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EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
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Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2006 12:12 am Post subject: |
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Bird flu reports spread in Europe
Iran detects deadly strain in dead swans
Tuesday, February 14, 2006; Posted: 10:17 p.m. EST (03:17 GMT)
Three new countries on Tuesday reported they had detected the deadly strain of bird flu as public health officials battled the H5N1 strain of avian influenza on various fronts across the globe.
Germany and Austria reported apparent cases of H5N1 bird flu in wild swans, becoming the third and fourth European Union nations to detect the virus that has killed 91 people since 2003, according to the World Health Organization. Italy and Greece reported swan deaths from the highly pathogenic strain on Saturday.
Iran's government said H5N1 had been detected in wild swans found dead near the Caspian Sea. (Full story) |
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Manner of Speaking

Joined: 09 Jan 2003
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Posted: Fri Feb 17, 2006 1:34 am Post subject: |
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Europe imposes new bird flu rules
Iraqi death may be tied to deadly avian influenza
Friday, February 17, 2006
(AP) -- European authorities are pushing ahead with measures to boost defenses against the deadly form of avian influenza and prevent a large outbreak when migratory birds begin traveling north next month.
The moves come as German and Slovenian officials confirmed their first cases of bird flu. Countries from Liechtenstein to Romania ordered poultry indoors or quarantined villages to stem the spread of the disease. A European Union panel called for a 6.5-mile quarantine and surveillance zone around suspected or confirmed outbreaks of bird flu.
Meanwhile, the dead uncle of an Iraqi girl who died last month after contracting bird flu also had the disease, U.S. and U.N. officials said Thursday, citing test results at a U.N.-certified laboratory in Egypt. One further test must be carried out by a London laboratory certified by the World Health Organization before the United Nations confirms that the uncle did in fact have the H5N1 bird flu virus.
The H5N1 strain has killed 91 people since 2003, with most victims infected directly by sick birds, according to the World Health Organization.
Germany's leading animal health institute verified suspicions that two dead swans found Tuesday on the Baltic Sea island of Ruegen were infected with H5N1, the government-run Friedrich Loeffler Institute said in a statement. Slovenia confirmed that a swan found dead in the north near the Austrian border carried the deadly virus strain. "We are dealing with a dangerous animal epidemic that could also be potentially harmful to people," Agriculture Minister Horst Seehofer told the German parliament in Berlin. "Protection of our people is our first priority."
Officials said citizens were safe as long as they did not touch sick or dead birds. Bird keepers at zoos across Germany began chasing down their pheasants, peacocks and other wild birds to keep them caged during the coming months. In neighboring Denmark, authorities began testing 35 dead birds found on Danish islands just north of the German border.
Liechtenstein and Austria -- where three swans have tested positive for H5N1 -- followed initiatives in France, Germany, the Czech Republic, Switzerland and Sweden and ordered domestic fowl kept indoors to avoid contact with wild birds.
Authorities questioned how the virus reached Europe. "The reasons for the nearly simultaneous appearance of the H5N1 virus in wild birds in Italy, Slovenia, Austria and Germany continues to be a mystery," said Thomas Mettenleiter, president of the Friedrich Loeffler Institute. "It is possible that the swans came in from eastern Europe." Russia confirmed H5N1 in southern Dagestan, where about 350,000 birds were found dead at poultry farms about two weeks ago.
The Iraqi man died January 27 in northern Kurdistan and lived in the same house as his 15-year-old niece, the country's first confirmed bird flu-related death. They died 10 days apart. A U.S. official said the uncle's samples came back positive from Cairo for H5N1. The official declined to be identified further because he was not authorized to release the information to the media. An official from the U.N.'s Food and Agriculture Organization office confirmed that the sample from the uncle had tested positive for H5N1 when analyzed by the U.S. Navy Medical Research Unit laboratory in Cairo.
To date there have been no confirmed cases that H5N1 has mutated into a virus capable of being passed directly between humans. Experts fear such a development could lead to a global pandemic.
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/HEALTH/conditions/02/17/birdflu.ap/index.html |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Posted: Sat Feb 18, 2006 7:02 am Post subject: |
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As a reminder...
No wild bird has been found to infect a human, nor infect domestic poultry: of tens of thouands migrating birds strategically tested for HN51, the (single figure) handful testing positive were dead or dying- incapable of flight or spreading the disease, and often linked to sites where domestic poultry possibly infected them- commercial bird feed and faeces discharged into rivers etc.
