Site Search:
 
Speak Korean Now!
Teach English Abroad and Get Paid to see the World!
Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index Korean Job Discussion Forums
"The Internet's Meeting Place for ESL/EFL Teachers from Around the World!"
 
 FAQFAQ   SearchSearch   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   RegisterRegister 
 ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

Chinese Hegemony?

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index -> Current Events Forum
View previous topic :: View next topic  

Chinese Hegemony?
I think Chinese hegemony is inevitable and good.
4%
 4%  [ 1 ]
I think Chinese hegemony is inevitable and bad.
17%
 17%  [ 4 ]
I don't think Chinese hegemony is inevitable.
78%
 78%  [ 18 ]
Other.
0%
 0%  [ 0 ]
Total Votes : 23

Author Message
Gopher



Joined: 04 Jun 2005

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 9:08 pm    Post subject: Chinese Hegemony? Reply with quote

Just a pulse check...
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Kuros



Joined: 27 Apr 2004

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 9:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Chinese right now cannot even project power into their own provinces. Reports tell us that Manchurian labor is disgruntled and rebellious, meanwhile Xinjiang has problems with its Uigher natives. Meanwhile, China is contained by Everest to the South, Nothingness to the North, and Taiwan and Korea to the East. The only place they can go is West.

China will not become a global hegemon in my lifetime, but if it turns some of its corruption around it could certainly be in the running for a regionally dominant power.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message AIM Address
manlyboy



Joined: 01 Aug 2004
Location: Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 10:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rapidly increasing pollution and the one child per family rule suggests the Chinese may end up sick and old before they end up rich and powerful.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
jaganath69



Joined: 17 Jul 2003

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 11:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Does China wish to project power is the better question.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Yahoo Messenger MSN Messenger
Hater Depot



Joined: 29 Mar 2005

PostPosted: Wed May 10, 2006 11:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Their economy may appear to be roaring along but vast swathes of people in the rural provinces are not being included in that. And the banking system is likely very corrupt and full of bad debt. South Korea overcame those problems, but in a way, SK actually had many more factors in its favor. I don't see China wanting to project power anywhere other than Taiwan and North Korea, but I do worry that it might undergo a severe economic crisis that drags down the whole region a la 1997-98.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Satori



Joined: 09 Dec 2005
Location: Above it all

PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 3:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kuros wrote:
The Chinese right now cannot even project power into their own provinces. Reports tell us that Manchurian labor is disgruntled and rebellious, meanwhile Xinjiang has problems with its Uigher natives. Meanwhile, China is contained by Everest to the South, Nothingness to the North, and Taiwan and Korea to the East. The only place they can go is West.

China will not become a global hegemon in my lifetime, but if it turns some of its corruption around it could certainly be in the running for a regionally dominant power.

Hegemony now days is not about physical expansion but economic and diplomatic power. I don't see China having anything to gain in military adventures. I do see them becoming an economic powerhouse though. Well, maybe. Im not sure it would be a bad thing.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
mindmetoo



Joined: 02 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Thu May 11, 2006 3:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There was a really good sci fi series written back in '90s called CHUNG KUO: THE MIDDLE KINGDOM. This was back when the Japanese were wiping the floor with the US trade wise and Bush Sr was puking up sushi and begging Japan to play fair. It hypothesized a future of China Uber Alles. Great prose although the first couple books dwell a bit too much on weird violent sex. I think the series runs into 9 books, dozens of characters... Probably a lot of it is out of print.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Nowhere Man



Joined: 08 Feb 2004

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 3:46 am    Post subject: ... Reply with quote

I chose option 4. Hegemony is a bit too much. Don't think I can predict that. Rather, will China become a 2nd superpower? Yes.

I assume that Goph is at least in part calling this poll based on my comments, so I'll add this:

Is the US financing China's rise? Yes.

Can a capitalist authoritarian state outproduce a capitalist republican state?

I think yes, but I think the bigger question is whether they can out-innovate.

In this respect, I don't think so.

Disclaimer: Would China becoming a hegemon be good? No. But as I stated above...I think the poll is jumping the obvious.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
some waygug-in



Joined: 25 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 4:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think China will increasingly become a major economic force in the world, just from the sheer population numbers, low wages, lack of labor standards etc. This will have a huge economic impact on the rest of the world...........including the US, but I don't think China will become a superpower any time soon.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Bulsajo



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 12:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

jaganath69 wrote:
Does China wish to project power is the better question.

