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Wisconsin, Hawaii and Washington Results
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 6:58 pm    Post subject: Wisconsin, Hawaii and Washington Results Reply with quote

McCain wins Wisconsin

Last edited by Milwaukiedave on Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:15 pm; edited 1 time in total
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stillnotking



Joined: 18 Dec 2007
Location: Oregon, USA

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 7:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Exit polls show about a 55-43 Obama win in WI. The networks haven't called it yet.

There wasn't much doubt Obama would win; the question was, by how much? I thought he'd outperform the polls but it appears he's stayed pretty close to the predicted margin of victory.

Hey. Good enough. The most important thing was to keep the momentum going into the March 4 primaries.

Edit: CNN calls it for Obama, obviously on the basis of some combination of exit polls and early returns. The final vote tally won't be known for a few hours, and I won't be up. Go Obama!


Last edited by stillnotking on Tue Feb 19, 2008 7:23 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 7:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

CNN projected Obama wins Wisconsin.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With 18% of precincts reporting:

Omabam 56% 100,763
Clinton 43% 77,658


McCain 55% 40,045
Huckabee 37% 27,123
The other guy 4% 3,168

RealClearPolitics said it was 46% - 42% the other day. If these early returns hold up, this will be another trouncing for Clinton. I predicted Obama would win by 10-15%.

Probably the most interesting numbers: Obama 100,000 - McCain 40,000. The Democrats are much more stirred up than the Republicans at this point.

Yo ho! Yo ho!
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Hawaii Caucus doesn't start until 7pm (2pm here), so it will probably be 3 or 4pm (Korean time) before the results are known.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The people of Hawaii are good people and all, but Obama spent a lot of time there and was expected to win by 30-40%, so it won't tell us much about the mood of the general electorate. Wisconsin was predicted to be fairly close. It isn't. That tells us something important.
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Ya-ta Boy



Joined: 16 Jan 2003
Location: Established in 1994

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

With 43% of precincts reporting:

Obama 55% at 229,835
Clinton 43% at 180,221

So the % is holding up.

McCain 54% with 92,776
Huck 38%

And the other guy is making a last minute surge...he's up to 5%
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
And the other guy is making a last minute surge...he's up to 5%


haha...now who could you be talking about? I haven't a clue. Laughing
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 8:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ya-ta Boy wrote:
The people of Hawaii are good people and all, but Obama spent a lot of time there and was expected to win by 30-40%, so it won't tell us much about the mood of the general electorate. Wisconsin was predicted to be fairly close. It isn't. That tells us something important.


Probably, but in this election you can't take anything for granted. When the results come in and if he wins, then I'll celebrate the win.

I said yesterday that I really thought Wisconsin would be close, though I hoped I was wrong. I can say today, I'm glad I was wrong making that prediction.
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Milwaukiedave



Joined: 02 Oct 2004
Location: Goseong

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

McCain is projected by CNN to win Washington state. There is a primary for the Democrats, but no delegates at stake since they have already held their caucus.
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Czarjorge



Joined: 01 May 2007
Location: I now have the same moustache, and it is glorious.

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 9:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

85% in for Wisconsin...

Obama- 58%
Hillary- 41%

43% in for Washington...

Obama- 50%
Hillary- 47%

Hawaii won't be out for another hour or two.

I predicted 62/37 for Wisconsin. A four point spread is pretty damn good if I do say so myself. Take that Chuck Todd.
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cbclark4



Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Location: Masan

PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2008 11:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wow another big day for Obama.

Regards to the earlier comment about more Democrats voting in the
primary. This is the usual case in the primary there are almost always
more registered Democrats than Republicans. The only time you will see
more votes for the republicans is in open primaries where Independents
are allowed to register at the poll or choose a ballot.

I don't know if WI is a an open primary?

Also there is the red state blue state thing.