What is also clear is that the solution, as already proven, lies in culling infected poultry around disease areas, and imposing strict controls on poultry and poultry meat imports.
Last edited by rapier on Sat Feb 18, 2006 7:06 am; edited 1 time in total |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Posted: Sat Feb 18, 2006 7:05 am Post subject: |
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Are high risk farming practices spreading avian flu?
18-01-2006
Much has been written in recent months about the role of wild birds in spreading the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus. But there is a distinct lack of evidence to support these assertions.
Tens of thousands of apparently healthy wild birds have been tested for HPAI H5N1 over the last decade. According to the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in November 2005: "To date extensive testing of clinically normal migratory birds in the infected countries has not produced any positive results for H5N1."
Does the westward spread of HPAI H5N1 from the origins of the current outbreak in China implicate wild birds? "No species migrates from Qinghai, China, west to Eastern Europe," says Dr Richard Thomas, BirdLife International's Communications Manager. "When plotted, the pattern of outbreaks follows major road and rail routes, not flyways. And the absence of outbreaks in Africa, South and South-East Asia and Australasia this autumn is hard to explain, if wild birds are the primary carriers."
Are other transmission methods plausible? Movement of infected poultry and poultry products is a likely cause of spread. South Korea and Japan are two countries to have suffered outbreaks of H5N1 in poultry and wild birds following importation of infected duck meat. Both countries stamped the virus out by culling infected poultry around disease areas, and imposed strict controls on poultry and poultry meat imports.
"Neither country has suffered a recurrence of the virus despite the influx each autumn of hundreds of thousands of wild migrant birds," Richard Thomas points out.
US experience in the 1980s with controlling an outbreak of H5N2-a strain of avian influenza non-infectious to people-in domestic poultry is relevant. A report found: "AI virus transmission was possible and occurred through movements of live and dead birds, contaminated equipment and vehicles, contaminated eggs, feed, water, insect vectors, and human vectors. In fact, any fomite that had contact with contaminated manure was capable of transmitting the virus. It was remarkably easy to isolate AI virus anywhere or from any inanimate object associated with an infected poultry flock."
Outbreaks at fish farms in Qinghai, Romania and Croatia may also be significant. The use of poultry manure as feed in fish-ponds appears to be widespread in east and south-east Asia and across Kazakhstan, southern Russia and west to Ukraine, Moldova and several eastern and central European countries. A joint FAO, WHO (World Health Organisation) and OIE (World organisation for animal health) conference in July 2005 reported: "In farming of poultry, high risk production practices include the farming of multiple species of animals, including poultry and waterfowl, within one farm unit; the keeping of chickens over fish ponds; the use of untreated chicken faeces as fertilizer or livestock feed..." The current advice on the FAO website warns: "the feeding of poultry manure/poultry litter should be banned in countries affected by or at risk from avian influenza, even if correctly composted, ensiled or dried with heat treatment." Manufacture and movement of fertiliser and feed in which the virus remains infective could be a very effective way of spreading H5N1 over long distances.
"The case against wild birds looks flimsy indeed. Few would disagree that better biosecurity is the key to halting the disease's spread," says Thomas.
http://www.birdlife.org/news/news/2006/01/flu_agriculture.html |
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EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
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Posted: Sat Feb 18, 2006 11:42 pm Post subject: |
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Seems to me that any ad all possible vectors are involved. I always wonder at discussions that search for THE answer when, as with so many things in life, there are multiple facets to it.
I'm fairly comfortable with the idea that the primary source of spread to date has been due to the farming and sale of poultry. I would be very, very suprised if the source of H5N1 were not poultry - going back to '97 or whenever.
However, it seems logically obvious that as the virus spread, new vectors were created, which then multiplied. That all of the recent finds were in migratory birds, but few if any of the early finds were, would seem to support this. Assuming this conclusion is correct, where it started would apppar to be irrelevant from this point on. It's essentialy a chicken/egg issue: scientifically interesting, but in practice irrelevant.
It seems clear it is spreading through the old vectors and the new ones. As long as governments are willing and able to assist the farmers and provide alternate food sources where needed, this is not a huge human issue. The real fear is the possibility of pandemic, which I think can safely be said to grow with the spread of the disease. The greater the variety of interraction between the virus and various populations of avians and humans, the more likely significant mutations might occur.
