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Peak Oil, the one thing nobody wants to talk about.
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some waygug-in



Joined: 07 Feb 2003
Posts: 339

PostPosted: Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:38 am    Post subject: Peak Oil, the one thing nobody wants to talk about. Reply with quote

http://www.peakoil.net/

Just do a google search on "peak Oil" and see what else is out there. The picture is not too rosy, and it is coming sooner than most of us think.

We need to be doing something about this now, not after the crisis hits.

This site has links to various articles related to the topic.

http://www.peakoil.org/
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Dr.J



Joined: 09 May 2003
Posts: 304
Location: usually Japan

PostPosted: Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

When I was at school I found an old textbook from the 60's stating that all the worlds oil resources would be gone by the 1990's.

Of course it'll happen eventually. I'm going to put my money in hydrogen cars that run on sunflower oil.
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waxwing



Joined: 29 Jun 2003
Posts: 719
Location: China

PostPosted: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Glad you brought it up. Wish more people would
As to hydrogen, we had a discussion about this already in this thread: http://www.eslcafe.com/forums/job/viewtopic.php?t=9209&start=30
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some waygug-in



Joined: 07 Feb 2003
Posts: 339

PostPosted: Tue Sep 14, 2004 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Take a look at this site.


http://www.awitness.org/journal/peak_oil.html


Some arguments pro and con on peak oil and it's effects.
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Ludwig



Joined: 26 Apr 2004
Posts: 1096
Location: 22� 20' N, 114� 11' E

PostPosted: Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is very interesting:

http://www.peakoil.net//Publications/Cheney_PeakOil_FCD.pdf
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Roger



Joined: 19 Jan 2003
Posts: 9138

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I experienced the 1973 oil crisis consciously, and I am happy every time there is a oil shortage coming up. Unfortunately, the guzzlers and wasters don't learn any lesson, and that's why the whole world is going down the drain.

While I don't drive a car, those bloody American idiots driving their SUVs to their airports and back home or to work and back home are the main reason why we are witnessing the melting of glaciers all over the globe, plus unprecedented climate changes.

I specified "Aermican iditios" - because Americans have never helped design fule-economic cars or even thought about curbing the excessive use of combustion engine vehicles.

America is an underdeveloped society.
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struelle



Joined: 16 May 2003
Posts: 2372
Location: Shanghai

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
While I don't drive a car, those bloody American idiots driving their SUVs to their airports and back home or to work and back home are the main reason why we are witnessing the melting of glaciers all over the globe, plus unprecedented climate changes.


You're certainly correct here. Just a point of interest, the Bush government, like Reagan's, made dramatic progress backwards on environmental issues. USA went against the global majority under Bush's reign on all kinds of issues, including withdrawing from Kyoto.

That said, let's talk about developing countries, particularly China and India. The most heavily debated issue at Kyoto is whether developing countries should be given more leniency on emissions targets as they industrialize. It wouldn't be fair to say, "Well, the USA and other Western countries already made a mess of things in their developmnent, so you can't follow suit."

In terms of China, though, following suit is exactly what they're doing. The construction of new roads and increase in private cars is staggering as you no doubt see. China is now scouring the globe for oil resources to feed its booming economy. They are also driving up the global price of oil in combination with the Western countries that are already heavily dependent on it.

I'm not as familiar with India but a similar course of development wouldn't surprise me.

If China and India have more leniency on their greenhouse emissions, this is not exactly going to help reduce global warming.

Steve
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waxwing



Joined: 29 Jun 2003
Posts: 719
Location: China

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Important aspect to bear in mind, I agree Steve, but let's not forget that even now with America all 'supra-industrialised' or whatever, the per capita American consumption of energy is massively higher than the equivalent figure for China.
Right?
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Winmar



Joined: 11 Feb 2003
Posts: 125
Location: Melbourne

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 12:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Australian government's just as bad as America's. It's shameful.
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ls650



Joined: 10 May 2003
Posts: 3484
Location: British Columbia

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Roger wrote:
I specified "Aermican iditios" - because Americans have never helped design fule-economic cars or even thought about curbing the excessive use of combustion engine vehicles. America is an underdeveloped society.


