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Will the war between Chinese mainland and Taiwan burst out?
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leozhengbo



Joined: 28 Feb 2006
Posts: 98
Location: Zhejiang province, China

PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 5:33 pm    Post subject: Will the war between Chinese mainland and Taiwan burst out? Reply with quote

There are some important steps took by the PRC Army, because Taiwan's leader had made a terrible dicision in order to get independent gradually.That is not Chinese want to see.

If the war began , will Japan take action or join the war to help Taiwan, will America do something
?What's your opinion? Idea
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BMW is called "宝马� in China,which means "precious horse", now it is produced by the hands of Chinese.
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mingping



Joined: 23 Feb 2006
Posts: 44

PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 10:15 pm    Post subject: I think there is a very few possibilities to start the war Reply with quote

As the globe is advancing, the war becomes more and more relative with the economy. Take China's high speed of growth in economy, I think theree is a very few possibilities to start the war.
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leozhengbo



Joined: 28 Feb 2006
Posts: 98
Location: Zhejiang province, China

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wonderful reply, thank u.
when mainland becomes stronge (especially in econmy)enough , Taiwanese would go back to us.
but the world is not so safe, the USA army go where they want to , they use missiles , cannons, weak countries are their targets. I don't want China to be the target of the USA , fortunately we have improved our strength ,we are afraid of nothing.
when you are wake , then war could sleep, when you sleep , war wakes up. so preparation is the best weapon to win every war.
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KHF



Joined: 15 Dec 2005
Posts: 100
Location: ON, Canada

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 8:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Constant threat of military interference is one of the major reasons why most Taiwanese still remain skeptical of the Chinese intention. It only shows that the Chinese government lacks the respect towards the Taiwanese people as a whole. With peace as its slogan but war as its tool, China is in fact a greater threat to Taiwan than the US.

Although the ROC probably will not be able to repel a full invasion by the PROC, it is quite possible the PROC will sustain critical loss as well. The American government might be arrogant and manipulative, but they are not stupid. If the US decides to take the Taiwanese side, a declaration of war on China is most likely not going to happen. Instead, the US will take the cold war approach and supply Taiwan with armaments and intelligence. As much as you want to believe it, the Chinese military is not invincible. A well placed JDAM volley could cripple an entire fleet, and without the control of the sea, it will be exceedingly difficult to mount an amphibious assault.
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Napoleon



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
Posts: 31

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 9:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think it's a wise and reasonable decision for ROC to fully declare a independence.

Maybe people in Taiwan dislike Com. Party, but the current problem is not created by the mainland. The mainland side is trying to offer a decent solution to Taiwan, letting the ROC has full control over its economic, cultural and even the military. Only requirement is YOU don't declare a independence, no body want to bother taiwan people. But taiwan side is just enjoying risking a constant independent trial to play with the mainland.

As Jane's article depicted, Chinese are making subs as fast as making hotdog, and Chinese are buying Su35 and producing Su27 meantime. All these weapon development seems to be a short term solution. Due to my observation is all Chinese BBS, most of Chinese mainland people will support a crushing millitary action if the Taiwan really declare a fully rebellion. A widely folk idiom "We'll take Taiwan back, even a burned one"

BTW don't trust US will help them out, who knows if american is willing sacrifice Walmart's buz to support Taiwan. Maybe they already set the trigger line.

Personally, I am not a warmonger, so I believe if they(taiwan independent activists) do it, they are fully responsible for what they did.
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KHF



Joined: 15 Dec 2005
Posts: 100
Location: ON, Canada

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 9:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The key idea of your opinion is "condition". What the Taiwanese want is to choose WITHOUT the PROC telling them what they can choose. I fail to see why in this context the problem is not caused by PROC. Say someone points a gun at you then tells you that as long as you do what he wishes, you won't have to die. Do you consider that acceptable? Say if you refuse to do what he wants and he shoots you dead. I suppose you are telling me that's your own fault then? If the one with a bigger fist sets the rules and the others can only play along, why do we even bother thinking about the morality of one's actions?