What to do, what to do... |
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Summer Wine
Joined: 20 Mar 2005 Location: Next to a River
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Posted: Sun Feb 19, 2006 4:10 am Post subject: |
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This is a controversial statement and not one easily supported. But one that is raised by a number of post statements in the media. (Going back a few years).
Is it possible that we now have to "buy water as our water supplies are polluted(?)), Our local food stock is in danger of being infectious (mad cow disease)(bird flu)(etc).
None of this will impact on the long term supply of these products, just that we now have to buy bottled water, instead of drinking fresh/ we now have to buy commercial foods instead of growing our own/ we now have to pay premium supplies for our energy instead of using timber (renewable energy source).
I sometimes wonder how many of these problems are created ones or the result of a large businesses mistakes and how much has to do with reality. Or are we being herded in a certain direction and whether its the best one.
Its just a thought and educated people are trained to think for themselves, so I won't apologise for hypothosing. |
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Manner of Speaking

Joined: 09 Jan 2003
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Posted: Sun Feb 19, 2006 10:05 pm Post subject: |
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EFLtrainer wrote: |
However, it seems logically obvious that as the virus spread, new vectors were created, which then multiplied. That all of the recent finds were in migratory birds, but few if any of the early finds were, would seem to support this. Assuming this conclusion is correct, where it started would apppar to be irrelevant from this point on. It's essentialy a chicken/egg issue: scientifically interesting, but in practice irrelevant.
It seems clear it is spreading through the old vectors and the new ones. As long as governments are willing and able to assist the farmers and provide alternate food sources where needed, this is not a huge human issue. The real fear is the possibility of pandemic, which I think can safely be said to grow with the spread of the disease. The greater the variety of interraction between the virus and various populations of avians and humans, the more likely significant mutations might occur. |
Very well put. This is the essence of the issue: as the virus strain spreads, the possibility of human-virulent mutations increases...not to mention the economic impact of having to undertake large-scale culls of commercial poultry and preventative measures, particularly in less developed countries.
Unlike many other issues on this forum, this is a "slow" issue, not your typical 'here today gone tomorrow' news topic. |
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Manner of Speaking

Joined: 09 Jan 2003
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Posted: Tue Feb 21, 2006 12:55 am Post subject: |
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WHO can't stop pandemic,
modelling suggests
Feb. 20, 2006. 08:50 PM
HELEN BRANSWELL
CANADIAN PRESS
The World Health Organization��s plan to try to extinguish an emerging flu
pandemic at its source will likely only buy the world additional time to
prepare, not snuff out the threat, new mathematical modelling suggests.
The WHO, which is devoting considerable time to developing a rapid
response and containment plan, acknowledged Monday the claim is
probably valid.
But the organization would have no choice but to try if the H5N1 avian flu
strain or another novel flu virus seems poised to trigger a wave of global
disease and death, a spokesperson said. Since we��ve been talking
about this containment strategy, we��ve given the very big qualifier that
we think it may fail,�� Maria Cheng said from the agency��s Geneva
headquarters. But it��s still worth it because if it buys us some extra
time, it gives countries some extra time to prepare and it gives vaccine
companies more time to produce vaccine. "It's something that we have
to try as a global public health agency.��
The modelling work, done by a group of researchers from Harvard
University��s School of Public Health and the University of Washington,
was published Tuesday in the journal Public Library of Science Medicin
e. It follows modelling studies by two groups of American and British
researchers published in the journals Science and Nature last summer.
Both estimated that with early detection of human-to-human spread of a
new flu virus and rapid intervention with antiviral drugs and movement
restrictions, a pandemic could in theory be stopped. Prior to publication
of the work the WHO had expressed reservations about how workable a
fire-blanket strategy, as it��s sometimes called, would be.
The work, when published, was met with muted enthusiasm by infectious
disease experts who argued that too many variables would have to go
right for the goal to be achieved. Still, within days WHO director general
Dr. Lee Jong-wook said publicly that the agency would try to put in action
what the models suggested might be attainable.
Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, the senior author of the new
modelling work, argued last summer that a key flaw in the old model was
the assumption that a new emerging pandemic strain would be a one
time event, like a small fire ignited by a lightning strike. He and his
coauthors describe a scenario that is more like a series of sparks flying
off a bonfire, setting multiple small fires over a period of time. The fire
blanket might extinguish one or two of those blazes, Lipsitch and his
colleagues agree. But with the original bonfire continuing to send off
sparks, chances will rise that one will go unchecked and ignite a
conflagration.
