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if bush lose the new election what will happen in Iraq
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Posts: 68

PostPosted: Tue Mar 30, 2004 3:12 pm    Post subject: if bush lose the new election what will happen in Iraq Reply with quote

I would like to know your opinions about this issue.

As you know it was a new winner from the left party which won the presidencial election in Spain. Among others he promised to take spanish troops out from Iraq. There was a great demostration againts war in Spain like others European coutries. Futhermore, according with public polls 90 % spaniards did't support the war.

Seconly, recently in France there was a regional or local election which has also won the left parties. But the current president of France is from conservative party. Question mark?. European goverments are either from conservative party or left party.

All Europe countries are willing to send troops to Iraq, at least some of them are reconsidering their positions. We will see at the end Spanish troops are not pulled out of Iraq because not only Europe has an political strategic in common but also because the situation there is right now totally differents.

it will be a big mistake to pull out spanish troops because it has already ended the war.

In my opinion, in spite of the differents among Europe countries, we are trying to get a long term strategic policies in critical International issues. Like Middle East and terrorism It is not easy to cath up an agreement among many countries.

On the contrary, Democratic party in Usa has a different strategic from Conservative party in term of Middle East, Iraq, Afghanistan.

My question is If Bush lose the new election and win kerry there will be change in Usa political abroad in these critical issues. We had seen that in the past.

What do you think about it???
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LucentShade



Joined: 30 Dec 2003
Posts: 542
Location: Nebraska, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 31, 2004 4:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think that Kerry may deal with the Middle East and the world in a different way, but I don't think that he will completely reverse the USA's current actions. If we don't create a stable Iraq, our international standing will be hurt even more*, because we will be known as a country that invaded another and then left it in chaos.



*If this were possible, that is.
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Diana



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 494
Location: Guam, USA

PostPosted: Wed Mar 31, 2004 11:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It is important for America to rebuild Iraq into a stable democracy because it's how they can win the war on terrorism. All terrorists feed off the misery of other people in order to recruit them into their ranks. If a person is in misery, al-Queda will keep that person focused on his misery and brainwash the man into blaming America and the western world as the cause of his misery. This is why they oppose democracy and prefer to keep people in misery and uneducated. A democratic Iraq will improve the lives of the Iraqis and will make it even harder for terrorists to recruit others into their organizations. And eventually, terrorism will be defeated in time.
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Posts: 68

PostPosted: Sat Apr 03, 2004 11:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

LucentShade wrote:
....... If we don't create a stable Iraq, our international standing will be hurt even more*, because we will be known as a country that invaded another and then left it in chaos.

I strongly agree with you.

In my opinion, the battlefield against Terrorism is carried out in Iraq. With the supporting of all democratics countries will be possible to defeat Terrorism and to do a Iraq more safe, stable. However I have not seen a easy solution.

I am worry about the "preventing attacks" which are defended by Bush Administration. That is a dark point that I dont understand at all.
Which criterias are following to determine which countries should be attacked.

As long as I know USA did a lot of mistakes in the past and I only want Iraq has not been a new one. It should be endagered in Iraq and to permit UN will be able to do its job there.

to sum up, Usa should be there until Iraq will be stable, and safety. that means to get a long term strategic policy. If the candidate Kerry won the election I would like to see the same commintment in Iraq.
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Posts: 68

PostPosted: Sat Apr 03, 2004 11:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Diana wrote:
It is important for America to rebuild Iraq into a stable democracy because it's how they can win the war on terrorism. .


I hope so

Diana wrote:

All terrorists feed off the misery of other people in order to recruit them into their ranks. If a person is in misery, al-Queda will keep that person focused on his misery and brainwash the man into blaming America and the western world as the cause of his misery. This is why they oppose democracy and prefer to keep people in misery and uneducated. A democratic Iraq will improve the lives of the Iraqis and will make it even harder for terrorists to recruit others into their organizations. And eventually, terrorism will be defeated in time.


