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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Sun Oct 22, 2006 9:49 pm Post subject: |
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| Since the current crisis is just a continuation of the '94 crisis, please refresh my memory. What did Clinton do back in '93-'94 that made the Norks feel they need to make nukes to defend themselves? |
Do you mean what did the US do since 1945 that would make N.Korea feel insecure of their sovereinty and seek a possible military deterent?
hmmm, do I have to answer that one?
Besides, the crisis in 1990's was due the "alleged" intent of N.Korea to develop nukes. They were then about where Iran is right now, which as the IAEA put it, "are at minimum 10 years from developing nukes". Infact the desire was to scrap the project in exchange for security from the US. The program has always been about gaining a bargaining chip to secure an actual end to the still officially "unended" Korean War. |
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Hater Depot
Joined: 29 Mar 2005
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Posted: Sun Oct 22, 2006 11:07 pm Post subject: |
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I think you're assuming that the North's government wants an official end to the war. I think it is much more likely that they are not much interested in a peace treaty; it would be too likely to put to bed the foundation of the "military-first" policy which is keeping Kim Jong-il in power. His own internal political needs dictate that he keep the population fearful of an attack and the military satisfied that it is essential. A peace treaty could jeopardize all that.
The North's repeated rejection of multilateral treaty negotiations is evidence for this.
And over the decades it's certainly not as if North Korea's behavior has been very conducive to making South Korea feel secure about its sovereignty. That street goes two ways. |
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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Sun Oct 22, 2006 11:46 pm Post subject: |
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sure i'm assuming that north korea wants to end the threat of another korean war...
just like you're assuming that the kim regime needs the threat to maintain his hold on his people...
here as always, differing interpretations will be based on differing sources of propaganda.
but are you perhaps, unconsciously, projecting the situation at home (with our commander in chief having maintained his hold on power through the manufactured terrorist threat), onto the n.korean domestic power structure?
besides, if the threat was kim's way of maintaining power, wouldn't the most effective means for regime change be for the US to normalize relations, and reduce the threat?
Last edited by jhaelin on Mon Oct 23, 2006 5:01 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Mon Oct 23, 2006 2:18 am Post subject: |
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Do you mean what did the US do since 1945 that would make N.Korea feel insecure of their sovereinty and seek a possible military deterent?
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No, I meant my question as stated. After the Norks signed the non-nuke deal with the South, what did the US (or anyone else) do that lead the North to break their promise and begin to make nukes in the early '90s?
For your thesis to hold up, you have to present evidence that the US broke the status quo that followed the '53 armistice.
So I ask again, what new aggressive threatening policy vis a vis the North did the US adopt in the early '90s? |
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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Mon Oct 23, 2006 5:01 am Post subject: |
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No, I meant my question as stated. After the Norks signed the non-nuke deal with the South, what did the US (or anyone else) do that lead the North to break their promise and begin to make nukes in the early '90s? For your thesis to hold up, you have to present evidence that the US broke the status quo that followed the '53 armistice.
So I ask again, what new aggressive threatening policy vis a vis the North did the US adopt in the early '90s? |
If you don't appreciate my sarcasm, than atleast go back and see the development of this thread.
But if you still want me to specifically address your question, than consider the chronology of the crisis starting from your 1953 armistice date; at which time no agreement regarding nuclear weapons was signed by South nor North Korea. North Korea signed the NPT in 1985, at which point it did violate the requirement to sign the "Safeguard Agreement" within 18 months of joining. So N.Korea was guilty of not signing a piece of paper, while the biggest nuclear power in the World (aka our government) was providing nukes to South Korea, performing military/nuclear exercises on the peninsula, and breaking their own obligations to the NPT as a nuclear possessing power.
Now if you would consider opening yourself to the prespectives of others then consider the following quote from a North Korean official at the time:
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after we entered the treaty, the
United States continuously heightened its nuclear threats against us.
Thus, we were faced with a grave situation where we could not sign the
safeguard agreements even if we wanted to.
The United States recklessly violated its international legal
obligations as a nuclear weapons possessing country, brought all kinds of
nuclear weapons to South Korea on a massive scale, and escalated the
joint exercise "Team Spirit," a nuclear-test war exercise, against us. |
In keeping with their originally stated motives for acquiring nukes only as a military deterant, North Korea began to soften their stance when it perceived that the US was providing evidence for non-aggression:
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On 17 January 1991, the US deputy assistant secretary of state said,
"[the United States] will not pose a nuclear threat on North Korea" and
the US guarantee of not using nuclear weapons "applies to all countries
that have signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty [NPT], including
the Democratic People's Republic of Korea."
On 27 September 1991, US President Bush announced the withdrawal of
short-range tactical nuclear weapons from US territory and sea bases.
On 8 November and 18 December 1991, the South Korean person in
authority [tanggukja] (No T'ae-u) announced the Declaration on the
Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and the Declaration of No
Nuclear Weapons [in South Korea].
On 7 January 1992, the South Korean "Defense Ministry," the US
Department of Defense, and the South Korea-US "Combined Forces Command"
jointly declared a halt to the "Team Spirit" joint military exercise. On
22 January 1992, high-level talks were held between the Democratic
People's Republic of Korea and the United States. |
These developments, along with others, set up the 1994 agreement by which N.Korea was willing to give up their program in exchange for fuel and light reactors. Which brings us back to where this thread started and which you can go back and refer to if you're not clear on my point.
Overall, North Korea has been consistant (in contrast to US media portrayal) in willing to give up its program (or military deterent) as long as the US provide security assurances. The US, in contrast, has not been so consistant in its engagement of N.Korea.