A rash declaration of independence is perhaps unwise (judging from the apparently violent tendency of the Chinese policies), but the desire for independence is not. What exactly is bad about an independent Taiwan for the Taiwanese? Further, what exactly is good about reunification for them? That is the real question in the issue, not what PROC wants to do.
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leozhengbo



Joined: 28 Feb 2006
Posts: 98
Location: Zhejiang province, China

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

KHF wrote:
Constant threat of military interference is one of the major reasons why most Taiwanese still remain skeptical of the Chinese intention. It only shows that the Chinese government lacks the respect towards the Taiwanese people as a whole. .

I could partly agree with u, let's have a look at people's lives in Hongkong , Hongkong belonged to UK before 1997, but we can see a still beautiful island of Hongkong now, we respect people's lives and life styles,so PROC can treat Taiwan as equal as Hongkong ,even Taiwan can have their own military force. Chinese don't hate Taiwanese ,most of them just don't like Japanese and few American.
"With peace as its slogan but war as its tool, China is in fact a greater threat to Taiwan than the US."-------I know that is the Party's tactic. however, we must keep our military preparation in order to win any war which might occur, that is not only for Taiwan , especially not for Taiwanese.

"Although the ROC probably will not be able to repel a full invasion by the PROC, it is quite possible the PROC will sustain critical loss as well. "-----------if this happen, the island of Taiwan would diappear from the earth, i am sure , the mainland has lots of missiles , lots of methods.if Taiwan lanched one missile to us or killed our people , then the island will die , especially the leader who make the dicision to begin the war.

"The American government might be arrogant and manipulative, but they are not stupid. If the US decides to take the Taiwanese side, a declaration of war on China is most likely not going to happen. Instead, the US will take the cold war approach and supply Taiwan with armaments and intelligence. "-------you are very right.that is what the USA really want to do.it is the best way.but i don't know what Japan will do .

"As much as you want to believe it, the Chinese military is not invincible. A well placed JDAM volley could cripple an entire fleet, and without the control of the sea, it will be exceedingly difficult to mount an amphibious assault"------you are not familiar with weapons, JDAM is for buildings, not ships, moveable target.
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leozhengbo



Joined: 28 Feb 2006
Posts: 98
Location: Zhejiang province, China

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

KHF wrote:
What the Taiwanese want is to choose WITHOUT the PROC telling them what they can choose. I fail to see why in this context the problem is not caused by PROC. Say someone points a gun at you then tells you that as long as you do what he wishes, you won't have to die. Do you consider that acceptable? Say if you refuse to do what he wants and he shoots you dead. I suppose you are telling me that's your own fault then? If the one with a bigger fist sets the rules and the others can only play along, why do we even bother thinking about the morality of one's actions?

A rash declaration of independence is perhaps unwise (judging from the apparently violent tendency of the Chinese policies), but the desire for independence is not. What exactly is bad about an independent Taiwan for the Taiwanese? Further, what exactly is good about reunification for them? That is the real question in the issue, not what PROC wants to do.


you are right . but you don't know what is history , what is politics. it is said that democracy is born from compromise , of course , it is just one theory , you could have your own opinion.
from the year of 1949, PROC didn't forget to tell the world that Taiwan was its land especially the USA.
we cann't choose history, however, we are chosen.so lots of things which are beatiful in philosophy just could not happen in real world.
that is what i want to say.
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foryoubill



Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 2

PostPosted: Wed Mar 08, 2006 11:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I hope the world will be always in peace.
Laughing
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KHF



Joined: 15 Dec 2005
Posts: 100
Location: ON, Canada

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 6:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

leozhengbo wrote:

I could partly agree with u, let's have a look at people's lives in Hongkong , Hongkong belonged to UK before 1997, but we can see a still beautiful island of Hongkong now, we respect people's lives and life styles,so PROC can treat Taiwan as equal as Hongkong ,even Taiwan can have their own military force. Chinese don't hate Taiwanese ,most of them just don't like Japanese and few American.