I dont think that the povertry is the only reason used by these terrorism group to recruit people. Iraq is not a povertry country, there are enough resources (oil) in order to be one of the country richer of the World.

Look at Africa, there are a lot of resources in order to not be the countries poorer the World. Which are the reasons?. Because really anycountry are interesting in the development of them. It is easier to put a dictator governing the country and so it will be able to exploid their resources. to be enricher one person in order to control and explote the resources.
Of course, the problem is not so simple because there many conflict among tribes.
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LucentShade



Joined: 30 Dec 2003
Posts: 542
Location: Nebraska, USA

PostPosted: Sun Apr 04, 2004 10:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Excalibur wrote:


I don't think that poverty is the only reason used by these terrorist groups to recruit people. Iraq is not a poor country, there are enough resources (oil) to make it one of the richest countries in the World.


[Note: I edited the quote a little bit, but I didn't change the meaning of anything.]

The problem with Iraq, as well as many African countries, is not a lack of resources. Usually, the problem lies with corrupt leaders and governments that seek to enrich themselves and their friends, leaving the rest of the people to starve. (Nigeria is another good example of this--it has a lot of oil, but the majority of the population lives in poverty.) Of course, Sadaam Hussein was also like this, and used the country's oil income to build palaces and things like that. The point is that having resources doesn't make a country rich or poor, it's the management of those resources that counts. A good "inverse example" would be Japan, which managed to do pretty well despite a lack of natural resources.

Also, on terrorism and poverty: While poverty is a key motivation to become a terrorist, there are others. One main reason is religious/ideological. Let's face it, Osama bin Laden was never a poor man. However, because of his fundamentalist Islamic ideology, he came to hate the US and Western values. "Western values" here means things like exported American pop culture, Western corporate presence overseas, lowered morals/sexual permissiveness, and even architecture--part of the reason to strike the WTC was rooted in a dislike of the tall skyscrapers that had appeared in Middle Eastern cities.
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Diana



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 494
Location: Guam, USA

PostPosted: Mon Apr 05, 2004 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree with LucentShade. The dictators keep their people in poverty while they live better lives in their luxurious palaces. The terrorists then use this poverty to brainwash people into thinking that their misery is caused by Israel and the United States (rather than their dictators). They use this tactic to recruit them into their organization. The dictators also do the same thing. Saddam told his people and the rest of the world that the US sanctions were the ones making the Iraqis suffer and starve to death when in fact it was him all along.

Now that Saddam is taken out, we now know that Saddam had built about 78 Presidential palaces - most of them were built DURING THE SANCTIONS. At the time of his capture, it was also learned that Saddam still had 4 billion dollars in his savings account.
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Posts: 68

PostPosted: Wed Apr 14, 2004 12:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Smile Smile
Diana I miss your comments.
I wish hearing from you soon.
Where are you??. That forum is less funny without you.

The Iraq's situation is getting worse. I would like to see soon as UN take control over the country . Without supporting of the Army from USA and other importants countries in Europe UN wont be able to do a better job therebut at least the huge World can see that not only economics reasons and wished of Bush administration to take out SHussein were motivationes to attack and invade Iraq.
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Diana



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 494
Location: Guam, USA

PostPosted: Fri Apr 16, 2004 2:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Excaliber,

In my opinion, I think Osama Bin Laden is getting very desperate. He has already resorted to trying to make a peace treaty with Europe. I guess Bin Laden now sees he's on the losing end of the stick.

As for the situation in Iraq, the American soldiers are getting restless as they wait out this peace treaty between Falluja and Najif. Sadr is now trying to make a deal with the Iraqi Governing Council. I guess it's because he now sees he's on the losing end of the stick. In the meantime while they're waiting for orders, the American soldiers have been blasting loud rock and roll music at Falluja such as "Hell's Bells." They're also using insulting words in Arabic such as "You shoot like a goat herder" to pass their time.
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
Posts: 68

PostPosted: Sat Apr 17, 2004 12:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Diana wrote:
Hi Excaliber,

In my opinion, I think Osama Bin Laden is getting very desperate. He has already resorted to trying to make a peace treaty with Europe. I guess Bin Laden now sees he's on the losing end of the stick.