��The earlier work focused on the potential as they saw it and the
difficulties of doing it once. And we��re making the suggestion that doing
it once might well not be enough,��Lipsitch said from Boston.
Mathematical modellers have to make a series of assumptions in order to
construct their models, especially with something as poorly understood
as how a pandemic flu strain emerges. Both sides in the debate have
points they use to argue that their baseline assumptions are the
appropriate ones — but at present there��s no way to know which is
likely to be more accurate.
Neil Ferguson, the British modeller whose work was published in Nature,
argues that pandemics are sufficiently rare events throughout history
that if a single transmissible strain of H5N1 emerges and is caught, the
threat will be dealt with. Lipsitch and his colleagues point to evidence —
published by scientists from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control — that
there were multiple reassorted or mutated viruses circulating before the
start of the last pandemic, the 1968 Hong Kong flu. "(It) is consistent with
the possibility of multiple introductions, but does not demonstrate this
conclusively,�� they admit in their paper.
Even though they are skeptical a pandemic could be stopped, the group is
not arguing the WHO should abandon the effort. "I strongly advocate
putting eggs into that basket,�� said co-author Carl Bergstrom, an
evolutionary biologist from the University of Washington, adding even a
failed effort could buy the world months or a perhaps a year of additional
time to prepare. But the basket isn��t sturdy enough to hold too many
eggs, the authors caution. ��Putting a lot of hopes on it is a bad idea,��
Lipsitch said.
article link |
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Hater Depot
Joined: 29 Mar 2005
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Posted: Fri Feb 24, 2006 2:04 pm Post subject: |
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Well, Korea's got bird flu now. I guess kimchi could only protect us for so long.
Four Human Bird Flu Infections Confirmed
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Korea on Friday confirmed four infections with the deadly human strain of bird flu in the country.
The Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention said the four tested positive for antibodies of the H5N1 strain of avian influenza but showed no symptoms of the disease, meaning their immune systems overcame the infection. The government stressed domestic chickens and ducks are safe to eat.
The KCDC said it sent blood samples of 11 Koreans who took part in the cull of chickens and ducks during the bird flu outbreak between December 2003 and March 2004 to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which found that four of them - a soldier and three workers -- produced antibodies. The 11 had tested positive when the KCDC conducted its own tests last year of blood samples of 318 owners and workers at 19 poultry farms countrywide as well as of public servants and soldiers who disposed of dead birds. A KCDC official said the four took the antiviral drug Tamiflu at the time, did not show symptoms for 10 days and remain in good health. |
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some waygug-in
Joined: 25 Jan 2003
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Posted: Sat Feb 25, 2006 6:05 pm Post subject: |
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[quote="Hater Depot"]Well, Korea's got bird flu now. I guess kimchi could only protect us for so long.
Four Human Bird Flu Infections Confirmed
[quote]Korea on Friday confirmed four infections with the deadly human strain of bird flu in the country.
The Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention said the four tested positive for antibodies of the H5N1 strain of avian influenza but showed no symptoms of the disease, meaning their immune systems overcame the infection. The government stressed domestic chickens and ducks are safe to eat.
Exactly. The best defence is a healthy immune system.
http://www.mercola.com/2005/nov/15/finally_medical_journal_admits_the_truth_about_bird_flu.htm
Dr. Mercola's Comment:
Many enjoyed my breaking story on the connection of Donald Rumsfeld and the Bird Flu Hoax last month. It was one of the most read stories I have ever run. In fact it was widely passed around the internet and was posted by more than 100,000 websites. It even prompted CNN to pick up the story.
This is an update to the continuing bird flu saga. The drug companies got a multi-billion dollar pile of cash, and with the new legislation that was recently passed, they can't be sued no matter what they do, except for "willful misconduct", whatever that means.
This effectively allows them to collect a barrel of cash from this hoax and avoid any responsibility for the inevitable harm and damage that will result from their solution for this created villain.
Remember this is all for a pandemic that will likely never materialize. I am a former Boy Scout and fully believe in being prepared, however this is not even close to the recommendations made by experts to New Orleans prior to Hurricane Katrina, that if implemented would have saved 1,000 lives, 500,000 homes and well over $100 billion.
