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		| bucheon bum 
 
 
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 1:10 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Read Assasin's Gate by George Packer. Read A Plan of Attack by Bob Woodward.  Read Squandered Victory by Larry Diamond. 
 You'll see how we really did things on the fly and how we seriously lacked a plan.  It isn't because we didn't have the skills or the people- we simply ignored them. excuse me, not we, but the Bush administration.
 
 We're in this situation because we did things half-ass.  Had we actually been competant and had an actual post-war plan, we would not be seeing the chaos we are seeing now.
 
 I'm not saying democracy and prosperity would be in iraq had we done things correctly from the beginning, but I'm 100% confident that Iraq would not be on the verge of civil war right now.
 
 BTW, the Afghani man is a complete dumb ass.
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 2:26 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| I am not defending the W. Bush Administration or saying that everything is great in Iraq. 
 Take away Saddam, who left no institutions in his wake, who left no tradition of self-govt, etc., and you can only have civil war in Iraq.  There was no getting around it -- even though it should have been anticipated.
 
 The books you cite are journalist accounts, with journalist agendas, and other "inside" accounts and sensationalist "insight" meant to profit from contemporary controversy, and antiwar and prowar opinion, etc.  Diamond is a sociologist -- an extremely leftist discpline, by the way -- who has a policymaking/advising axe to grind.
 
 Moreover, Woodward has come under attack before, namely in Veil, for apparently falsefying a meeting with Casey on his deathbed.  So all that he writes is not gold, either.  See Gates's From the Shadows and see Persico's Casey.
 
 In any case, these are not professional historical reconstructions, and are not based on the kinds of evidence we require to make the kinds of "totally on the fly" conclusions you and Bulsajo and others are alleging.
 
 It is too hot right now to make these conclusions anyway.
 
 The environment is too partisan and bitter.
 
 And we are way too close to this event to come to sound conclusions about it.
 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:30 pm; edited 1 time in total
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		| bucheon bum 
 
 
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 2:40 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Gopher, you have too much faith in your gov't.  I'll leave it at that. |  | 
	
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 2:42 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| [deleted] 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:32 pm; edited 1 time in total
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		| bucheon bum 
 
 
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 2:59 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Gopher, who is saying anything about a conspiricy? When I talk about faith in gov't here, I'm not talking about honesty and openness.  I don't think Bush has tried to deceive us or anything like that.  I'm strictly refering to your faith in the competance of the people that run our country. 
 edit: If I were infering anything like a conspiricy, cover up, et al. then why would I be making an argument they had no plan to begin with?? The two contradict each other.
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 3:53 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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	  | bucheon bum wrote: |  
	  | Gopher, who is saying anything about a conspiricy? When I talk about faith in gov't here, I'm not talking about honesty and openness. |  
 Then I misunderstood.  Your comment about faith in the govt came after I cited govt-derived sources.
 
 
 
 
	  | bucheon bum wrote: |  
	  | [A]I don't think Bush has tried to deceive us or anything like that.  I'm strictly refering to [B]your faith in the competance of the people that run our country. |  
 Glad we can agree on A.
 
 I think you've misread me on B, then, because I don't necessarily disagree with this.  I don't think the govt has shown great competency in too many things in its history, esp. not in Iraq.  I am still pretty sure that we didn't simply move into Iraq without any thought whatsoever about what we wanted to do there.  I mentioned that our plan -- or if you prefer, "our thinking" -- was "naive" and "simplistic," and I'll add, "short-term" and "ill-considered" to that list of adjectives.
 
 That was what you apparently took exception to -- correct me if I'm wrong.
 
 Once you objected to what I had said, suggesting that I read Woodward and the others, I merely pointed out that the debate is extremely politicized, our information and data is very incomplete, and it would be prudent to wait to get all of the evidence before jumping to conclusions about U.S. motives in moving in Iraq.
 
 Powell and Tenet have been conspicuously silent, as is the tradition when you have served under a sitting president.
 