Can you feel the love?
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Roger



Joined: 19 Jan 2003
Posts: 9138

PostPosted: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes, Steve, the conscientiously gas-guzzlers are being emulated here in China now - the world's fastest turbo-charged motorisation underway. And, the Chinese government decreed a decade ear5lier that automobiles are one of the nation's economic pillars - they want to dominate the world's automotive markets.

That's really bad news. So bad indeed that we are choking here in southern China like the English did during the Industrial Revolution when coal dust was engulfing the whole nation.

Yesterday, Hong Kong's air pollution hit the newest record -201 (whatever that means), its air definitely is dirtier than L.A. smog; the air is as tansparent these days as a white piece of paper held against a 40 Watt bulb. Most of this atmospheric tash is combustion engine emissions.

Because China is no longer self-sufficient, the provision of crude oil to China's petroleum industry is of paramount and political importance; so important indeed that the PR of C is clandestinely and not-so clandestinely getting involved in trouble hotspots such as Sudan's Darfur refugee crisis, Iraq and Russia.

The Zhongnanhai honchos have voiced their disagreement with the Western powers over the issue of whether anyone should intervene on behalf of those Sudanese refugees...
Not that the Sudan has big known oil reserves - but any oil reserves under its desert sands might be welcome to the Chinese!
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sanadamushi



Joined: 27 Jul 2004
Posts: 21
Location: Osaka

PostPosted: Tue Sep 21, 2004 1:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

We are doing something about it, what do you think the 'war' in Iraq is about? The whole administration is staffed by big oil, coal, and respective companies. The central asian republics are the next gold-mine, but we will have to fight russia over them, perpetual war baby.
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mjed9



Joined: 25 Oct 2003
Posts: 242

PostPosted: Tue Sep 21, 2004 3:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.greenpeace.org/international_en/news/details?item_id=578881

I wonder how much they are?
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misteradventure



Joined: 18 Aug 2003
Posts: 246

PostPosted: Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:47 pm    Post subject: This has no place in ESL other than as a class discussion... Reply with quote

This has no place here... unless you are an accredited expert in the field. As I am not aware of ANY Petroleum Geologists in ESL (much less enough to hold a substantial debate), we shouldn't even be discussing this.

Lets keep in mind that this whole idea is a GREAT way to justify invading countries to get their resources (theft) while restricting people's freedom (slavery...heard of conscription?) I doubt anyone would sanction some guy breaking into your flat because he wanted to watch TV and he hadn't paid his electric bill... never mind the fact he broke your nose when you confronted him!

MY POINT: Running out of oil may be a MYTH to justify rising prices. NO ONE KNOWS FOR SURE WHERE OIL REALLY COMES FROM! The 'rotting plants' theory has been proven wrong, but they still teach Newtonian Physics in school, too (Einstein proved Newton wrong, even though his theory of gravitation works with an acceptable margin of error for short distances.)

Reading for you few who actually do your homework:
http://www.davesweb.cnchost.com/nwsltr64.html
http://joevialls.altermedia.info/wecontrolamerica/peakoil.html
http://www.joevialls.co.uk/subliminalsuggestion/oil2.html
http://www.peakoil.com/article31.html
http://healthandenergy.com/peak_oil_and_ww3.htm

Please also page through their references as well.

You might learn something... people make money off of this stuff.
If you are really concerned, start walking.

some people
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ls650



Joined: 10 May 2003
Posts: 3484
Location: British Columbia

PostPosted: Thu Sep 23, 2004 3:22 am    Post subject: Re: This has no place in ESL other than as a class discussio Reply with quote

misteradventure wrote:
Einstein proved Newton wrong, even though his theory of gravitation works with an acceptable margin of error for short distances.


LOL! "Acceptable margin of error" indeed.
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