No, this is all about creating fear and panic to benefit the drug companies. Now, I am still not opposed to being prepared for this potential bird flu pandemic. It is POSSIBLE it just might materialize, highly unlikely, but certainly possible.
But if bird flu did develop as projected, there is no way that the flu vaccine or Tamiflu will mitigate its damage. No way!
If you want to know how to truly strengthen your immune system so you will laugh when the flu bug or nearly any other infectious agent seeks to infect you, then start following the Total Health Program or read the quick tips I posted last year:
First, start focusing on eating properly. That means avoiding:
Fast foods
Sugars
Grains
Trans-fats
Additionally you can increase the healthy and essential fats like the omega-3 fats found in fish and cod liver oil: Those of you who read the newsletter regularly know I'm a fan of the Carlson's brand of fish oil and cod liver oil, as I have seen clear and often substantial improvements in my patients who use it. Plus, Carlson's fish and cod liver oil is one of the few brands that put the extra vitamin E in it for you straight from the get-go, so you don't have to take extra vitamin E if you don't want to.
You can find Carlson's fish or cod liver oil at your local health food store, or, for your convenience, on my Recommended Products page section. |
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EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
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Posted: Sun Feb 26, 2006 10:00 am Post subject: |
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Hmmm... given the 50 percent death rate, what is the government of Korea hiding? |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Posted: Sun Feb 26, 2006 7:58 pm Post subject: |
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EFLtrainer wrote: |
Hmmm... given the 50 percent death rate, what is the government of Korea hiding? |
Considering they believe wild birds to be flying devils, Korea certainly hasn't taken measures to isolate domestic poultry from their free counterparts. I've seen farm ducks left mingling with wild birds often.
Also as somewaygugin notes, the victims showed no symptoms. This is similar to some Chinese poultry workers who have been shown to have developed immunity.
Heres the latest on the swans:
Update 4: Bird Flu Virus Kills 15 Swans in France
02.26.2006, 09:08 PM
http://www.forbes.com/business/healthcare/feeds/ap/2006/02/26/ap2554266.html
Note that -all the swans were found dead in the vicinity of poultry farms. Bit hard for a dead swan to fly thousands of miles isn't it? Whats far more likely is that the swans caught it from infected chickens- which have already been shown to be symptomless carriers in some cases. |
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some waygug-in
Joined: 25 Jan 2003
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Posted: Sun Feb 26, 2006 8:21 pm Post subject: |
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Dr. Mercola's Comment:
If you have been viewing the media you must have seen the scare the media and the president are seeking to orchestrate on you and the public. According to a draft of the government's plan to fight a potentially cataclysmic pandemic, this new bird super-flu could kill nearly 2 MILLION Americans.
But I nearly fell out of my seat in the airplane as I was flying back from a conference in Ft. Lauderdale when I read that in the BEST-case scenario, only 200,000 people might die.
Then they post the frightening picture from the 1918 flu epidemic to heighten the fear. It just amazes me how they can get away with this type of reporting that is so obviously manipulated by the government and drug companies to scare you into taking the flu vaccine.
The popular media continues to reinforce this unbased fear. In the editorial section of the October 17, 2005 issue of the Wall Street Journal, Dr. Henry Miller, former director of the Office of Biotechnology at the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), seeks to frighten the U.S. public by telling us that the bird flu virus can jump from birds to humans and produce, and is a fatal illness in 50 percent of those infected.
Ah, there's the rub.
A 50 percent fatality rate sounds pretty scary to me. What Dr. Miller and the other experts fail to explain is how these numbers were derived. Did they examine everyone who contracted the bird flu and use those numbers, or did they examine the sickest of the sick who had come down with the bird flu and determine the mortality rate from there?
Of course, it was the latter, and from the 60 people who have died from this in THIRD-world countries we are being told that anywhere from 200,000, AT BEST, to 2 million people at worst will die from the bird flu.
This is shoddy science at best and beyond belief that any reputable scientist could get away with such nonsense.
http://www.mercola.com/2005/oct/25/avian_flu_epidemic_is_a_hoax.htm |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Posted: Mon Feb 27, 2006 1:02 am Post subject: |
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From this morning's Bangkok Post- useful:
http://www.bangkokpost.com/News/27Feb2006_news09.php
Factory farms behind bird flu spread
Wild birds not really to blame
ACHARA ASHAYAGACHAT
A new report released yesterday blamed the transnational poultry industry, and not small-scale poultry farming and wild birds, as the root cause of the global bird flu crisis.