I hope so

I am only very concerned because we have seen on TV how a regional religious leader was able to call out many people. I am also concerned by the kidnapping an execution ( italian citizen) which is being used by these groups. Fortunatelly, the strategic which is used it will be turned against them. they are losing the support of the opinion public of the World.

I would like to see the surrender of this leader without anyshoot if it is possible.

Other Arabs countries must be involved on the problem and in my opinion it will be able to be possible through a UN resolution supported by many countries.

USA even has look for a negotiaton through a Shia Leader from Iran and he has been killed too.

I would like watching on the news the realease of all kidnappers.
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Diana



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
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Location: Guam, USA

PostPosted: Sat Apr 17, 2004 12:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Excalibur wrote:


Other Arabs countries must be involved on the problem and in my opinion it will be able to be possible through a UN resolution supported by many countries.


Other Arab countries should be involved in keeping terrorists from entering Iraq. Unfortunately, the UN hasn't been very helpful at all. Did you know that the UN Secretary General appointed 5 of the 15 most oppressive countries to sit on the human rights commission? With things like this, it's impossible to take the UN seriously.
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Excalibur



Joined: 19 Jan 2004
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 18, 2004 1:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I didn't know that.
United Nation is not a panacea to resolve all problems of the world but at least has a moral authority to call for through UN resolution.
People will say the Sadan Hussein had been not enforced many United Nation Resolutions. trust me is not perfect but at least is something.
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Diana



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 494
Location: Guam, USA

PostPosted: Fri Apr 23, 2004 12:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The United Nations is a joke! And it isn't as moral as you believe it to be.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
� April 22, 2004 | 9:47 PM ET

"UNSCAM" AND THE PROBLEM WITH MULTILATERALISM

We've heard a lot about the need for a more multilateral approach in Iraq, and how we should get the United Nations involved in Iraq's postwar reconstruction.

Trouble is, the more we learn about the U.N.'s role -- and the roles of other non-coalition countries -- in the pre-war Iraqi situation, the less credible such an approach seems. Because it seems that the United Nations, and some other critics of the war, were in bed with Saddam as the proceeds of the U.N.-administered "oil for food" program were diverted and stolen, something that's now being revealed in a scandal that many people are calling "UNScam."

Here's a clear explanation:

It worked like this: Iraq would export under-priced oil, import over-priced goods, and cash in the difference through friendly middle-men. This occurred in plain daylight, right under the U.N.'s nose, with the complicity of hundreds of international companies, and possibly, the knowledge of many governments that had seats on the U.N. Security Council.
Beyond the kickbacks, Saddam was able to smuggle an estimated $5.7 billion worth of oil and fuel out of the country in total violation of the sanctions. Hundreds of trucks would enter Iraq from Turkey filled with goods bought under Oil-for-Food - then drive off again with fuel destined for sale on the black market. Other smuggling routes included a pipeline through Syria, and ships sailing Iranian territorial waters.
This sanctions-busting trade provided no benefit to Iraq's civilian population. In fact, it created drastic fuel shortages inside Iraq. And again, it could not have occurred without the knowledge, and participation, of Iraq's neighbors.

And it looks as if the U.N. wasn't simply negligent -- it appears that many U.N. officials were involved:

April 20 � At least three senior United Nations officials are suspected of taking multimillion-dollar bribes from the Saddam Hussein regime, U.S. and European intelligence sources tell ABCNEWS. . . .
Most prominent among those accused in the scandal is Benon Sevan, the Cyprus-born U.N. undersecretary general who ran the program for six years.
In an interview with ABCNEWS last year, Sevan denied any wrongdoing.
"Well, I can tell you there have been no allegations about me," he said. "Maybe you can try to dig it out." And in a Feb. 10 statement, Sevan challenged those making the allegations to "come forward and provide the necessary documentary evidence" and present it to U.N. investigators.
But documents have surfaced in Baghdad, in the files of the former Iraqi Oil Ministry, allegedly linking Sevan to a pay-off scheme in which some 270 prominent foreign officials received the right to trade in Iraqi oil at cut-rate prices.