And in light of the current US strategy in the "War for Oil" (aka "War on Terror"), we can start to see that perhaps the crisis in East Asia may have developed as part of a bigger gameplan; drawn up who knows how long ago!
Lastly, as a friendly advice, stop using the term "Norks". Although I am unsure what joy you get out of using it (and please dont insult me by saying it's just an acronym), it really just makes all your views, less convincing.
some refs (need more? just respond.):
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/country_profiles/1132268.stm
http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/dprk/nuke/dprk012203.html
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=ELI20060627&articleId=2706
http://www.thebulletin.org/article_nn.php?art_ofn=mj05norris
Last edited by jhaelin on Mon Oct 23, 2006 4:16 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Mon Oct 23, 2006 12:01 pm Post subject: |
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after we entered the treaty, the
United States continuously heightened its nuclear threats against us.
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Got any specific examples? |
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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Mon Oct 23, 2006 4:08 pm Post subject: |
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hey yata,
do you even bother to read the refs i attach?
they provide all the examples you seek.
and didn't the paragraph that you take the quote from provide specific examples:
a) US stationing nukes in S.Korea (the refs list over 900 at the time: 1980's)
b) The "Team Spirit" military/nuclear Attack exercises.
and btw the burden of proof rests on both arguers so where are your refs?
as I recall you've yet to provide anything aside from relaying the usual spin that i get from fox and cnn at home! |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2006 3:24 am Post subject: |
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| When were the nukes taken out? |
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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2006 4:02 am Post subject: |
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hey yata
you obviously can't read,
so let's try something different.
you show me how north korea is responsible for the crisis and not Bush & Co.
i'm tired of showing proof which you disregard.
so let's see your proof and argument (with refs)!
lol |
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Ya-ta Boy
Joined: 16 Jan 2003 Location: Established in 1994
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Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2006 4:52 am Post subject: |
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The Joint Declaration on denuclearization was initialed on December 31, 1991. It forbade both sides to test, manufacture, produce, receive, possess, store, deploy, or use nuclear weapons and forbade the possession of nuclear reprocessing and uranium enrichment facilities. A procedure for inter-Korean inspection was to be organized and a North-South Joint Nuclear Control Commission (JNCC) was mandated to verify the denuclearization of the peninsula.
On January 30, 1992, the D.P.R.K. finally signed a nuclear safeguards agreement with the IAEA, as it had pledged to do in 1985 when acceding to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. This safeguards agreement allowed IAEA inspections to begin in June 1992. In March 1992, the JNCC was established in accordance with the Joint Declaration, but subsequent meetings failed to reach agreement on the main issue of establishing a bilateral inspection regime.
As the 1990s progressed, concern over the North's nuclear program became a major issue in North-South relations and between North Korea and the U.S. The lack of progress on implementation of the Joint Declaration's provision for an inter-Korean nuclear inspection regime led to reinstatement of the U.S.-South Korea Team Spirit military exercise for 1993. The situation worsened rapidly when North Korea, in January 1993, refused IAEA access to two suspected nuclear waste sites and then announced in March 1993 its intent to withdraw from the NPT. During the next two years, the U.S. held direct talks with the D.P.R.K." |
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jhaelin
Joined: 30 Aug 2006
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Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2006 6:41 pm Post subject: |
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i could cut and paste too, but you have yet to actually make your case.
what is your case? what is your argument?
are you implying that N.Korea is responsible for the destabilization/missle crisis in East Asia, because:
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...subsequent meetings failed to reach agreement on the main issue of establishing a bilateral inspection regime.
As the 1990s progressed, concern over the North's nuclear program became a major issue in North-South relations and between North Korea and the U.S. The lack of progress on implementation of the Joint Declaration's provision for an inter-Korean nuclear inspection regime led to reinstatement of the U.S.-South Korea Team Spirit military exercise for 1993.The situation worsened rapidly when North Korea, in January 1993, refused IAEA access to two suspected nuclear waste sites and then announced in March 1993 its intent to withdraw from the NPT |
what i read from your paste-up is
1) N.Korea and US couldn't agree on how to conduct inspections
2) Things got bad when N.Korea refused IAEA inspection of two sites
3) N.Korea withdraws from NPT
do you see how 1) & 2) are related?
if you can't agree on how to conduct inspections you refuse inspections.
if i remember correctly, N.Korea at the time accused the inspectors of being spies for the US government. this was because it was found that IAEA inspectors were passing on sensitive information (unrelated to nulcear inspections) to the US government/military, which is illegal by international law as the IAEA is supposed to be a neutral entity.
now, if the supposed impartial inspectors are sending info about your military installations to the enemy in conjunction with renewed economic sanctions and military threats (e.g. resumption of "Team Spirit", Clinton announcing intention to send 50,000 more troops and consider preemptive strike against N.Korea), it would seem rational for any country to begin to find a deterent. by international law, N.Korea did not break any rules by withdrawing from NPT, in order to legally develop their only deterant option.
in contrast, the US did and continues to break international law when they threaten any other nation with nuclear weapons.
so when the US talks about preemptive nuke strikes on N.Korea (1950's and 1990's) or Iran (2002-2006), than it is in violation of it's NPT obligations!
so i ask you...who caused the current crisis? |
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mateomiguel
Joined: 16 May 2005
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Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2006 10:36 pm Post subject: |
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| jhaelin wrote: |
| so i ask you...who caused the current crisis? |
North Korea!
Anything else you need to know? I'll be here all week. |
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