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Low Birth Rate in Korea
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shortskirt_longjacket



Joined: 06 Jun 2004
Location: fitz and ernie are my raison d'etre

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 1:28 am    Post subject: Low Birth Rate in Korea Reply with quote

Article from today's Korea Herald:

http://www.koreaherald.co.kr/SITE/data/html_dir/2006/05/09/200605090046.asp

Why is a low birth rate seen as a bad thing? Why must Korea (or any other country) maintain its population? I was under the impression that the world could benefit from a little population control.

Thoughts on this?
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Hanson



Joined: 20 Oct 2004

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 1:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Aging population, low tax base, not enough $$$ to take care of a lot of old people.

Population control should probably happen more in developing countries than the rich ones...
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Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 1:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cheers to Korea for recognizing the problem and doing something about it...although it is hard for a country to do anything about a problem as serious as declining birthrates (or having too high a birthrate).
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shortskirt_longjacket



Joined: 06 Jun 2004
Location: fitz and ernie are my raison d'etre

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 1:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hanson, your response raises another question for me...does the gov't do much to take care of older people here? I'm not very educated on the matter...I was under the impression that families took care of their own elderly relatives. Also, I see so many old (like, really old...85+) men and women working crappy jobs (hauling recycling, sweeping up subway stations, collecting used newspapers on the subway, etc) that I guess I just sort of assumed that any social-security-type program is in no way enough to support an old person (in America, Social Security benefits hardly support the retired folks there, but you hardly ever see really old people working there).
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rapier



Joined: 16 Feb 2003

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 4:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
Cheers to Korea for recognizing the problem and doing something about it...although it is hard for a country to do anything about a problem as serious as declining birthrates (or having too high a birthrate).


Korea is one of the most crowded areas on the planet, yet they want to make more people??
If they are really worried about not having enough workers (presumably to do the low-end manual jobs), they could simply allow greater immigration of people from third world countries. Problem solved.
However my guess is that they want the new people to be ethnic Koreans, not foreigners. Still clinging to the pure race policy?
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Moldy Rutabaga



Joined: 01 Jul 2003
Location: Ansan, Korea

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 4:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

[....]

Last edited by Moldy Rutabaga on Thu Jan 02, 2014 8:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 5:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A declining birthrate would not be a bad thing if it were gradual. Very gradual. Korea could use 10 or so few million people. But the problem is that it is coming too fast. Who will support the elderly if the government won't, and the government here doesn't. Think of the old ladies on the street trying to sell their mountain weeds. They wouldn't be there if the government (or someone) would support them.

Where I'm from has a big problem. A hundred years ago or so the wolves were killed off. Then the laws restricting hunting of deer by humans were made stricter. Suddenly (20 years later), every third person is slamming into a deer while driving down the highway at night. This is not good. Slamming into a deer at 60 mph means your car can go spinning off the highway.

Regulated management of population growth and decline can be good. Precipitate growth and/or decline causes problems. With humans, BIG problems.
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canuckistan
Mod Team
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Joined: 17 Jun 2003
Location: Training future GS competitors.....

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 7:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Either Korea offers more incentives for people to become parents of more children or they'll have to consider immigration.

Offering incentives doesn't usually work that well. So immigration it is--yet even many Koreans want to get out of Korea.

Which nation(s) should Korea favour as having prospective immigrant material?
I suspect for now this is a hard idea for them to have to think about.
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Hanson



Joined: 20 Oct 2004

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 7:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shortskirt_longjacket wrote:
Hanson, your response raises another question for me...does the gov't do much to take care of older people here? I'm not very educated on the matter...I was under the impression that families took care of their own elderly relatives. Also, I see so many old (like, really old...85+) men and women working crappy jobs (hauling recycling, sweeping up subway stations, collecting used newspapers on the subway, etc) that I guess I just sort of assumed that any social-security-type program is in no way enough to support an old person (in America, Social Security benefits hardly support the retired folks there, but you hardly ever see really old people working there).


I certainly don't claim to be an expert, but more older people means less of a tax base for the country, which means serious problems to all government services. Imagine a situation in Korea where 20 years from now, all the 50+ year olds retire and don't put in to the tax base for the country. To compound the situation, there aren't enough young people putting in to the tax system. Where does that leave the country?

As for the old people you see collecting cardboard, rubbish and the like; it's a means to an end, and definitely not something Koreans are proud of. There isn't much of a social security/retirement program in Korea (as far as I'm aware) and the younger people are responsbile for taking care of their elderly (parents). However, with fewer young people paying more tax to make up for the shortfall, something's gotta give.

Korea can't afford to have an aging population, hence the worrying.
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JongnoGuru



Joined: 25 May 2004
Location: peeing on your doorstep

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 7:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
A declining birthrate would not be a bad thing if it were gradual. Very gradual. Korea could use 10 or so few million people. But the problem is that it is coming too fast. Who will support the elderly if the government won't, and the government here doesn't. Think of the old ladies on the street trying to sell their mountain weeds. They wouldn't be there if the government (or someone) would support them.

What he said. Someone was asking why overcrowded Korea wants more people. It's not "more", it's "same", they want to just maintain if they can, but even that they're nowhere close to doing.

Quote:
Where I'm from has a big problem. A hundred years ago or so the wolves were killed off. Then the laws restricting hunting of deer by humans were made stricter. Suddenly (20 years later), every third person is slamming into a deer while driving down the highway at night. This is not good. Slamming into a deer at 60 mph means your car can go spinning off the highway.

