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Real Reality
Joined: 10 Jan 2003 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Wed Apr 26, 2006 4:34 pm Post subject: America's rags-to-riches dream an illusion |
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America's rags-to-riches dream an illusion: study
America may still think of itself as the land of opportunity, but the chances of living a rags-to-riches life are a lot lower than elsewhere in the world, according to a new study published on Wednesday.
The likelihood that a child born into a poor family will make it into the top five percent is just one percent, according to "Understanding Mobility in America," a study by economist Tom Hertz from American University.
By contrast, a child born rich had a 22 percent chance of being rich as an adult, he said. "In other words, the chances of getting rich are about 20 times higher if you are born rich than if you are born in a low-income family," he told an audience at the Center for American Progress, a liberal think-tank sponsoring the work.
... "In the United States this would be 22 percent; in Denmark it would be two percent," he said....
By Alister Bull, Rueters via YAHOO! News (April 26, 2006)
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060426/ts_nm/economy_mobility_dc |
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Tiger Beer

Joined: 07 Feb 2003
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Posted: Wed Apr 26, 2006 6:02 pm Post subject: Re: America's rags-to-riches dream an illusion |
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I can't believe some of these guys actually get paid to do these studies.
1% chance of a poor kid making it to the top 5% wealth-wise in the US is pretty damn incredible. This author's point that 22% of the rich also make it to the 5% still doesn't take away 1% of the poor make it as well. Incredible.
The author needs to leave the US.. go to Latin America.. the wealth stays with the wealthy and the poor has about 0.000001% unless your Pele. |
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Wangja

Joined: 17 May 2004 Location: Seoul, Yongsan
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Posted: Wed Apr 26, 2006 6:13 pm Post subject: |
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Or, play the game the other way round; if 22% of the rich make the top 5%, 78% fail.
"Every silver lining has a cloud". |
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mithridates

Joined: 03 Mar 2003 Location: President's office, Korean Space Agency
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Posted: Wed Apr 26, 2006 6:31 pm Post subject: |
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The New York Times had a three-day report on this very subject last year, coming to much the same conclusions. |
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Yo!Chingo

Joined: 06 Dec 2005 Location: Seoul Korea
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Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 2:06 am Post subject: Re: America's rags-to-riches dream an illusion |
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Tiger Beer wrote: |
I can't believe some of these guys actually get paid to do these studies.
1% chance of a poor kid making it to the top 5% wealth-wise in the US is pretty damn incredible. This author's point that 22% of the rich also make it to the 5% still doesn't take away 1% of the poor make it as well. Incredible.
The author needs to leave the US.. go to Latin America.. the wealth stays with the wealthy and the poor has about 0.000001% unless your Pele. |
Yeah, what Tiger Beer Said. America is still the golden land of opportunity no matter what anyone sais. My husband is a 1st generation American and he's making 20 times what his kin are making in their home country. They're practically begging to get into the States. |
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Real Reality
Joined: 10 Jan 2003 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 5:28 am Post subject: |
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Outstanding Public Debt as of April 27, 2006: $8,363,642,209,892.
The estimated population of the United States is 298,597,830
so each citizen's share of this debt is $28,009.72.
http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock
The Debt To the Penny
04/25/2006 $8,362,302,809,419.88
http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpenny.htm
In the last 5 years, only the top 5 percent of the country had an increase in wages that met inflation.
College tuition has risen 34% in 5 years
Health Care cost have doubled in 5 years.
$3 a gallon gas prices even though The Bush Admin gave the oil companies billions.
record deficits (over 350 billion each year since 00)
a war that is going to cost (depends on who you ask) $1.1 or $2 trillion (the entire national budget is $2.1 trillion a year)
the largest unfunded liability entitlement program in the last 40 years (and the provision to lower the cost of prescriptions by negotiation was removed by republicans)
5 years after 911 the borders are not secured
5 years after 911 the commission has given more "f"s then 'a's
continually ignored our free trade partners. (continue to allow them to sell things here but they refuse the same.)
selling out to big business (energy bill, prescription drug bill, open borders, less enviromental concerns)
U.S. schools continue to close. Schools supported by U.S. funds open in Iraq.
Bush has continued to cut funding for education programs and college student loans.
The administration has continued under funding the no child left behind act.
In math and science standards over the last 5 years, America has went from 12th to 22 (out of 25)
FEMA and The Department of Homeland Security |
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Cigar_Guy

