present there is a poor understanding/little is known about the relationship between avian flu and migratory birds in Asia. A closer (scientific) look seems to be warranted. As I mentioned above, taking a closer look at avian flu in migratory birds will (hopefully) induce goverments to spend more money on studying migratory bird populations in Asia. Which, I think, most people would agree would be a good idea. It will lead to better wildlife management and protection.

Migratory birds are susceptible to other diseases besides avian flu. Such studies would help to provide a better understanding of how epizootics occur in wildfowl. Learning how to efficiently vaccinate migratory bird populations against avian flu will naturally lead to the development of techniques to vaccinate them against other diseases. Certainly this would benefit certain species of endangered wildfowl. In Canada there are vaccination programs for marine mammals (walruses, etc.), to stabilize their populations against certain diseases.

Indeed, it's difficult to even envisage how "culls" of migratory wildfowl could be undertaken on anything but a small-scale basis. They're migratory birds; if you try to kill the whole flock it will just fly away. The number of birds killed in any deliberate public-health "cull" would likely to be far fewer than the number killed regularly by habitat destruction. Or by the number killed because of interaction with the human environment (birds killed by power lines, running into airplanes, etc.).
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I suppose in summary this gives a balanced overview of the facts, and what should be done:

"there is widespread concern among some people that migratory waterbirds may transmit the flu to other regions and could rise to human flu pandemic. However, there is no concrete proof that waterbirds at Qinghai that may have been infected with such a highly pathogenic strain and have survived, will migrate and be capable of transmitting the virus to other species of birds, animals or humans. However, given the implications to human health, poultry and bird conservation, there is a urgent need to share information on the issues and the actions needed."

http://www.wetlands.org/news&/NewsItems/AVIAN%20FLU_20050915.htm#_Toc112216730
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rapier wrote:
I suppose in summary this gives a balanced overview of the facts, and what should be done:

"there is widespread concern among some people that migratory waterbirds may transmit the flu to other regions and could rise to human flu pandemic. However, there is no concrete proof that waterbirds at Qinghai that may have been infected with such a highly pathogenic strain and have survived, will migrate and be capable of transmitting the virus to other species of birds, animals or humans. However, given the implications to human health, poultry and bird conservation, there is a urgent need to share information on the issues and the actions needed."

http://www.wetlands.org/news&/NewsItems/AVIAN%20FLU_20050915.htm#_Toc112216730


Agreed.
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igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Mon Oct 03, 2005 4:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

An Avian flu resource datapage with lotsa MP3s links & the like ...

http://www.recombinomics.com/in_the_news.html
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n3ptne



Joined: 14 Sep 2005
Location: Poh*A*ng City

PostPosted: Tue Oct 04, 2005 10:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I heard on the radio that theres an outbreak in Toronto...

Oh, and read that 140million birds have been slaughtered in Thailand/Vietnam alone over the last two years. A vaccination was just cooked up (haha) in August of this year for H5N1 not sure if its available to the public yet.

The other two strains that are dangerous to humans arent an issue in Asia. H7 has only been in the US & Europe, not recently, and H9 only has infected three people in Hong Kong. They all recovered.
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n3ptne



Joined: 14 Sep 2005
Location: Poh*A*ng City

PostPosted: Tue Oct 04, 2005 11:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh, and I hate to break up a good bitchfest, but...

Wild birds act as resistant carriers that then infect domestic flocks, these flocks in turn infect their human counterparts. The disease spreads in air, manure, undercooked meat, and even cats.

Sooo... in summation, if wild flocks, which otherwise go on to live happy healthy lives, are infected domestic flocks, which I, a capital meat eater, so rely upon to live... then kill 'em all.

Lifes too short to get sick over some bird, but hopefully they'll create a workable vaccine and we can all get on with the love/hate relationship between me and tree-hugging hippies. Anyway, there haven't been very many deaths (birds excluded, but sorry, we're more evolved) so I don't see why everyone is getting so pissy. Plus its a treatable disease that has a decent survival rate for healthy adults.

Now what sucks is that you can't test to see if someone has it except in a level 3 biosafety lab, which I imagine aren't all too common in the ROK. That's scary.
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igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Tue Oct 04, 2005 11:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bush Considers Military Role in Flu Fight
By JENNIFER LOVEN, Associated Press Writer
Tue Oct 4,11:03 PM ET



WASHINGTON - President Bush, stirring debate on the worrisome possibility of a bird flu pandemic, suggested dispatching American troops to enforce quarantines in any areas with outbreaks of the killer virus.