Again, yes. And one doesn't need to hypothesise or study the animal kingdom to get a good sense of things to come. Just look at Korea's own rural communities now, today, in 2006. Schools built barely 20 years ago, some with a fair amount of land, full infrastructure, roads, ancillary buildings, landscaping, statuary(!), that I've looked at with friends -- to buy! They're that cheap, they're empty and derelict. One friend has already done this. And just 20 years ago they were full of students. Gives you a rough idea how fast things change.

Or look at industrialised countries with their "rust belts", etc., where populations ossify demographically, economically and politically. Sure, residents there can move to a high-growth area, or hang on and wait for a turnaround, grow old and die off, but the rest of the country keeps on humming along. But when we're dealing with this on a national scale, LOOK OUT. THE PAIN!! THE PAIN!!

Quote:
Regulated management of population growth and decline can be good. Precipitate growth and/or decline causes problems. With humans, BIG problems.

Mm-hm.

canuckistan wrote:
Either Korea offers more incentives for people to become parents of more children or they'll have to consider immigration.

Offering incentives doesn't usually work that well. So immigration it is--yet even many Koreans want to get out of Korea.

A. Make More Babies!
(and if incentives alone don't work, throw in some threats & coercion. Nothing beats the ol' carrot-&-stick)

B. Open the Borders!
(already taking place, but is it enough?)

However, you forgot:

C. Build Smarter Robots!
(hey, if it's good enough for Japan...)

and

D. Reduce English Teachers' Salaries!
(because the fastest way to higher natality is through reducing Korea's bloated private education expenditure) Wink (<-- means "not serious". Please don't poison my drink at the get-together.)
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Real Reality



Joined: 10 Jan 2003
Location: Seoul

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 4:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Population Density Ranks Third in World
... The nation's population density is as much as 10 times the world average and four times the average of Asian nations.
By Kim Jae-kyoung, Korea Times (July 10, 2005)
http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/200507/kt2005071018134110220.htm

No kids, no problem: The choice against conception
... "If we were to have children, it would be our duty to give them our utmost love and care," she said. "But for us, the idea that a person has to have children is not a matter of course. We just think we would be happier without a child."
by Baik Sung-ho, Limb Jae-un, JoongAng Daily (October 12, 2005)
http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200510/11/200510111651549839900091009101.html

Koreans Voice Bedroom Frustrations
Korean respondents ranked at the bottom in a survey on the sex life .... Korea was also in last place after Japan as for the frequency of sexual intercourse. 43.3% of Korean men had sex twice or three times a month, while 34.7% of women reported that they had sex only once or not at all.
Chosun Ilbo (February 9, 2006)
http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/news/200602/200602090037.html

Women Take 11 Months After First Meeting to Have Sex
Chosun Ilbo (July 5, 2004)
http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/news/200407/200407050030.html

Korean Men World's Most Selfish in Bed: Survey
Chosun Ilbo (March 23, 2006)
http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/news/200603/200603230006.html

Survey Finds Alarming Number of Korean Men Impotent
Chosun Ilbo (June 13, 2005)
http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/news/200506/200506130017.html

Koreans' sperm is found slack
JoongAng Daily (February 26, 2005)
http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200502/25/200502252224458779900090409041.html
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desultude



Joined: 15 Jan 2003
Location: Dangling my toes in the Persian Gulf

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 4:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have a all female class of graduate students of prime reproductive age- late twenties to late thirties. Most are not married and have no children. Whe we discuss the issue, it is clear that getting married is on their minds, but not in their hearts, and having children even less so.

Some of the students did a presentation on low birthrate and male and female attitudes. A high percentage of women in Korea think neither marriage nor children are necessary. Men have the opposite view.

This same thing has happened in Japan. Women get educated, want careers, etc.. Having a husband and children in Korea makes that very difficult. The women's attitudes about such things have changed, but the men's stay stuck in the mid-20th century.

I think part of the hysteria about low birth rates has to do with the discomfort with the changing attitudes of women. "Old" workers (late forties) are still forced out of jobs to make room for younger ones. It seems that extending the working life into the sixties gives a lot more time to adjust to fewer babies. My senior students are incredibly concerned about finding jobs. There are structural changes in Korea that could prevent a crisis of aging, but it will take the men changing their attitudes about a lot of things such as their role in the family, the situation of women, and the continued employment of people in the prime of their work lives.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 7:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Until someone figures out a way to make the 24-hour-a-day care and maintainence of small children for years on end fulfilling to more people, societies where people have control over the number of children they have will continue to face declining birth rates.
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khyber



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Compunction Junction

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 8:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not sure why everyone is complaining about the government. Is there even such a THING as a nursing home in korea?
Do old korean people get money from the state?

I've always been under the impression that old people go to live with CHILDREN (preferably theirs) or live by themselves.
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Troll_Bait



Joined: 04 Jan 2006
Location: [T]eaching experience doesn't matter much. -Lee Young-chan (pictured)

PostPosted: Tue May 09, 2006 10:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Real Reality wrote:
Koreans' sperm is found slack
JoongAng Daily (February 26, 2005)
http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200502/25/200502252224458779900090409041.html


Yeah, that's the problem.

Korean sperm aren't the Olympic-class swimmers that they ought to be.

The solution: in vitro training!
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