Joined: 05 Dec 2005
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Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 6:13 am Post subject: |
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There's a lot to parse in what you said, and a lot I agree with (the old Reagan line about Congress spending like a drunken sailor is unfair to the drunken sailors certainly holds true for the current administration and congress), but this is just nonsense:
Real Reality wrote: |
U.S. schools continue to close. Schools supported by U.S. funds open in Iraq.
Bush has continued to cut funding for education programs and college student loans.
The administration has continued under funding the no child left behind act.
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First of all, how are you complaining about an increasing national debt and then about cuts in spending? For all the talk about the "Public Debt," what you're really citing is the debt of the federal government. It's fine if you want to say it's too high, but don't turn around and say we also need higher spending. Oh, what's that? Just raise taxes? Yes, that's worked brilliantly everywhere it's been tried.
Second (and more important) is the fact that Education spending has undergone enormous increases in the last few years. Under Bush (who enjoys a Republican congress elected, in part, on a promise to abolish the Department of Education), Federal Education spending has gone up 135%. He is the only president in recent memory who has not cut spending in any Federal department. No one is really a fan of debt (though if you compare it to GDP, you'll see that our debt is much much lower than other industrialized nations), but let's not bander about this nonsense that we haven't been seeing huge increases in expenditures.
As to the original story, I'm not going to nitpick it too much, but just give a bit of useful parsing. The study takes a look at people born into the US (over what time period, I don't know), but it doesn't examine immigrants. You can look at what Yo!Chingo mentioned, but I'll bring up my own family's story. My father and his family were living in Cuba when Castro took over, and like countless others immigrated to the US. While his family had a bit more money than many others, they were hardly swimming in dough (and his father had just died, leaving his mother to take care of the four kids). Today they're all doing well, as are a ton of other people in their situation (obvious to anyone who's ever been to Miami).
One last point that this brings up--what is this "top 1%" as being rich nonsense? Do you know how much money you can earn and spend in this country and still be only in the top 10%? Thinking that only the very top people are "rich" in a country as wealthy as ours is nonsense on stilts. |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 6:17 am Post subject: |
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It's always been an iffy thing for someone born poor to make it big. The one thing the US had to offer was the absence of artificial barriers like a rigid class system to add to the obstacles. |
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khyber
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Compunction Junction
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Posted: Thu Apr 27, 2006 8:37 pm Post subject: |
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http://facstaff.uww.edu/mohanp/theory9a.html
regarding upwards mobility:
Perhaps this will shed more light:
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... in a recent Op-Ed piece in The New York Times, W. Michael Cox and Richard Alm acknowledge that the wealth of poor families has been falling at the same time that the wealth of rich families has been rising, and ask, "So what?"
Mr. Cox and Mr. Alm suggest that mobility along the income ladder is serving as an antidote to inequality. But exactly how much mobility is there? According to them, quite a lot. "America isn't a caste society," they say, citing a study by the Federal Reserve that shows that only 5 percent of the poorest 20 percent of people stayed in that lowest income group over a 17-year period. Everyone else moved higher.
But this stunning statistic is stunningly misleading.
Prof. Peter Gottschalk of Boston College points out that the Fed study counts teenagers and young adults from upper-income families who work part time while in school as moving upward when they find higher-paying jobs after graduation.
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Here is the Economists take (kinda long and...sorry i don't have time to read it now...)
http://economist.com/world/na/displayStory.cfm?story_id=3518560 |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Posted: Fri Apr 28, 2006 7:32 am Post subject: |
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Whos going to be first to tell the koreans?
The idea that the US is a paradise of easy living where anyone can be a millionaire is very prevalent in the third world and elsewhere.
The media portrayal and worldwide export of American culture has simultaneously beneffitted and harmed the US: perhaps its time they thought about sending out Tv shows that depict homess people, crime ridden ghettoes and unemployment qeues. Might help stem the flow of idealistic immigrants flooding the place. |
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Cigar_Guy