The spread of industrial poultry production and trade networks has actually created ideal conditions for the emergence and transmission of lethal viruses like the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu, said Devlin Kuyek, of the Montreal-based international non-governmental organisation Grain.
Once inside densely populated factory farms, viruses can rapidly become lethal and amplify, said Mr Kuyek in the report released today.
Air thick with viral load from infected farms was carried for kilometres, while integrated trade networks spread the disease through many carriers: live birds, day-old chicks, meat, feathers, hatching eggs, eggs, chicken manure and animal feed, he added.
"Everyone is focused on migratory birds and backyard chickens as the problem," said the researcher of Grain, which promotes the sustainable management and use of agricultural biodiversity based on people's control over genetic resources and local knowledge.
"But they are not effective vectors of highly pathogenic bird flu. The virus kills them, but is unlikely to be spread by them," he said.
For example, in Malaysia, the mortality rate from H5N1 among village chicken was only 5%, indicating that the virus had a hard time spreading among small-scale chicken flocks.
H5N1 outbreaks in Laos, which was surrounded by infected countries, have only occurred in the nation's few factory farms, which were supplied by Thai hatcheries, the report said.
The only cases of bird flu in backyard poultry, which account for over 90% of Laos' production, occurred next to the factory farms.
"The evidence we see over and over again, from the Netherlands in 2003 to Japan in 2004 to Egypt in 2006, is that lethal bird flu breaks out in large-scale industrial chicken farms and then spreads to other places and regions," Mr Kuyek explained.
The Nigerian outbreak earlier this year began at a single factory farm, owned by a cabinet minister, distant from hotspots for migratory birds but known for importing unregulated hatchable eggs.
In India, local authorities said that H5N1 emerged and spread from a factory farm owned by the country's largest poultry company, Venkateshwara Hatcheries.
Grain asked a burning question why governments and international agencies, like the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation, were doing nothing to investigate how the factory farms and their byproducts, such as animal feed and manure, spread the virus.
Instead, they were using the crisis as an opportunity to further industrialise the poultry sector.
Initiatives are multiplying to ban outdoor poultry, squeeze out small producers and restock farms with genetically-modified chickens.
The web of complicity with an industry engaged in a string of denials and cover-ups seems complete, he said.
"Farmers are losing their livelihoods, native chickens are being wiped out and some experts say that we are on the verge of a human pandemic that could kill millions of people," Mr Kuyek concluded. |
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mithridates

Joined: 03 Mar 2003 Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency
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Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:35 pm Post subject: |
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some waygug-in wrote: |
Dr. Mercola's Comment:
If you have been viewing the media you must have seen the scare the media and the president are seeking to orchestrate on you and the public. According to a draft of the government's plan to fight a potentially cataclysmic pandemic, this new bird super-flu could kill nearly 2 MILLION Americans.
But I nearly fell out of my seat in the airplane as I was flying back from a conference in Ft. Lauderdale when I read that in the BEST-case scenario, only 200,000 people might die.
Then they post the frightening picture from the 1918 flu epidemic to heighten the fear. It just amazes me how they can get away with this type of reporting that is so obviously manipulated by the government and drug companies to scare you into taking the flu vaccine.
The popular media continues to reinforce this unbased fear. In the editorial section of the October 17, 2005 issue of the Wall Street Journal, Dr. Henry Miller, former director of the Office of Biotechnology at the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), seeks to frighten the U.S. public by telling us that the bird flu virus can jump from birds to humans and produce, and is a fatal illness in 50 percent of those infected.
Ah, there's the rub.
A 50 percent fatality rate sounds pretty scary to me. What Dr. Miller and the other experts fail to explain is how these numbers were derived. Did they examine everyone who contracted the bird flu and use those numbers, or did they examine the sickest of the sick who had come down with the bird flu and determine the mortality rate from there?
Of course, it was the latter, and from the 60 people who have died from this in THIRD-world countries we are being told that anywhere from 200,000, AT BEST, to 2 million people at worst will die from the bird flu.
This is shoddy science at best and beyond belief that any reputable scientist could get away with such nonsense.
http://www.mercola.com/2005/oct/25/avian_flu_epidemic_is_a_hoax.htm |
One other interesting fact as I was browsing Wikipedia:
Quote: |
The annual flu (also called "seasonal flu" or "human flu") kills an estimated 36,000 people in the United States each year. |
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