I think that's a no-brainer as far as the current regime is concerned.
Will it change with some new blood in upper tiers?
I kind of doubt it. Sinologists can confirm this or not, as the case may be, but I believe [edit: "China"] recapturing its dominant position over Asia as an old and strongly felt goal, sort of a Chinese version of the Spanish reconquista, or perhaps a Chinese equivalent of the US' Manifest Destiny.


Last edited by Bulsajo on Fri May 12, 2006 12:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Bulsajo



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 12:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hegemony?
When I think of Hegemony I break it into categories- economic, cultural, military...
And I also think there is regional and global scope.

Will China have complete Hegemony (economic, cultural, political) on a global scale?
I don't know, but I doubt it.

Will it have total regional Hegemony?
More possible, but I think Russia, Japan and India won't let it happen easily, if they can.

I think the implied question, or rather broader question, inherent in the op is "what sort of system will we see in the future?"

We went from 5-6 Great Powers to 2 Superpowers to 1 Superpower; Will the US remain the superpower or will another take its place?
Will we possibly see a 3 superpower system- US, China, Russia?
Or will things revert to a Pre-WWI great power system, with EU, Russia, India, China, Japan, USA all jockeying for position through numerous alliances and rivalries?
I hope not, because that situation led to 2 world wars already, and i think that's enough.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Bo Peabody



Joined: 25 Aug 2005

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 12:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[deleted]

Last edited by Bo Peabody on Thu May 02, 2013 1:05 pm; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Bulsajo



Joined: 16 Jan 2003

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 12:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mindmetoo wrote:
There was a really good sci fi series written back in '90s called CHUNG KUO: THE MIDDLE KINGDOM.

Thanks for reminding me, I had always meant to get around to reading that, never did.

You can also see (for example) signs of a hypothetical future Chinese cultural hegemony throughout the Firefly S-F series (and the movie "Serenity").
I think it was probably simply a 'cool-factor' rather than a serious prediction of Chinese cultural dominance, but, since the series is dead I guess we'll never know.




It's funny but right now KOREAN cultural hegemony seems more of a possibility than Chinese; Korean pop stars and soap operas are huge in China (my 'brother in law' is the Korean vice president of a large Chinese corp headquartered in Shanghai) and Korean 'dramas' are even making inroads among the american soap opera watching crowd. Not my cup of tea as far as 'culture' is concerned, but credit where credit is due- after living for over 5 years in Korea, I never saw this coming...
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
igotthisguitar



Joined: 08 Apr 2003
Location: South Korea (Permanent Vacation)

PostPosted: Fri May 12, 2006 8:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

1950 Chinese occupation of Tibet

1950-53 Korean War



The Chinese Invade Tibet
by Richard Cavendish

October 7th, 1950

There is some uncertainty over the precise date, but it was apparently on October 7th that units of the Chinese so-called People's Liberation Army crossed the River Yangtze into Kham, the eastern province of Tibet in the foothills of the Himalayas.

Varying estimates put their numbers at 40,000 or more than 80,000, but either way they were in overwhelming strength. The invasion had been planned in detail by Deng Xiaoping, a future Chinese premier, and two other senior Communist officials in China's Southwest Military Region.

The rest of the world was preoccupied with events in Korea at the time, but the Chinese Communist regime had been announcing its intention of integrating Tibet with 'the motherland' for months. The Tibetan government in Lhasa, which had appealed for help in vain to both Britain and the United States, declined to receive Chinese emissaries, though a Tibetan delegation in India held inconclusive talks with the Chinese ambassador there.

Back in January, Beijing had released a telegram from the Panchen Lama to Chairman Mao. 'On behalf of the Tibetan people, we respectfully plead for troops to be sent to liberate Tibet, to wipe out reactionaries, expel the imperialists � and liberate the Tibetan people.'

The Panchen Lama was traditionally one of the most important religious figures in Tibet. This one was twelve years old and living in China.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website Yahoo Messenger
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    Korean Job Discussion Forums Forum Index -> Current Events Forum All times are GMT - 8 Hours
Page 1 of 1

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum


This page is maintained by the one and only Dave Sperling.
Contact Dave's ESL Cafe
Copyright © 2018 Dave Sperling. All Rights Reserved.

Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2002 phpBB Group

TEFL International Supports Dave's ESL Cafe
TEFL Courses, TESOL Course, English Teaching Jobs - TEFL International