This also raises some questions about the pre-war diplomatic maneuvers, as Mort Zuckerman points out:

If you wondered why the French were so hostile to America's approach to Iraq and even opposed to ending the sanctions after the 1991 Gulf War, here's one possible explanation: French oil traders got 165 million barrels of Iraqi crude at cut-rate prices. The CEO of one French company, SOCO International, got vouchers for 36 million barrels of Iraqi oil. Was it just a coincidence that the man is a close political and financial supporter of President Jacques Chirac? Or that a former minister of the interior, Charles Pasqua, allegedly received 12 million barrels from Baghdad? Or that a former French ambassador to the U.N., Jean-Bernard Merimee, received an allocation of 11 million barrels? Perhaps it was just happenstance, too, that a French bank with close ties to then French President Fran�ois Mitterrand and one of the bank's big shareholders who is close to Saddam became the main conduit for the bulk of the $67 billion in proceeds from the oil-for-food program. All told, 42 French companies and individuals got a piece of this lucrative trade. No matter how cynical you may be, it's sometimes just plain hard to keep up with the French.
But they're not alone. Russians received more than 2.5 billion barrels of the cut-rate crude. Some 1.4 billion barrels went to the Russian state. Not to be left out of the feeding frenzy, even the U.N. got in on the action. It received administrative fees of about $2 billion for the program, which may be fair, but the senior U.N. official in charge of the program, Benon Sevan, is reported to have received 11.5 million barrels himself. Cotecna, a Swiss-based firm hired by the U.N. to monitor the import of the food and medicine to Iraq, hired Kojo Annan, the son of U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, as a consultant during the period when the company was assembling and submitting bids for the oil-for-food program.

There were Congressional hearings on this scandal this week, and the U.N. Security Council is investigating, though given the apparent complicity of Security Council members Russia and France in the scandal, it's hard to be too optimistic about that investigation.

The consequences for the United Nations are likely to be drastic. If it can't be trusted to run programs like this without its people being in on dictators' payrolls, how can it be taken seriously as an international organization that promotes peace and democracy?

That has United Nations fans like Roger Simon and Austin Bay worried. And they should be.

The world would be better off with an international organization that was trustworthy, competent, and serious about promoting freedom and human rights. Will the United Nations ever fit that description? It won't have a chance until this mess has been cleaned up.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3395977/
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SN



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Posts: 61
Location: http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~ii4n-sky/

PostPosted: Sat Apr 24, 2004 12:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You guys are discussing the middle east case,i know.
If Mr.Kerry win, im wondering, what will happen in Asia,regarding North Korea. Thats the thing i m concernd most.
I couldn't agree with Mr.Clinton's soft policy to appease Pyongyang.
I think Mr.Bush's strong policy better. I dont wana Mr.Kerry to inherit Mr.Clinton's line,if he win.
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Devotion



Joined: 24 Apr 2004
Posts: 7

PostPosted: Sat Apr 24, 2004 11:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bush is a sadistic maniac, a fake puritan, a greed, an immoral and a thief...........

The US had sold to Iraq over 70% of its chemical powder.

The US bought Iraqi oil at 40% from 1995 to 2001.

The US had trained and armed Saddam�s troops to fight Iran

The US had trained and armed Ben Laden to fight the Russians also helping him to export thousand of tones of pure heroine from his farms to doom the Russian youth prospect economy

The US............. always blaming others.......

Diana you are such a sick racist puppet and your propaganda is straight from the white house.......
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