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huffdaddy
Joined: 25 Nov 2005
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Posted: Sat Nov 11, 2006 10:32 pm Post subject: |
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| wannago wrote: |
| bucheon bum wrote: |
| none of the people arguing that raising the minimum wage hurts anyone in the long run have come up with even one article or study to show otherwise. impressive. |
Okay, smart ass, here's several articles and studies. Aren't liberals just the most arrogant SOB's? Read away, einstein.
http://www.ncpa.org/pub/ba/ba499/
http://www.geocities.com/fountoftruth/minwage.html
This one from Bloomberg
Oh wait, and don't forget to model yourself after BLTsandwich and attack the sources now that you have a few. |
Well, none of these articles address the effect of minimum wage on inflation, which is what you have been emphasizing. That the minimum wage has not been keeping pace with inflation indicates that someone else has been benefiting from those price increase. Given the law of decreasing marginal utility, it makes more sense to pass some of that money to the less wealthy.
The effect on employment is debatable. Economic studies are always very difficult to preform because you lack the basis of hard scientific inquiry - namely a control group. But a majority of the more recent studies, examining the minimum wage at both federal and state levels, find the effects to be minimal.
Overall, there may well be some costs associated with a raise in the minimum wage. The important questions are, who will bear the brunt of those costs, and whether or not those costs are exceeded by the benefits achieved by a raise in the minimum wage. More importantly, how can we improve the lives of the less fortunate. The minimum wage is a small step, but it really fails to address the root causes. |
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Satori

Joined: 09 Dec 2005 Location: Above it all
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 1:11 am Post subject: |
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| Im no economist, I admit that. But didn't a guy called Bill do something called "balancing the budget", and had not a guy called George now created the worst defecit in the history of the states? Im just saying, maybe Democrat style economics is not such bogus hoodoo after all... |
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cbclark4

Joined: 20 Aug 2006 Location: Masan
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 7:55 am Post subject: |
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Never said it would ruin the economy. Justed stated that simple math shows what happens to prices when cost is raised.
My math is based on level supply demand there's an econimic term for that something like everything else stays the same or some such.
Bread will always be marked down when day old, How much of a markdown will depend on the excess supply. Waste and shrinkage are built into the margin.
Demand effects supply, supply effects demand. Yes prices are adjusted accordingly the margin is maintained there wil be profit. This is usually reserved for the big ticket.
Demand creates supply.
Supply creates demand.
When the money supply increases so does price.
When more money is available for housing (interest rate low) housing prices rise, when less money is avaialble (high interest) etc.
Excess supply will always have a negative effect on price and profit.
Margin can be allowed to suffer but that would be a short term problem.
Correction would have to be made if the business were to continue.
If the Price based on Margin and Cost cannot be maintained then the volume (supply) will be less, thus cost would need to be cut thus a layoff.
Like I said earlier raising the min wage is good (and maybe should be adjusted for inflation (1970 was $2.75)) so I think $24/hr should be the min. wage, that should have no effect on the economy. Now in order to accomplish that there would need to be a definition of an obscene wage to counter the effect at the top of the pay scale. Maybe we should bring back price and wage controls those worked so well in the 70's.
The min wage being bandied about is liberal lip service it will have no real effect on the working poor and is a temporary fix, it needs weight to be efective. I think it should effect the economy, I don't think we should implement a min wage that does not effect the economy.
cbc |
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Satori

Joined: 09 Dec 2005 Location: Above it all
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 8:25 am Post subject: |
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| Quote: |
The min wage being bandied about is liberal lip service it will have no real effect on the working poor and is a temporary fix, it needs weight to be efective. I think it should effect the economy, I don't think we should implement a min wage that does not effect the economy.
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Of course it will positively affect poor people. You seem to care more about the economy it's self than the actual people in it... |
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huffdaddy
Joined: 25 Nov 2005
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 7:15 pm Post subject: |
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| cbclark4 wrote: |
My math is based on level supply demand there's an econimic term for that something like everything else stays the same or some such. |
I'm going to try to listen to my better judgement, which says don't get involved in an economic discussion with someone who doesn't even know the term ceteris paribus. |
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EFLtrainer