Joined: 05 Dec 2005
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Posted: Fri Apr 28, 2006 7:45 am Post subject: |
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rapier wrote: |
Whos going to be first to tell the koreans?
The idea that the US is a paradise of easy living where anyone can be a millionaire is very prevalent in the third world and elsewhere.
The media portrayal and worldwide export of American culture has simultaneously beneffitted and harmed the US: perhaps its time they thought about sending out Tv shows that depict homess people, crime ridden ghettoes and unemployment qeues. Might help stem the flow of idealistic immigrants flooding the place. |
Well, considering that there's two broad kinds of immigrants (skilled and unskilled), we can get a little more specific.
First of all, we don't need to worry too much about the skilled ones. While they do amazingly well in the US, we put pretty tight restrictions on how many of them we let in every year. God forbid we be overrun by English-speaking research scientists and the like.
On the other hand, we have the unskilled immigrants who swarm across an undefended border all the time. The fact that they won't become millionaires isn't that much of a problem, as they're only intersted in working for $5 an hour jobs (then demand government benefits to cover all sorts of things), which will still secure them a much higher standard of living than in the failed societies that they come from.
Of course, if we're interested in telling the truth about immigration to countries overseas, we could easily show them the data that shows that certain groups of people (particularly from Asia) tend to perform very well, both themselves and their children. Anyone who's spent any real time in America knows this to be true. |
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Tiger Beer

Joined: 07 Feb 2003
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Posted: Fri Apr 28, 2006 9:17 am Post subject: |
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rapier wrote: |
The idea that the US is a paradise of easy living where anyone can be a millionaire is very prevalent in the third world and elsewhere.
The media portrayal and worldwide export of American culture has simultaneously beneffitted and harmed the US: perhaps its time they thought about sending out Tv shows that depict homess people, crime ridden ghettoes and unemployment qeues. Might help stem the flow of idealistic immigrants flooding the place. |
I always remember trekking in Nepal and having an 18-year-old tour guide who dropped out of school when he was 13. He had a big house, making all kinds of money as a tour guide, had all kinds of modern conveniences living in Kathmandu. Everything you'd want anywhere else in the world.
His dream was to go to the US and he had this impression he'd instantly have cars, houses, girls tenfold or something. The reality is he'd be living in some ghetto building in some crack-infested neighborhood with 3 other roommates trying to scrape by at some unskilled labour type of job.. saving up every penny he could possibly get to buy a house back in Nepal and get the hell back out of there!
The US really works for those who have immense ambitions and have a lot of dreams they want to pursue. Its not that good of a place for just living some easy life, as its simply not that easy living there doing nothing.
Fortunately many of the Mexican immigrants, even though many are illegal, are some of the hard-working people I've ever met. Usually they don't work hard in the 'want to be wealthy' part.. they seem to be more in the family-oriented direction.. providing for the family and just family, people-oriented in general.
If they really wanted to be 'wealthy' though.. its more essential to go down the intensive education route as well as delaying the having a family and kids part - the ambition part. That seems to be more the Asian immigrant choice of pursuing life in the U.S. |
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rapier
Joined: 16 Feb 2003
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Cigar_Guy

Joined: 05 Dec 2005
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Posted: Tue May 02, 2006 7:22 am Post subject: |
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Any chance that Al Sharpton was speaking nearby?
I'm just asking. |
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