Bush asserted aggressive action could be needed to prevent a potentially crippling U.S. outbreak of a bird flu strain that is sweeping through Asian poultry and causing experts to fear it could become the next deadly pandemic. Citing concern that state and local authorities might be unable to contain and deal with such an outbreak, Bush asked Congress to give him the authority to call in the military.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051005/ap_on_he_me/bush_avian_flu;_ylt=AjSmy5bcsYnj74aWU2_PCGUDW7oF;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl

The president has already indicated he wants to give the armed forces the lead responsibility for conducting search-and-rescue operations and sending in supplies after massive natural disasters and terrorist attacks — a notion that could require a change in law and that even some in the Pentagon have reacted to skeptically. The idea raised the startling-to-some image of soldiers cordoning off communities hit by disease.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posse_Comitatus_Act
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 3:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

n3ptne wrote:
Oh, and I hate to break up a good *beep*, but...

Wild birds act as resistant carriers that then infect domestic flocks, these flocks in turn infect their human counterparts. The disease spreads in air, manure, undercooked meat, and even cats.

Sooo... in summation, if wild flocks, which otherwise go on to live happy healthy lives, are infected domestic flocks, which I, a capital meat eater, so rely upon to live... then kill 'em all.

Lifes too short to get sick over some bird, but hopefully they'll create a workable vaccine and we can all get on with the love/hate relationship between me and tree-hugging hippies. Anyway, there haven't been very many deaths (birds excluded, but sorry, we're more evolved) so I don't see why everyone is getting so pissy. Plus its a treatable disease that has a decent survival rate for healthy adults.

Now what sucks is that you can't test to see if someone has it except in a level 3 biosafety lab, which I imagine aren't all too common in the ROK. That's scary.


Hold everything!! We've found the next big disaster -and its not HN51: its an idiotic poster called "N3ptne"! Laughing
-seriously dude, did you even read the thread before posting? We've already systematically disproven all your wild statements long before you even made them.
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EFLtrainer



Joined: 04 May 2005

PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 6:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
WASHINGTON - President Bush, stirring debate on the worrisome possibility of a bird flu pandemic, suggested dispatching American troops to enforce quarantines in any areas with outbreaks of the killer virus.

Bush asserted aggressive action could be needed to prevent a potentially crippling U.S. outbreak of a bird flu strain that is sweeping through Asian poultry and causing experts to fear it could become the next deadly pandemic. Citing concern that state and local authorities might be unable to contain and deal with such an outbreak, Bush asked Congress to give him the authority to call in the military.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20051005/ap_on_he_me/bush_avian_flu;_ylt=AjSmy5bcsYnj74aWU2_PCGUDW7oF;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl

The president has already indicated he wants to give the armed forces the lead responsibility for conducting search-and-rescue operations and sending in supplies after massive natural disasters and terrorist attacks — a notion that could require a change in law and that even some in the Pentagon have reacted to skeptically. The idea raised the startling-to-some image of soldiers cordoning off communities hit by disease.


Jesus... Years ago when I was a religious young fella I was ver interested in end times discussions and prophecy... damned if Bushee isn't fitting the bill more and more every day...
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n3ptne



Joined: 14 Sep 2005
Location: Poh*A*ng City

PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rapier wrote:
Hold everything!! We've found the next big disaster -and its not HN51: its an idiotic poster called "N3ptne"! Laughing
-seriously dude, did you even read the thread before posting? We've already systematically disproven all your wild statements long before you even made them.


Systematically disproven the clinical pathogenic nature of the disease... according to scientists, not birdlife.com?

Whoa, sorry, I musta missed all those three letters after your name... you know like MD, PhD, etc., I mean, the guys who just released the vaccination for HN51 and say its the main threat (excluding mutation), what do they know? How much can you learn spending years in medical school and labs, studying the nature of airborne diseases... probably not as much as someone whose been watching birds as long as you have.

My bad, I remit, you win treehugger.
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 3:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

n3ptne wrote:
Whoa, sorry, I musta missed all those three letters after your name... you know like MD, PhD, etc., I mean, the guys who just released the vaccination for HN51 and say its the main threat (excluding mutation), what do they know? How much can you learn spending years in medical school and labs, studying the nature of airborne diseases... probably not as much as someone whose been watching birds as long as you have.