Joined: 04 May 2005
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 7:59 pm Post subject: |
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| cbclark4 wrote: |
Never said it would ruin the economy. Justed stated that simple math shows what happens to prices when cost is raised.
My math is based on level supply demand |
Which is exactly what is wrong with your assumption. Not only has history shown your opinion to be BS, but when you raise people's wages by nearly 50 percent, that's a very big stimulus. Demand will not stay flat with tens of millions of people getting large raises and spending more. We've already been over this. I don't understand why you are repeating the same incorrect assumptions. They are not even logical. We are talking about people who are already living subsistence lives. They *will* spend most, if not all, of the gains. that's something on the order of 56 BILLION dollars in extra spending into the economy, with most of that in service and basic services/goods. Very direct stimulus. |
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cbclark4

Joined: 20 Aug 2006 Location: Masan
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 8:33 pm Post subject: |
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| huffdaddy wrote: |
| cbclark4 wrote: |
My math is based on level supply demand there's an econimic term for that something like everything else stays the same or some such. |
I'm going to try to listen to my better judgement, which says don't get involved in an economic discussion with someone who doesn't even know the term ceteris paribus. |
My latin is not so good. It took me three tries to pass Macro.
I still like math.
When I have a widget that takes an hour to build. It Costs $5 in material and $5 in labor the total cost is $10.
Now I sell this widget for $10 because I don't need no stinkin' profit. Profit is for Imperialists.
When the Minimum wage is raised to $10 then my widget costs $15.
I have to raise the price to $15.
What else can I do?
I refuse to layoff my labor.
cbc |
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superacidjax

Joined: 17 Oct 2006 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 9:45 pm Post subject: |
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| Yo!Chingo wrote: |
| I agree that the minimum wage in the US is a joke but most of those jobs that pay minimum wage are for highschoolers or college kids. These jobs aren't meant for people to support a family on or even themselves. I believe that raising the minimum wage is a mistake because it only causes a ripple effect. The prices of goods and services will likely go up, so the extra $$$ dissappears. |
Excellent point. Obviously you've studied economics. A great book addressing this subject is call Economics in One Lesson. Anyone crying about minimum wages should read it. |
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Octavius Hite

Joined: 28 Jan 2004 Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 10:15 pm Post subject: |
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cbclark4 wrote:
| Quote: |
My latin is not so good. It took me three tries to pass Macro.
I still like math.
When I have a widget that takes an hour to build. It Costs $5 in material and $5 in labor the total cost is $10.
Now I sell this widget for $10 because I don't need no stinkin' profit. Profit is for Imperialists.
When the Minimum wage is raised to $10 then my widget costs $15.
I have to raise the price to $15.
What else can I do?
I refuse to layoff my labor. |
Yes that's a correct analysis, except for one thing: outsourcing and offshoring.
Walmart doesn't pay 5$ for labour, it pays 10 cents, but it still acts like it pays 5$ so that organized labour won't get a foothold in its buisness. The truth is that the minumum wage has remained stagnant despite rising inflation, rising corporate profits and increased offshoring. Why is it that corporate profits have steadily risen the last ten years while the average minimum wage worker has seen his standard of living shrink significantly?
The Dem's are afraid to say this but unless organized labour makes it into the service industry then the un or low educated middle class worker is finished in western society. |
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superacidjax

Joined: 17 Oct 2006 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 10:30 pm Post subject: |
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| Octavius Hite wrote: |
Yes that's a correct analysis, except for one thing: outsourcing and offshoring.
Walmart doesn't pay 5$ for labour, it pays 10 cents, but it still acts like it pays 5$ so that organized labour won't get a foothold in its buisness. The truth is that the minumum wage has remained stagnant despite rising inflation, rising corporate profits and increased offshoring. Why is it that corporate profits have steadily risen the last ten years while the average minimum wage worker has seen his standard of living shrink significantly?
The Dem's are afraid to say this but unless organized labour makes it into the service industry then the un or low educated middle class worker is finished in western society. |
Offshoring and Outsourcing are benefiting the US and world economy. If you want to read my full analysis of this issue, visit my my blog entry here: http://superacidjax.blogspot.com/2006/10/outsourcing-and-economic-gains.html
In a nutshell, offshoring and outsourcing lead to lower cost goods which means I can afford more than I would have before cost savings. If corporate profits are higher what does that mean? It means that shareholders make more money, which in turn means that they will invest that money in new industries thus creating more jobs overall. Organized labor is afraid because their monopoly is diminishing. Why should Microsoft or US Steel be punished for alleged monopolies while organized labor is allowed to control the supply of labor? Labor monopolies are just as dangerous as corporate monopolies. Why are US cars more expensive and of lower quality than many foreign cars? Overpriced labor. Car cost more than they should in the US because of punitive tariffs on imports designed to "help" the US auto industry. Korea has a similar tariff structure designed to protect their domestic market from higher quality imports. Hopefully the Korea-US FTA will pass so both sides of the ocean can enjoy lower cost cars, rice, flat-screens and textiles among other things.
I write extensively about these subjects, especially free-trade and the Korea-US FTA at http://superacidjax.blogspot.com
If any of you are bored, come visit and comment... |
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Moldy Rutabaga