People in Hong Kong don't seem to agree with you, with the pro-democracy protests and all. Further, hatred or not, the fact is the Chinese threaten physical harms against the Taiwanese. I certainly wouldn't call someone that's blackmailing me as my friend, would I?

Quote:
I know that is the Party's tactic. however, we must keep our military preparation in order to win any war which might occur, that is not only for Taiwan , especially not for Taiwanese.


I am sure the Taiwanese could care less about the Chinese military preparation, as long as they don't aim their ballistic missiles at Taiwan.

Quote:
if this happen, the island of Taiwan would diappear from the earth, i am sure , the mainland has lots of missiles , lots of methods.if Taiwan lanched one missile to us or killed our people , then the island will die , especially the leader who make the dicision to begin the war.


I never said the island "wouldn't die". A war without losses on both sides does not happen. The real question is, how far are they willing to go? For the Chinese, they could lose an island they don't have control over for the last 50 years. For the Taiwanese, they lose their freedom, their democracy, their freedom of speech, and their chance of being recognized as what they are not what they were. Not to mention the fact that they would have to be governed by someone who has constantly bullied them into submission. There are things worth fighting for, even if it means death.

Quote:
you are not familiar with weapons, JDAM is for buildings, not ships, moveable target.


That is incorrect. JDAM is a guidance kit meant for converting existing munitions. It is not a particular weapon by any means. It only does what the original ammunition does, except with guidance capability and thus much greater accuracy. In fact, it's developed jointly by the US Air Force and the US Navy.

Quote:
you are right . but you don't know what is history , what is politics. it is said that democracy is born from compromise , of course , it is just one theory , you could have your own opinion.
from the year of 1949, PROC didn't forget to tell the world that Taiwan was its land especially the USA.
we cann't choose history, however, we are chosen.so lots of things which are beatiful in philosophy just could not happen in real world.
that is what i want to say.


See here for my understanding on the history regarding to this issue.
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joonstar



Joined: 11 Apr 2003
Posts: 18
Location: dajon, korea

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 1:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Napoleon wrote:
"We'll take Taiwan back, even a burned one"

I think this kind of comment is clearly a threat to peoples in Taiwan.
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Napoleon



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
Posts: 31

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 2:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

joonstar wrote:
Napoleon wrote:
"We'll take Taiwan back, even a burned one"

I think this kind of comment is clearly a threat to peoples in Taiwan.


You are half right, it's a threat, but not for TW.
For the one coveting there.
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joonstar



Joined: 11 Apr 2003
Posts: 18
Location: dajon, korea

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Napoleon wrote:
You are half right, it's a threat, but not for TW.
For the one coveting there.


You remind me Bush who likes to threat people in smaller and weaker countries than America.
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Napoleon



Joined: 08 Mar 2006
Posts: 31

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

joonstar wrote:
Napoleon wrote:
You are half right, it's a threat, but not for TW.
For the one coveting there.


You remind Bush who likes to threat people in smaller and weaker countries than America.


No Chinese sincerely hate American.
American never invaded the country, they set a side in civil war. And they even attracted so many Soviet's ICMBs which otherwise would target on China. Nice job.
but there is a country who has invaded and colonized Taiwan, attacked Pearl Habor, and most of Chinese sincerely feel disguising enven after 50 years. I don't know how long will the hatred last if they intervene TW again.
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joonstar



Joined: 11 Apr 2003
Posts: 18
Location: dajon, korea

PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bush invaded Irag. He now has it as a burned one.



Napoleon wrote:
but there is a country who has invaded and colonized Taiwan, attacked Pearl Habor, and most of Chinese sincerely feel disguising enven after 50 years. I don't know how long will the hatred last if they intervene TW again.

Don't hate the country who invaded other countries , but don't forget the history.

Don't criticise the country who invaded other countries by its forces, but please don't follow the facists' way.
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