Laughing Laughing Laughing
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PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 3:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

n3ptne wrote:
Wild birds act as resistant carriers that then infect domestic flocks, these flocks in turn infect their human counterparts. The disease spreads in air, manure, undercooked meat, and even cats.

Just a minor point...I think the concern about wildfowl possibly being a vector for avian flu is not so much with wild birds per se, but specifically with migratory birds. Regardless of the interaction between the birds and the virus (whether or not they become infected carriers, resistant carriers, carry the virus in fecal matter clinging to their feet, etc.,), I think the main matter of concern is the capability of migratory birds to transmit the avian flu virus over long, possibly intercontinental, distances.

It's well known that migratory birds are able to travel very long distances, depending on the species, over regular migration routes. Even if the possibility of transmission via migratory birds is statistically very low, their ability to travel over very long distances relatively quickly makes them a matter of concern. Imagine if migratory birds were susceptible to Rabies, for example; this would make control and prevention of Rabies outbreaks much more difficult.

In addition, avian flu, like all flu strains, can be transmitted through the air; it doesn't require something like body fluid exchange, as HIV does. Combined with the ability of migratory birds to travel long distances, this makes any avian flu-migratory bird interaction(s) a matter of serious concern.
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have already shown, backed by uncountable evidence, that

a) There are no cases of wild birds carrying bird flu.
b)There are no cases of wild birds infecting domestic poultry.
c) There are no cases of wild birds infecting humans.
d)There are no cases of migrating birds testing positive for bird flu, despite much research and testing.
e) Wild birds have however been infected by domestic flocks. Whereupon they have died rapidly without spreading the disease. Because they have lower resistance.
f) Domestic poultry has been proven to carry the disease without symptoms.
g) Outbreaks follow the path of poultry transport and distribution networks.
h) Outbreaks do not follow the migration routes of wild birds.
i) The problem is clearly with the domestic poultry industry, no matter how desperately you hunt for any shred of evidence to incriminate wild birds.


I agree, its a sort of irresistible romantic illusion, the Hitchcockesque idea that big flocks of winged, diseased rodents are invading from the skies, dealing death en masse. And how heroic and fun it would be to take up shotguns and blow away everything that moves. But lets just stick to science. Stop ignoring the huge amount of proof against the rotten poultry business, and stop trying to scapegoat the last remnant populations of our worlds threatened biodiversity.

This is where Bird flu has been found. This is the problem: keeping poultry in highly unnatural and overcrowded, unsanitary conditions. Not cooking or washing it properly before eating:Transporting finches and mynas in terrible conditions where 90% of them die, for the cage bird industry. Some cases of bird flu were caused by people digging up dead, buried and rotting chickens and then eating them.







All of this is a far cry from healthy wild birds in their natural environment- that live in isolation, holding their own separate territories, eating natural wild food.





So, drop your hysterical and unfounded claims.
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n3ptne



Joined: 14 Sep 2005
Location: Poh*A*ng City

PostPosted: Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dude, I don�t even have the time or energy to read your post... see if you can follow me.

A resistant carrier is EXACTLY the same as someone who carries a recessive gene. That is to say, they appear to be perfectly healthy... except the infect species with lower resistances.

Now, while you and your pseudo-nonscientific-BS won't address this issue, this is the very heart of what the *scientists* are discussing. That is to say, quite simply, that wild flocks are recessively carrying the disease and infecting domesticated animals.

What that means to me, a human, is simple... The birds I depend on to live, or eat, are becoming increasingly infected due to the migratory pattern of passive carriers who are otherwise unsick.

There's no doubt that little to no scientific evidence exists that these animals are responsible for infecting humans, or that they pose a direct threat to mankind. On the other hand... those people who have the three letters proceeding their names are quite emphatic in the belief that these otherwise innocent animals... are responsible for infecting the flocks that do pose a direct threat to mankind.

You see Rapier, while we may not agree... the people who are in power think like me, and the evidence is in the fact that over the last two years 140million birds have been slaughtered to prevent the wide spread pandemic of avian flu. You can cry all you want, but what matters is that the people who make a difference... think like me.

Having said that, I'll leave you to "systematically disproving" whatever it is you feel that needs proving... on an online message board. Though I will say one thing: I'm glad you're sphere of influence is here, and not in international pathogenic control. I feel much safer. Salut.
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