Joined: 01 Jul 2003 Location: Ansan, Korea
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 11:18 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks for the link, superacidjax. I'm reading the blog now. Just an off-topic suggestion: your tiny light-grey type on black screen is going to make my eyes fall out if I don't cut and paste soon!
I do find it a little disingenuous that these advocacy sites criticizing a minimum wage hike begin their arguments by saying that only a minority of people make minimum wage anyway, but.. if we raise it our economy will be ripped apart. If very few people make minimum wage it can't affect the overall system much if it's raised.. can it?
Ken:> |
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thepeel
Joined: 08 Aug 2004
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Posted: Sun Nov 12, 2006 11:26 pm Post subject: |
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Economists don't agree on much, but they do agree on this. Raising the minimum wage will put some people out of work in the short run but not necessarily the medium or long run. But, those who are put out of work, are those who can handle temporary unemployment the least well, and as such the policy is questionable from this perspective. But, there is a benefit to some workers (though, those who work MW are a small, small fraction of the labour force) and the policy can be supported from this perspective.
Certainly, the MW at the rate it currently is causes unemployment among the youth and certain members of a, ahem, permanent underclass. The more anything costs the less of it we consume...And labour is no different.
But, the biggest factor of all, in America, is that the higher the MW is raised, the more Mexicans (who work for sub-MW) will be hired and the less 'Americans' will be hired. Sometimes, we must confront the law of unintended consequences.
Last edited by thepeel on Mon Nov 13, 2006 12:44 am; edited 1 time in total |
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superacidjax

Joined: 17 Oct 2006 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 12:26 am Post subject: |
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| BJWD wrote: |
| Sometimes, we must confront the law of unintended consequences. |
Yes! Yes! Yes! The book Economics in One Lesson by Hazlit makes that argument for a variety of scenarios. Politicians concern themselves with things they can measure, such as a particular group's economic position rather than with the overall picture.
The law of unintended consequences is the essence of any economic argument. |
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Octavius Hite

Joined: 28 Jan 2004 Location: Househunting, looking for a new bunker from which to convert the world to homosexuality.
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Posted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 1:58 am Post subject: |
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superacidjax, sorry but you have some errors and some serious mixing of topics.
Yes outsourcing is good, I don't disagree with that, I think that there is no way Americans can produce refridgerators cheaper or better than Indians or Chinese. The problem is that Wal-Mart (and others) acts (by not lowering the prices) signifigantly. Yes, you can buy garbage such as halloween candy and cheap chinese DVD players but for the most part refrigerators, cars, electronics, home furnishings, etc etc are still the same price or have risen with inflation over the past twenty years. Just looking at food products the price has risen but the products have often shrunk in size. Meanwhile, corporate profits in almost all sectors are at record levels. So Wal-mart took those cost savings and instead of actually passing them onto the consumer they took them and gave them to shareholders.
Now....
That's a good thing except the vast majority of min. wage workers don't own stock, thats probably 30 million Americans (at least). That means that 30 mil. people are not benefitting whatsoever from offshoring. IN fact offshoring means that they will never have a good steady factory job. Not having a good job means that they can't buy a house, a new car and extra car etc etc etc etc. Also having a growing number of underemployed disenfranchised people can sow major social programs. To see this just go to most muslim countries. |
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superacidjax

Joined: 17 Oct 2006 Location: Seoul
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Posted: Mon Nov 13, 2006 2:20 am Post subject: |
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| Octavius Hite wrote: |
superacidjax, sorry but you have some errors and some serious mixing of topics.
So Wal-mart took those cost savings and instead of actually passing them onto the consumer they took them and gave them to shareholders.
Now....
That's a good thing except the vast majority of min. wage workers don't own stock, thats probably 30 million Americans (at least). That means that 30 mil. people are not benefitting whatsoever from offshoring. |
That's where I disagree, if shareholders win, the economy will will as those shareholders will then have extra earnings to invest in new industries, thus creating new employment opportunities.. or they'll spend that money, thus creating jobs from their spending.. |
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