 But aren't you the least bit curious to see what they might publish on the question after W. Bush is out of office?
 
 Don't you want to see the contemporaneous dox that will be declassified sooner or later from the NSC and Pentagon?
 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
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		| Ya-ta Boy 
 
 
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 Location: Established in 1994
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:24 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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	  | The books you cite are journalist accounts |  
 
 
 
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	  | these are not professional historical reconstructions, and are not based on the kinds of evidence we require to make the kinds of "totally on the fly" conclusions |  
 
 Someone said journalism is the record of history in the making. We live in the here and now and have to form attitudes and make decisions with what evidence we have.
 
 Historians work decades and centuries later, without the pressure of time demanding decisions and action in the present. They have a luxury in their work that we do not have in our lives.
 
 Whether it is true or not, it appears the Bush administration entered into the Iraq war with little or no plan for its resolution. The belief that it is true is shaping people's attitudes and will influence their vote. Discussion of that belief is legitimate.
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		| Bulsajo 
 
  
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:29 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Gopher you don't need to wait around for docs to become declassified, there is plenty of damning evidence all around. Get your hands on Assassin's Gate, for starters.
 You don't even have to buy it- just go to Bandi and Luni's, or Kyobo, or What the Book one afternoon, sit down, and read chapter 4, "Special Plans".
 It's only 49 pages, you could do it in less than an hour.
 
 
   click to go to Amazon
 
 Reviews of Assassin's gate:
 http://www.metacritic.com/books/authors/packergeorge/assassinsgate
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:34 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Ya-ta:  journalists consider themselves and their profession to be an unofficial fourth branch of govt. 
 You are failing to consider that they too often get caught up in making history rather than merely reporting it to be as reliable as you seem to be suggesting here.
 
 But, in any case, people are free to believe whatever they want.
 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
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		| Bulsajo 
 
  
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:39 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| Gopher, how can you say this without having read the source? |  | 
	
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:44 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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	  | Bulsajo wrote: |  
	  | Gopher, how can you say this without having read the source? |  
 I was speaking of journalistic writing in general, not Packard's book specifically.
 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:36 pm; edited 4 times in total
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		| Ya-ta Boy 
 
 
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 Location: Established in 1994
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:50 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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	  | You are failing to consider that they too often get caught up in making history rather than merely reporting it to be as reliable as you seem to be suggesting here. 
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 No I'm not failing to consider it. It is an uncomfortable fact of life. We have to live in a car going forward without knowing what is happening around the corner. Historians work in a library. It is unreasonable to expect people to live their lives like an historian in a library.
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		| Gopher 
 
  
 Joined: 04 Jun 2005
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:54 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| [deleted] 
 Last edited by Gopher on Tue Jun 13, 2006 2:27 pm; edited 1 time in total
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		| Bulsajo 
 
  
 Joined: 16 Jan 2003
 
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 5:55 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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	  | Gopher wrote: |  
	  | I was speaking of journalistic writing in general, not Packard's book specifically.
 
 |  Fair enough.  But with regard to post war planning (lack thereof), read that part of Packer's book.
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		| mithridates 
 
  
 Joined: 03 Mar 2003
 Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency
 
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				|  Posted: Fri Mar 24, 2006 6:59 pm    Post subject: |   |  
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				| If we're still talking about overall competence (I hope we are), there are two types: one is the collecting of info and making long-term plans, and the other is just a basic one that can be used on the fly and keeps one from making errors on the spot, especially ones that can be created by too much group-think. The second type is a kind of instinct that is really built up from a lot of seemingly unrelated experience. An example would be that disaster of a new flag thought up for Iraq in the beginning of the occupation - it was made after a lot of thought about the two rivers that make up Mesopotamia, a moon above for Islam, and a few other bits. What was missing though was the kind of common sense where a person would take a look at the flag and say "uh, that looks like Israel. They're not going to like that." 
 
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